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December 2016 C.E.T. forecasts -- start of 2016-17 competition year


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Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey

    3.7c please circa 1 to 1.5 below average.  Chilly HP 1st 3rd.  Stormy around 11-16 NW flow, really cold for North but CET not so much. HP and average following week, cold N/NW flow Xmas very stormy and wintry pM air, milder new year.

     

    BFTP

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire

    I'm going to go for a rather conservative 4.4C please, mainly due to the recent uncertainty in the outlook.  So, a below average month but not significantly so.  However, December could well turnout to be somewhat colder than my guess.......

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    Posted
  • Location: just behind Epsom Racecourse and the center of York
  • Location: just behind Epsom Racecourse and the center of York

    2.9 for me please

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    Posted
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold weather - frost or snow
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL

    3.0c for me please

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth

    GEFS clusters now showing a majority pulling the Atlantic High back westwards by mid-month now, so guessing it will turn colder at least for time between Dec 10 and Dec 20 (if it ever warms up at all). 

    Please edit my guess to 3.3C.

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    Posted
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)

    I'll go with 3.4°C please.

    :-) 

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    Posted
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne (Spital Tongues)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne (Spital Tongues)

    3.9C for me thanks

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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
    On 24 November 2016 at 23:30, Changing Skies said:

    I see it going very cold 2.1C please initially from the north and then easterly winds setting in.

    Going to have to bump it up 3.1c 

    ta

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    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
    On 11/19/2016 at 21:16, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    Sort of setup I expect for Dec, only early in month, but expecting PV to develop fully around its greenie home, maybe signs already on image, yes a 'cherry picked' chart, but we all do it!

    gensnh-2-1-384.png

    Still what I'm expecting from around 8th, no change in my 5.9 prediction yet, may up it later, although it's dec tomorrow yikes!

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    Posted
  • Location: Ashurst, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow, fog in winter. Warm & dry and thunderstorms in summer
  • Location: Ashurst, West Sussex

    So excited to have anything better than the mush of last year!

    3.8C please!

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    Posted
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne (Spital Tongues)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne (Spital Tongues)

    Latest GFS would have the CET in the high 3s by the end of the first week, so nearly 2C below the 81-10 rolling average. From there, who knows!

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    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
    24 minutes ago, Corrigan87 said:

    So excited to have anything better than the mush of last year!

    3.8C please!

    how do you know for definite? first 5 days cold yes, but who knows when the Atlantic breaks through on 6th, could dominate rest of month, who knows

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    Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

    Still pondering my guess, the table of entries will be posted now and edited at midnight ...

    So far, 80 forecasts, the median is a chilly 3.9 C, and the two highest guesses so far (unless anyone edited) were tied for the missing link of 5.9 C (also LG at 12.0 but seriously?)

    The coldest is --2.0, with +1.0 next coldest. 

    For the benefit of late arrivals, these values remain open for guesses ... (will strike any that replace these in a later edit)

     

    1.1, 1.2, 1.4 to 2,3 ... 5.2, 5.4, 5.5, 5.6, 5.8 ... anything 6.0 and higher

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