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Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion


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3 minutes ago, Winter Cold said:

Its always sad losing a snow event, especialy as they are so rare and particularly because the past few winters have been dire! Ill just be happy with anything now in the morning lol. Lets wait and see.

And as others have said, its still very early in the season and this winter does look to be shaping up a lot better than the last few :)

2 days ago it looked like us getting plastered, but we've all been there many times before and I don't think anyone got drawn in

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A friend's snowman has started to limbo all by itself.

Some pics from Todmorden

Guys - hope your doing well & enjoying the snow Good luck to all tonight !!!

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17 minutes ago, The PIT said:

Yup we can forget the event tomorrow by the looks of it. None event coming up. Perhaps tonight's light showers are the main event :sorry:

Pit the lower pressure is some 75 miles further north than forecast we are 100% back in the game

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12z AROME initializing well so far, just a little bit more precipitation to the North currently on radar than AROME suggested, may play a role on how far North the snow line is, but most likely not. Indeed a watch and see night and morning ahead. #uksnow

141AE13C-6748-4835-AECC-D32AE5C1657D.png

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9 minutes ago, inghams85 said:

Pit the lower pressure is some 75 miles further north than forecast we are 100% back in the game

How are you making the comparison?  Presumably from one of the models but what about the actual position of the low?  Would be interested to track myself.

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7 minutes ago, SouthYorks said:

How are you making the comparison?  Presumably from one of the models but what about the actual position of the low?  Would be interested to track myself.

Here is a comparison

here is the 22:00 from 18z gfs

3-574UK.GIF?09-18

look at the radar,it's almost covered half of Ireland on it's latest return(22:40)

https://www.netweather.tv/live-weather/radar

now look six hour on,and just covers half of Ireland by 01:00 am

6-574UK.GIF?09-18

whether it slows down who knows,but still is moving in a NE/ENE manner

https://en.meteox.com/en-gb/home/satelliteradar

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3 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Here is a comparison

here is the 22:00 from 18z gfs

3-574UK.GIF?09-18

look at the radar,it's almost covered half of Ireland on it's latest return(22:40)

https://www.netweather.tv/live-weather/radar

now look six hour on,and just covers half of Ireland by 01:00 am

6-574UK.GIF?09-18

whether it slows down who knows,but still is moving in a NE/ENE manner

https://en.meteox.com/en-gb/home/satelliteradar

Glass half full, that could be interpreted as positive and I hope you are correct.  But, glass half empty, it could be interpreted as just a couple of hours ahead in terms of forecast location at a given time and not indicative of it actually going to progress further North.  

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Can’t really see much in way of change for tomorrow to be honest. We had mr steve murr in earlier saying this was bang on track to hit the south. Yes it may look further north over Ireland at moment. But expect it to slow considerably and pivot south. Think we need to look towards next chance. Whenever that may be.

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8 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Here is a comparison

here is the 22:00 from 18z gfs

3-574UK.GIF?09-18

look at the radar,it's almost covered half of Ireland on it's latest return(22:40)

https://www.netweather.tv/live-weather/radar

now look six hour on,and just covers half of Ireland by 01:00 am

6-574UK.GIF?09-18

whether it slows down who knows,but still is moving in a NE/ENE manner

https://en.meteox.com/en-gb/home/satelliteradar

Yes exactly this had already moved ahead of the jet much further east of this gets much further north east before the turn at 1am then it's back to the models of 2 days ago

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The 18z has the Northern extent of the precip as the Eire/N Ireland border with the heaviest no further North than Dublin.  This is at Sunday 6am.  After that the precip exits East.  I think if we see the precip head 50 miles further north before it moves out East then I think we may be in with chance.

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1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:

This band in ireland is still pushing NE,the current track would push it into NW england:shok:

The NE progression is as per the 18z.  As my post above, if it gets further North of the Eire/N Ireland border then that  will be a variance to the current modelling,  Here is hoping!

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7 minutes ago, blizzard81 said:

Mmmmm, interesting. So glad it is the weekend. Can stop up and watch radar. 

I can,but i want to get up early for the starter,got my ruler ready:yahoo:

7569863170_74892cbe2e_b.jpg&key=e1f04115

Edited by Allseasons-si
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1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:

I can,but i want to get up early for the starter,got my ruler ready

7569863170_74892cbe2e_b.jpg&key=e1f04115

I really don't know what to expect with this one. My head says no but my heart says yes lol. 

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4 minutes ago, Craigers said:

18z NMM chart for 1am

Screenshot_20171209-233150.thumb.png.8d609a500bb158c25bb0610c633bf973.pngScreenshot_20171209-233215.thumb.png.9cf5e55d66a9f819245b154e5cb1463e.png

Progression is a bit faster! Pivoting more north east. 

You might be right, although the main band of precip extended SE out if Eire is pretty much as per the 18z but what is different is the front edge precip over South Wales/Bristol Channel.

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just had a scout through other threads and its only people in our thread and the north west seeing it further north :rofl:

I really really hope it is further north and we get some decent snow out of this!

so much for me logging off and going to bed haha 

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3 minutes ago, snow*please said:

just had a scout through other threads and its only people in our thread and the north west seeing it further north :rofl:

I really really hope it is further north and we get some decent snow out of this!

so much for me logging off and going to bed haha 

Cos they will want to see it further south,they live in the south:D,allways the same and never changes:nonono:

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This is more or less right on track to hit midlands like earlier. Can’t believe some honesty believe we could still be seeing something decent. Guys let it go. And hopefully we will see something more productive in the weeks ahead. 

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