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SE England and EA Regional Weather Discussion


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37 minutes ago, SnowShoeHare said:

Just happy to see it on the MetO website, I have not so fond memories of walking home from central London after a similar event in 2003 so will be leaving early regardless. Anything is a bonus.

Same here except I was cycling. Started snowing just before I left work.

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16 minutes ago, snowy weather said:

Hey Steve, how's it looking for west Sussex, more specifically Crawley/horsham?

BBC weather and the met office has us down for heavy snow from 5pm to 9pm.

Is that still pretty much what the models are showing?

Well very difficult to pin down- the suggestion is we will all see snow this eve- however elevated areas over 100m will see accumulations

there will also be an area where the PPN hits the max where sea level will see some cover - destination unknown lol- 

suggest trying a little drive to that really high hill - its always in the clouds in surrey cant remember the name- its the highest point in surrey -

theres a nice pub on the top- ! Someone will know the name!

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5 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Well very difficult to pin down- the suggestion is we will all see snow this eve- however elevated areas over 100m will see accumulations

there will also be an area where the PPN hits the max where sea level will see some cover - destination unknown lol- 

suggest trying a little drive to that really high hill - its always in the clouds in surrey cant remember the name- its the highest point in surrey -

theres a nice pub on the top- ! Someone will know the name!

Box Hill?

I think there's another one but can't remember the name for now either, I expect both will be good.

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5 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Well very difficult to pin down- the suggestion is we will all see snow this eve- however elevated areas over 100m will see accumulations

there will also be an area where the PPN hits the max where sea level will see some cover - destination unknown lol- 

suggest trying a little drive to that really high hill - its always in the clouds in surrey cant remember the name- its the highest point in surrey -

theres a nice pub on the top- ! Someone will know the name!

Leith Hill isn't it?

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9 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Well very difficult to pin down- the suggestion is we will all see snow this eve- however elevated areas over 100m will see accumulations

there will also be an area where the PPN hits the max where sea level will see some cover - destination unknown lol- 

suggest trying a little drive to that really high hill - its always in the clouds in surrey cant remember the name- its the highest point in surrey -

theres a nice pub on the top- ! Someone will know the name!

Whats your take on the more southerly track the low could take? 

Edited by Seasonality
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6 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Well very difficult to pin down- the suggestion is we will all see snow this eve- however elevated areas over 100m will see accumulations

there will also be an area where the PPN hits the max where sea level will see some cover - destination unknown lol- 

suggest trying a little drive to that really high hill - its always in the clouds in surrey cant remember the name- its the highest point in surrey -

theres a nice pub on the top- ! Someone will know the name!

I found that pub once, must be 10 years ago when we had a late Easterly in March. Anyway all the hills were covered in thick snow and the low ground in between was completely green! Strange really.

 

GFS high res still looking good to me, I have often used this even though its not very high res to good effect. Met O have often got the SNOW forecast terribly wrong when GFS was spot on. When GFS says NO on the other hand, I have never known it to be wrong at under 24hrs.

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We do not want a southerly movement in the track, as less cold air is wrapped into it so I heard. The more 'north' the better if anything, the BBC weather app still gives me heavy snow for a few hours, it will be exciting to see how it unfolds. :) 

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4 minutes ago, Seasonality said:

Whats your take on the more southerly track the low could take? 

MetO Chief Forecastor's Assessment (for today's yellow warning)

'As a developing area of low pressure moves east across southern Britain on Thursday there is potential for rain to turn rapidly to snow as cold air is drawn in. However, there is a great deal of uncertainty over the track and intensity of this system, meaning that confidence is low in the amount and extent of any snow.'

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3 minutes ago, Changing Skies said:

We do not want a southerly movement in the track, as less cold air is wrapped into it so I heard. The more 'north' the better if anything, the BBC weather app still gives me heavy snow for a few hours, it will be exciting to see how it unfolds. :) 

The warmer air is in the southern part of the low,

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What we don't want (for this neck of the woods) is a more Northerly track.

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14 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Looks more like it's coming in further north to me?

The LP is yet to form. Cyclogenesis initiates about midday. UNLESS it's started early, which is not a good thing.

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Forecast this morning keeps mentioning the snow later with "Blizzards" possible on the North Downs, then more snow possible Friday before turning milder up to 9C on Sunday

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32 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Well very difficult to pin down- the suggestion is we will all see snow this eve- however elevated areas over 100m will see accumulations

there will also be an area where the PPN hits the max where sea level will see some cover - destination unknown lol- 

suggest trying a little drive to that really high hill - its always in the clouds in surrey cant remember the name- its the highest point in surrey -

theres a nice pub on the top- ! Someone will know the name!

Thanks steve. So far so good for me....

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