Ireland Regional Weather Discussion

[Weegaz]

5 minutes ago, BREIFMAN11 said:

Lol the automateds sure are the funny bunch. They show 5C, then as soon as it enters first five days it drops down 2/3C.

They will be gospel when they show double snow symbols for 4 days constant 

[Weegaz]

At +69......woozer

[Weegaz]

Storm now further north so that could affect things this week circa Wednesday 

[ronan]

14 minutes ago, Weegaz said:

At +69......woozer

Something special on the way and could end up more prolonged than what we think. Some areas are gonna get plastered!!

[Weegaz]

1 minute ago, ronan said:

Something special on the way and could end up more prolonged than what we think. Some areas are gonna get plastered!!

Hopefully the storm does one, it’ll draw in warmer temps, along with causing possible harm as issue with every storm

[ronan]

It will draw in a little warmer air but colder air quickly following in behind again. If we get the snow totals that the models are showing then just imagine the conditions if the storm hits. Blowing and drifting snow would be a cause for concern. Am on ramp mode tonight. Lol

[Guest]

What a run. Onto the 00z 

[Neiller22]

Don’t want to put a dampener on things but I’m not loving this run! 

[bobbarley]

Does this run not show a mild storm for us with heavy rain?

[mountain shadow]

Perish the day when I ever get 'concerned' by a 18z GFS ops run.

[Rocheydub]

Still... It shows a milder version!  

And that storm would kill people too. We need changes ASAP!

[ronan]

35 minutes ago, Neiller22 said:

Don’t want to put a dampener on things but I’m not loving this run! 

When do you ever not put a dampner on things? 

Edited January 13, 2018 by ronan

[booferking]

I leave these here and i hope there completely wrong  this runner needs to go South and nowhere near as deep as quite a few of the ens are showing. 

 

Edited January 13, 2018 by booferking

[Guest]

Hopefully the MOGREPS does not join the 18z boat and keeps the storm well south as shown in The Week Ahead (this assuming that BBC uses mogreps for forecasts)

[mountain shadow]

I'm looking forward to tomorrow when the high res comes into range. 

[Neiller22]

8 hours ago, mountain shadow said:

Perish the day when I ever get 'concerned' by a 18z GFS ops run.

 

8 hours ago, ronan said:

When do you ever not put a dampner on things? 

Unfortunately this mornings runs follow suit MS in cutting  this cold spell short and oooooo.... to have an opinion against the grain in this forum Ronan ! Its called realism.

Ps. I didn't say we would not get snow, all I stated was that the last nights run was not  as good as previous runs. And that continues this morn unfortunately.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

To much whining in the model thread so can't make any sense of what to expect. Snow wind and potential cold week still ahead from what I make out (according to the meto anyway) https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/mobile/regional-forecast/ni

[mountain shadow]

No downgrades from what I can see.

Met office forecast is full on ramp for low lying snow and the automated look brilliant. 

Where the runner low goes next week is still undecided. 

[Neiller22]

35 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

No downgrades from what I can see.

Met office forecast is full on ramp for low lying snow and the automated look brilliant. 

Where the runner low goes next week is still undecided. 

Hope so. Just wish this low would go south a bit to give us the ultimate "dumping"

[Sparky72]

Looks like the low moving north a bit?

[booferking]

Runner low is doing my titts in 12hrs of heavy rain washes away are good snow then we have to start again as it zips away just go South yea f..ker.

[booferking]

Yep and now the beeb showing that low 100 miles or so further north.

Just goes to show mogreps model which met use is as good as the gfs ecm all freely available to the public..

Edited January 14, 2018 by booferking

[Sperrin]

Just our luck that the previous sliders ran south giving us a last minute dodge And now this one moves north.

However, we two to three days of great snow potential followed by a cold flow when the low moves through. 

Most of The guys in England would give their right arm for our setup this week!

[jello]

Meto warning extended until weds

Bring on the snow

[Neiller22]

The low is ruining a great cold spell. Continually going north!