Ireland Regional Weather Discussion

[mountain shadow]

GFS 18z is a beauty of a run. 

Hope the trend is still there tomorrow. 

[ronan]

MS can we start nailing this? Lol. If this goes t*ts up then i'll not be happy.  We would be buried if this came off.

[Sperrin]

3 hours ago, booferking said:

I think we are good to go just need runs to hold the 850s to we get nearer the event and no modifying them anybody remember 29th Jan 2015 5 inches snow here at low levels quite similar event to whats been shown on mods.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-31015587

 

That was a classic PM event. Just went through my Google photos and found this...

 

Next week looking very very Good!

[Sparky72]

I don't see any of the weather forecast sites going for anything other than some wintry showers for some next week. Why would this be?

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Weather on radio Ulster talking about it getting a lot  colder from Monday with increasingly wintry showers 

[mountain shadow]

1 hour ago, Sparky72 said:

I don't see any of the weather forecast sites going for anything other than some wintry showers for some next week. Why would this be?

Because that's exactly what we'll be getting, wintry showers.

At 4/5 days away it's impossible to say where the wintry precipitation will fall and whether it will be rain, sleet or snow.

[Guest]

850hPa temperatures modelled by GFS -6/-7C perfect, a great upgrade and well worth staying up for.

[ronan]

Pinch of salt and all that but can I bank this. 

[Sperrin]

Holy stained glass windows! 

Check out the gfs ens for Omagh next week. I'm loving those snow row percentages (I live 100m higher than Omagh too!) 

i have to say there is fantastic agreement amongst the ens right up to the 20th. 

Hopefully we all hit the jackpot at some stage next week!

 

[Weegaz]

14 minutes ago, Sperrin said:

Holy stained glass windows! 

Check out the gfs ens for Omagh next week. I'm loving those snow row percentages (I live 100m higher than Omagh too!) 

i have to say there is fantastic agreement amongst the ens right up to the 20th. 

Hopefully we all hit the jackpot at some stage next week!

 

Do you have the link for these sperrin, I have lost a load of links off my computer.

[booferking]

1 hour ago, ronan said:

Pinch of salt and all that but can I bank this. 

Sometime this pinch of salt will taste so sweet.

[Sperrin]

Go to...

www.meteoceil.fr

then find the location box on the column down the left hand side and stick in your location. Someone must have requested Omagh from the guy who runs it because it's available as a location. However, Belfast isn't! You may have to search around local towns to see if any are stored on their site. Alternatively I think you can use your longitude and latitude coordinates, however, I wouldn't have a clue how to get them!

you then click on the link that says diagrammes gfs Ens and you're sorted!

[booferking]

Snowiest spell of the year coming up. Where going to need dug out lol

Edited January 11, 2018 by booferking

[Weegaz]

13 minutes ago, Sperrin said:

Go to...

www.meteoceil.fr

then find the location box on the column down the left hand side and stick in your location. Someone must have requested Omagh from the guy who runs it because it's available as a location. However, Belfast isn't! You may have to search around local towns to see if any are stored on their site. Alternatively I think you can use your longitude and latitude coordinates, however, I wouldn't have a clue how to get them!

you then click on the link that says diagrammes gfs Ens and you're sorted!

I had found it in the mean time but thanks, Antrim is the closest location to me.

[SnowJon]

This is how I view those graphs:

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs.php?carte=1

Just click on your location on the map and it should popup in a new window 

[Weegaz]

22 hours ago, mountain shadow said:

Another 24 hours to go by before I get too excited over snow prospects next week. Yes GFS looks fantastic for 72 hour snow chance period but the ECM is not as good so I want to see another couple of runs from it.

Wheres the level of excitement at now MS? 

 or 

[Neiller22]

2 hours ago, Weegaz said:

Wheres the level of excitement at now MS? 

 or 

He’s be rightfully cautious as it’s very marginal indeed. This is far from a done deal for low lying areas. A long way to go yet before where snow will fall and how much I’m afraid. 

[mountain shadow]

2 hours ago, Weegaz said:

Wheres the level of excitement at now MS? 

 or 

6 out of 10 at the moment Weegaz.

Snow over high ground is now certain next week between Monday and Friday, however for lower levels we need to wait and see.

- Dew points look good

- Thicknesses look very good

- It's the 850s which remain the issue.

And it goes without saying that the like of Donegal, Sligo, Derry, North Antrim, Fermanagh and Tyrone are likely to be best candidates.

[Thunderywintrysnow]

Looking good for snow next week let's see what the 12z have to say.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

2 hours ago, mountain shadow said:

6 out of 10 at the moment Weegaz.

Snow over high ground is now certain next week between Monday and Friday, however for lower levels we need to wait and see.

- Dew points look good

- Thicknesses look very good

- It's the 850s which remain the issue.

And it goes without saying that the like of Donegal, Sligo, Derry, North Antrim, Fermanagh and Tyrone are likely to be best candidates.

Up Tyrone 

[Thunderywintrysnow]

Cecilia mention snow showers and bitterly cold winds next week.

[mountain shadow]

22 minutes ago, Thunderywintrysnow said:

Cecilia mention snow showers and bitterly cold winds next week.

Crikey, must be good potential if Celia's mentioning it already!

[mountain shadow]

Holy dog ~@*T on the 12z so far.

Massive upgrades on the 850s, most of Ireland getting plastered!!

[Weegaz]

 

13 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

Holy dog ~@*T on the 12z so far.

Massive upgrades on the 850s, most of Ireland getting plastered!!

I'd say your a 7 now MS. 

[mountain shadow]

29 minutes ago, Weegaz said:

 

I'd say your a 7 now MS. 

6.9