North West England Regional Weather Discussion

[cheshire snow]

Great post Joe

Cannot argue with that analysis

I would expect the METO text wording later to read something like wintry Showers

Turning to snow showers later

 

C.S

[Day 10]

I know the meto apps are pretty crap, but Wirral has it's first snow symbols appearing for tmr eve! Not often you see them, so we must have a chance!

[frosty ground]

 

[northwestsnow]

2 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

 

Looks good to me mate we should get at least a dusting looking at that meto map.

[raul_sbd]

7.6c and 0.8 DP here in Sale, South Manchester

Please check my weather station for future reference

 

http://raulsbd.co.uk/gauges-ss.htm

[Day 10]

1 minute ago, frosty ground said:

 

Great chart that. Gives people the answers they need. I'd be just happy seeing snow showers falling, if they don't stick fair enough as I know we need the perfect setup here on the coast. A few miles inland should do well then.

[northwestsnow]

East of the pennines looks dry but i still suspect the showers will penetrate as far east as hudds sheffield etc.

[Wildswimmer Pete]

Report from Liverpool ATIS @ 14:47Z:

Wind 290 27kt gusting 37kt 

Temp 8C DP 0C (2C drop over one hour)

Pressure 1010hpa steady

Currently windy, cloudy and dry here.

[weatherobsuk]

I'm 29mi east of the Mersey *as the crow flies* but at 210m asl i'm hoping for a slightly more westerly component to the wind, would give frequent showers in around the Buxton area that would accumulate to a good few cm over surfaces. 

[frosty ground]

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gcw88zh40#?fcTime=1484179200

The worst update by far...... 

[Thunder Snow]

I'm between a and c lol

[chiffer]

9 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gcw88zh40#?fcTime=1484179200

The worst update by far...... 

Looks good?

[frosty ground]

Just now, chiffer said:

Looks good?

Considering what the potential was at one point I would say no.... I expect more downgrades but that would depend on what happens down south now.

I still expect to see snow and get a  dusting thou.

[raul_sbd]

Also kind of a downgrade for Sale.. before was snow from 5pm and now sleet to begin and only few hours of light snow..

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gcqrghydh#?fcTime=1484179200

[Miamay]

Some thicker clouds coming in from the Mersey. Still dry and very windy. 

[Wildswimmer Pete]

Liverpool ATIS @ 15:20Z

Wind 290 21kt

Temp 8C DP 0C

Pressure 1010hpa steady

High wind and gale warning in force

Currently windy, sunny and dry here.

Edited January 11, 2017 by Wildswimmer Pete

[Snow free zone]

12 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gcw88zh40#?fcTime=1484179200

The worst update by far...... 

LOL and you think that is bad

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gcw1fe28j#?fcTime=1484179200

 

[chiffer]

12 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

Considering what the potential was at one point I would say no.... I expect more downgrades but that would depend on what happens down south now.

I still expect to see snow and get a  dusting thou.

Not long until 12z's start rolling out, fingers crossed for a last minute upgrade.

[Day 10]

31 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gcw88zh40#?fcTime=1484179200

The worst update by far...... 

Are you having a laugh? Most people would be made up with that.

[Miamay]

Wind seems to be getting a lot stronger here now and is more noisy out

[frosty ground]

4 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Are you having a laugh? Most people would be made up with that.

I'm not disappointed by it, just pointing out that the changes we have all been seeing.

[Day 10]

The forecast for tmr eve looked pretty good just  then on bbc news 24. snow showers pretty widespread including the coast!

[I Cumbria Marra I]

Im very worried that the met office symbols are consistently bone dry for here, i think its going to be one of those where the showers are off the coast of cumbria and north lancs while pummeling the south of the region.

[Joe Bloggs]

And an update from the 12z GFS 

6am tomorrow:- 

 

 

 

12pm:-

 

 

3pm:-

 

<--- notice the colder air digs in at this point, with plenty of showers still. 

6pm:-

 

 - precipitation eases back slightly, but now the cold air digs in properly. Overnight snow eases back towards the coast.

Friday 6am!

 - organised precipitation moves down from the north - quite a strong chance of snow away from the coast, clearing to the Midlands Friday morning.

===

So all in all the 12z backs up the 06z output. Too mild for snow tomorrow morning (away from the hills), then the cold air digs in 3pm turning showers to snow. Showers dying back to the coast tomorrow evening, before (in a new twist) more organised snow (with rain near the coast) moves in later in the night from the north.

Edited January 11, 2017 by Joe Bloggs

[Chris.R]

I've spent the last hour remaking my DIY wetbulb thermometer  which is now operational and looking good. Think I'll do hourly reports tonight for the benefit of those in this area.

 

 

Edited January 11, 2017 by Chris.R