North West England Regional Weather Discussion

[frosty ground]

Thursday's warning has been updated no real change for our region.

[northwestsnow]

1 minute ago, frosty ground said:

Thursday's warning has been updated no real change for our region.

Yes still expecting a showery regime, will be hit and miss most likely, still thinking quite a few places will catch some snow showers, even through thur night

.

[WillinGlossop]

59 minutes ago, Snow free zone said:

Latest met o update forecast IMBY for tomorrow suggests showers on and off all day - winds W to WSW then NW. Not cold enough for snow early doors but temps suggested to drop mid morning with snow showers from then on for here at least.  For me at least this will be the most accurate forecast to follow over the next 36 hrs or so.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gcw1fe28j#?fcTime=1484179200

 

Gusting 60-65mph here pretty wild but sunny blue skies.....  met looks good for snow here atm.... my brother in Birkerod Denmark has 10cm snow blowing sideways and drifting....

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Nmm been updated ant it not too good

Edited January 11, 2017 by Stratocumulus perlucidus

[cheshire snow]

Plenty of snow Showers packing into cheshire/merseyside/Manchester tomorrow evening according to the 1055 forecast on news 24

C.S

[frosty ground]

3 minutes ago, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

Nmm been updated ant it not too good

what about thursday? Rather than Friday Morning? 

[Thunder Snow]

I'm out of metoffic warning area now. it's gone Tits up lol

[northwestsnow]

6 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

what about thursday? Rather than Friday Morning? 

Think that shows accumulated by fi morning mate, think it will be wrong i expect more and the beeb forecast i just watched did show snow showers piling into our neck of the woods thur evening, much as gfs6z showed.

[chiffer]

2 minutes ago, Thunder Snow said:

I'm out of metoffic warning area now. it's gone Tits up lol

I'm comfortably in the warning, however im quite confident and i hate to say it... nearly all of these showers will be rain. I'd much rather be in your position!

[frosty ground]

1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

Think that shows accumulated by fi morning mate, think it will be wrong i expect more and the beeb forecast i just watched did show snow showers piling into our neck of the woods thur evening, much as gfs6z showed.

Well there is not much over Scotland considering so I can only assume it's wrong or the total accumulation is not from the initiation.... (maybe 3 hour steps?)

[Spah1]

Amazing how the South is going to do better than us off a North Westerly. 

[Wildswimmer Pete]

Current report from Liverpool ATIS timed 11:50Z:

Wind 290 28kt gusting 40kt

Temp 8C DP 3C

Pressure 1009hpa

High wind and gale warning in force.

Currently dry here.

[Iceaxecrampon]

Class.

How marginal has this turned out...! - coupled with near coastal position non event on the cards.

Even Cumbria is dry.... 

Will see.

[Thunder Snow]

29 minutes ago, chiffer said:

I'm comfortably in the warning, however im quite confident and i hate to say it... nearly all of these showers will be rain. I'd much rather be in your position!

really

[karyo]

14 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Amazing how the South is going to do better than us off a North Westerly. 

It is not as good a northwesterly as it was shown a couple of days ago. The shortwave that will affect the south tomorrow looks like reducing our shower activity and the northwesterly flow. The winds get slack reducing the showers and after it clears the south there is a small oppostunity for us before the wind turns more northerly therefore inland areas stay mostly dry. Let's hope for a bit more of a northwesterly in the next update.

[Wildswimmer Pete]

12 minutes ago, karyo said:

It is not as good a northwesterly as it was shown a couple of days ago. The shortwave that will affect the south tomorrow looks like reducing our shower activity and the northwesterly flow. The winds get slack reducing the showers and after it clears the south there is a small oppostunity for us before the wind turns more northerly therefore inland areas stay mostly dry. Let's hope for a bit more of a northwesterly in the next update.

Wind veered 10deg in the past two hours.  Will check again around 1pm

Edit: My bad, earlier direction was 290deg, wind strength has increased from 24kt to 28kt with 40kt gusts.

Edited January 11, 2017 by Wildswimmer Pete

[northwestsnow]

Well themanchester 6z GEFS still have a signal for decent precip thur into fri so im still confident the showers will move inland in the cold unstable flow.

Edited January 11, 2017 by northwestsnow

[ianshortall]

One thing for sure there will be no Snow on the Costa Del Wirral.

 

[Backtrack]

1 minute ago, ianshortall said:

One thing for sure there will be no Snow on the Costa Del Wirral.

 

If you think that, then you're silly.

Looks fantastic for us all tomorrow night

[ianshortall]

I'm right on the coast usually rain or sleet but would certainly be shocked if we got a dumping of Snow but lets wait and see hey.

[Weather-history]

Manchester Airport TAF goes for snow showers tomorrow afternoon

TAF: EGCC 111056Z 1112/1218 28018G28KT 9999 SCT030 TEMPO 1112/1122 29025G38KT PROB40 TEMPO 1112/1206 7000 SHRA BKN014 BECMG 1203/1206 25011KT PROB40 TEMPO 1206/1212 4000 SHRASN BKN008 PROB40 TEMPO 1212/1218 27015G25KT 1200 SHSN BKN004

 

[karyo]

The 6z euro 4 shows organised wintry showers midday tomorrow for the southern half of our region. Snow mainly on hills. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=euro4&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=30&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

Then dry for us with a significant dumping of snow south/southeast England.

Interestingly, it gives light snow showers tomorrow midnight. 

[Backtrack]

22 minutes ago, Wildswimmer Pete said:

Wind veered 10deg in the past two hours.  Will check again around 1pm

Edit: My bad, earlier direction was 290deg, wind strength has increased from 24kt to 28kt with 40kt gusts.

Why're you down as 'Greater Liverpool'? We're still Halton/Cheshire?

[Backtrack]

1 minute ago, karyo said:

The 6z euro 4 shows organised wintry showers midday tomorrow for the southern half of our region. Snow mainly on hills. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=euro4&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=30&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

Then dry for us with a significant dumping of snow south/southeast England.

Interestingly, it gives light snow showers tomorrow midnight. 

 

Ah, the world's most inaccurate PPN charts. Why anyone uses those, I have no idea.

[captaincroc]

Just now, Backtrack said:

 

Ah, the world's most inaccurate PPN charts. Why anyone uses those, I have no idea.

 I thought they were what the MetO used?