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phil nw.

Model Output Discussions 06z 04/11/16

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4 minutes ago, snowy weather said:

Forgive me as I am a novice but isn't that chart bad for cold?

Being the time of year, this would actually be chilly/cold on the surface, particularly overnight with widespread frost if skies clear and winds fall light near the centre.

Edited by Chris K

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1 minute ago, Chris K said:

Being the time of year, this would actually be chilly/cold on the surface, particularly overnight with widespread frost where skies clear and winds fall light near the centre.

I understand. Thanks .

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1 minute ago, Chris K said:

Being the time of year, this would actually be cold on the surface, particularly overnight with widespread frost where skies clear and winds fall light near the centre.

Pretty much what we will see  tonight.:)

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good possibilities with that chart down the line the interesting time frame to watch is at 144h 

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Huh!!...better alignment than the 6zalready...could this really be close..or better than the 6z!!!!

Edited by tight isobar

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5 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

Huh!!...better alignment than the 6zalready...could this really be close..or better than the 6z!!!!

Don't say that! The forum will crash.

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UKMO looks better to me at +96, slightly better ridging 

 

gfsnh-0-96.pngUN96-21.gif

Edited by karlos1983

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GFS is so knife edge that i'd rather avoid the situation all together so many of those hazard spoilers. 

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not sure I like where the GFS is going with this 

 

EDIT: Seems ok actually

Edited by karlos1983

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7 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

UKMO looks better to me at +96, slightly better ridging 

 

gfsnh-0-96.pngUN96-21.gif

ECM Take note of above please for later tonight. Copy and paste if you want. 

So far so good.. ❄️❄️❄️❄️

 

Edited by Unleash the Beast

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Not liking the UKMO at 96h, looks like it is moving toward ECM

UN96-21.GIF?24-17

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Just now, karlos1983 said:

not sure I like where the GFS is going with this 

Could you put a bit of meat on those bones....

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GFS T.123.... Potential spoiler in the works. Double shortwave off the NE seaboard / Atlantic

123.jpg

Edited by Gavin Hannah

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4 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

yup UKMO sucks

GFS doesn't at 144 :D

gfsnh-0-144.png

pressure building west of Greenland at 156 hrs

gfsnh-0-156.png

 

Edited by Allseasons-si

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2 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

Could you put a bit of meat on those bones....

I thought it was going to merge the 2 lows, much like the UKMO has now done at 120. It didn't though thankfully.

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To my eye gfs at 162 is following 6z cold a little further north east!

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Looks like gfs is a little isolated in its output at moment Ukmo looks very similar to ecm at t120. Interesting ecm tonight. 

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