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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Tempest Contributor

Tempest

Posted
  • Location: Lochmaben Dumfries & Galloway
  • Weather Preferences: Spicy weather
  • Location: Lochmaben Dumfries & Galloway
Posted

Nite, nite, nothing happening :nea:

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted

I've seen this waaay too many times before - people don't listen to the experts who say 'wait til x o'clock' and then when they go to sleep and miss it they'll wake up tomorrow and blame those very same people for not being accurate.

weve only got to wait an hour and things'll start to kick off...

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Convective Community Regular

Convective

Posted
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers, cold winters.. How it should be!
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
Posted
3 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

I've seen this waaay too many times before - people don't listen to the experts who say 'wait til x o'clock' and then when they go to sleep and miss it they'll wake up tomorrow and blame those very same people for not being accurate.

weve only got to wait an hour and things'll start to kick off...

Its actually incredibly frustrating.. wish people would just go to bed rather than comment on a 'bust' or 'non-event', despite we're still two hours off blast off. Just go to bed and miss the action if that's what you want to do!

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dave reid Contributor

dave reid

Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Location: Bournemouth
Posted
3 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

weve only got to wait an hour and things'll start to kick off...

Hence why im off to bed and set my alarm for 3am, working away in Scotland (fingers crossed) going to work out very nicely

see u if few hrs :)

 

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Rob Walker Explorer

Rob Walker

Posted
  • Location: Salisbury
  • Location: Salisbury
Posted

I quite like this site. Seems to be relatively accurate for wind flow, and can be good for looking how systems are interacting/convergences are developing (or not) on set-up's like these.....

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-1.57,51.63,3000/loc=-1.526,49.864

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StormChaseUK Community Regular

StormChaseUK

Posted
  • Location: Ludlow, Shropshire
  • Weather Preferences: thunder
  • Location: Ludlow, Shropshire
Posted
15 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Again I am only developing my storm knowledge and this is only an opinion. Being 17 years old this is not easy to take in, so don't take my opinion as definite. If any of you more experienced can direct me where I have gone wrong/correct me it will be much appreciated!

Thanks all.

 

 

I'd say that is pretty much spot on and I am 38 :) Good job, the next few hours will see ........

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Mr_ Nexus Contributor

Mr_ Nexus

Posted
  • Location: The Port with no sea , Sandwell , West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: The Port with no sea , Sandwell , West Midlands
Posted

I'm keeping my eye on that rain tracking up from the SW towards the West Mids that's currently over Gloucester .

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stevofunnelcl Aficionado

stevofunnelcl

Posted
  • Location: Torrington, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: storms - of the severe kind
  • Location: Torrington, Devon
Posted

It's going again, southern Irish Sea

If you're anywhere near Milford Haven now, watch for lightning

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StormChaseUK Community Regular

StormChaseUK

Posted
  • Location: Ludlow, Shropshire
  • Weather Preferences: thunder
  • Location: Ludlow, Shropshire
Posted
2 minutes ago, Mr_ Nexus said:

I'm keeping my eye on that rain tracking up from the SW towards the West Mids that's currently over Gloucester .

I'd ignore that it's just moisture in the air, it's the red achoes out to the SW of Wales that are exploding into life currently.

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Sparkiee storm Seasoned

Sparkiee storm

Posted
  • Location: Walsall, West Midlands 135m/442ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Heatwaves, thunderstorms, cold/snowy spells.
  • Location: Walsall, West Midlands 135m/442ft ASL
Posted
Just now, Mr_ Nexus said:

I'm keeping my eye on that rain tracking up from the SW towards the West Mids that's currently over Gloucester .

Same, that's what's keeping me awake at the moment, plus I think another member mentioned it may but I stress only 'may' spring into life in the coming couple of hours.

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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted

If the CF is moving slower than modelled, then tomorrow morning into lunchtime, things could really ramp up regarding SB storms with potential supercell candidates. Perhaps a similar outcome to June 2012? Remember it all kicked off early morning in Wales and by lunchtime over Leicestershire delivered the motherload. 

Or maybe I'm just the King of wishful thinking! 

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted
7 minutes ago, StormChaseUK said:

I'd ignore that it's just moisture in the air, it's the red achoes out to the SW of Wales that are exploding into life currently.

Moisture in the air? You mean actual precipitation then...

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Ross Andrew Hemphill Community Regular

Ross Andrew Hemphill

Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
Posted

Lightning is almost every second now, a constant rumble of thunder ⚡ 

 

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Martin Auld Contributor

Martin Auld

Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and anything unusual
  • Location: Edinburgh
Posted

I'm seeing lightning in a cloud that isnt producing any precipitation..... cool!

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

 Unbelievably it still 26.7°C at home. That is no lie. Absolutely incredible. 

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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted
1 minute ago, Martin Auld said:

I'm seeing lightning in a cloud that isnt producing any precipitation..... cool!

A rare dry storm in Scotland! Make the best out of it. Remarkable stuff!! 

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loubie_4 Enthusiast

loubie_4

Posted
  • Location: Maghull, Merseyside 29m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost, storms
  • Location: Maghull, Merseyside 29m ASL
Posted

Light precipitation here at the mo. 

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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted

Sferic near Bristol according to blitzortung. Hopefully not false.

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Martin Auld Contributor

Martin Auld

Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and anything unusual
  • Location: Edinburgh
Posted
10 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

A rare dry storm in Scotland! Make the best out of it. Remarkable stuff!! 

Unfortunately it isn't a dry storm as the radar now shows a rapidly developing cell in that direction that popped up five minutes ago. But it's lightning so I'm happy to see it no matter what

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted

ESTOFEX: 20th July 2016

showforecast.cgi.png

... Norhern England, Scotland ...

In conjunction with the passage of a pronounced cold front, widespread thunderstorm activity is forecast over the region already in the morning hours. Forecast soundings point to the threat of excessive rainfall with skinny CAPE profiles and saturated troposphere. Despite the presence of DLS above 15 m/s and a potential for well organised DMC, large hail threat does not seem to be as pronounced as the threat of heavy rainfall due to the lack of high CAPE values and steep mid-tropospheric lapse rates. Nevertheless, especially over the southern half of Lvl 1, isolated large hail event may occur with stronger updrafts.
 

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted
Just now, Costa Del Fal said:

Sferic near Bristol according to blitzortung. Hopefully not false.

Agreed but haven't seen anything, I've got my eyes peeled!

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matt_in_dudley Contributor

matt_in_dudley

Posted
  • Location: Russells Hall, Dudley, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, hot sunshine and snowstorms
  • Location: Russells Hall, Dudley, West Midlands
Posted (edited)

Currently 24.5C with 55% humidity here! Got the fan on full blast and the windows open and i'm still hot! Hoping for a storm to clear the air a bit! Not going to get my hopes up though because nothing is certain, especially around here! 

Edited by matt_in_dudley
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Martin Auld Contributor

Martin Auld

Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and anything unusual
  • Location: Edinburgh
Posted

I have some intracloud lightning just north of my location from a small shower now this is getting good

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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted (edited)

Exceptionally warm here. 24-25c still according to local stations. All quiet though still. Most models still showing Nothing tomorrow morning here though perhaps a last chance tomorrow afternoon. Met office going for a thundery shower mid afternoon. 

Edited by Costa Del Fal
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