July 2016 C.E.T. Forecasts

[Summer Sun]

17.0c to the 28th

1.0c above the 61 to 90 average

0.3c above the 81 to 10 average

[BornFromTheVoid]

The minimum today is 11.1C while the maxima look like being around 20C, so remaining on 17.0C on tomorrows update.

The min for tomorrow looks like being around 11C, with the max in the high 19s, so the month should finish on 16.9C before corrections. That leaves a range of about 16.5 to 16.9C after corrections.

[The PIT]

Looks like sunny Sheffield will finish on 16.5C close enough to normal.

[Weather-history]

A bit of nostalgia, here's the July 2006 CET thread. 10 years since the hottest ever CET month. Doesn't feel like 10 years ago.

 

[Roger J Smith]

Weather-history, did you post a forecast for July somewhere else? I don't see one from you in this thread. Just wondering. 

[Weather-history]

16 hours ago, Roger J Smith said:

Weather-history, did you post a forecast for July somewhere else? I don't see one from you in this thread. Just wondering. 

It was in the predictions for 2016  thread. I went for a warmer, wetter than average July. 

Edited July 31, 2016 by Weather-history

[BornFromTheVoid]

Min today of 10.3C means that a max of anywhere between 17.0C and 23.1C will give us a monthly value of 16.9C before corrections, so with the GFS going for a max in the high 19s that 16.9C finish looks pretty certain.

[Summer Sun]

17.0c to the 30th

0.9c above the 61 to 90 average

0.3c above the 81 to 10 average

[Roger J Smith]

10 hours ago, Weather-history said:

It was in the predictions for 2006  thread. I went for a warmer, wetter than average July. 

Sorry, I meant this July of 2016? I don't have you in the table of forecasts, did you post in another thread? 

[Weather-history]

1 hour ago, Roger J Smith said:

Sorry, I meant this July of 2016? I don't have you in the table of forecasts, did you post in another thread? 

 

1 hour ago, Roger J Smith said:

Sorry, I meant this July of 2016? I don't have you in the table of forecasts, did you post in another thread? 

I went for 17.0C. I can't seem to find it, I'm sure I put 17.0C down somewhere.

Edited July 31, 2016 by Weather-history

[J10]

Results should be posted on Tuesday.

[NorthYorksWeather]

July finished 15.8c here. That's 0.3c above average for this neck of the woods and the first above average month since January

[March]

17.9C here. 

[B87]

July finished 19.2c here, 0.5c above average.

[BornFromTheVoid]

July 2016 confirmed as 16.9C (16.86C)
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2016
 

[Summer Sun]

23 minutes ago, BornFromTheVoid said:

July 2016 confirmed as 16.9C (16.86C)
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2016
 

 

I was out by 0.1 (I went for 17.0c)

[BornFromTheVoid]

The minimum for the 20th, at 19.4C, is now confirmed as the warmest CET minimum on record. This smashes the previous record of 18.8C set in July 29th, 1948 and August 11th, 1997.

The mean temperature of 23.5C for the 20th is also a daily record, beating the previous record of 22.9C set in 1878

 

-----------------------------------------

Of the 31 days this month, 16 days were above the 81-10 average, 15 were below and 0 were exactly average.

Of the 18 above average .......................... ..................... Of the 11 below average
5 were in the top 25 .............................. ......................... 1 was in the bottom 25
2 were in the top 5 .................................. ......................... 0 were in the bottom 5
1 was daily records ............................... .......................... 0 were daily records

The total downward correction in July was -0.05C, from 16.91C to 16.86C. Of the corrections, 15 saw drops, 12 saw increases and 4 days saw no change.

I'll edit and update with more stats during the day.

Edited August 1, 2016 by BornFromTheVoid

[Summer Sun]

On 20/06/2016 at 13:28, sundog said:

16.9c for me please.

Just the one correct score this month

Quite a few 0.1c either side of 16.9

[BornFromTheVoid]

41 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

I was out by 0.1 (I went for 17.0c)

I went 16.8C. Seeing as it was 16.86, I was just 0.02C off!

[sundog]

I nailed a month this yr at last after missing out on 2 other months this yr by 0.1c. each time.

[Relativistic]

An interesting stat.

The 31st of July 2015 saw the 5th coldest July minimum on record: 5.4C.

Less than a year later, the 20th of July 2016 saw the warmest July minimum on record: 19.4C.

[J10]

Results now in for July.

Monthly - 2 players got it spot on, sundog and seaside 60.

Seasonal - seaside 60 leads after getting both June and July spot on. #

Second in the seasonal comp is Summer Sun and 3rd is Born from the Void.

Overall - a big change at the top

Born from the Void.leads with Man with Beard 2nd and BlueSkies do I see in 3rd.

With previous top 3, Evening thunder in 4th and Roger J Smith in 6th, both still very close to the top 3.

Downloads

PDF -> July 2016 CET New.pdf

Excel -> July 2016 CET New.xlsx

As ever any issues with the scores or formatting please let me know.

 

 

[Mapantz]

Great effort to all those who post the data, and to you J10 for doing those files. Good stuff!

[Roger J Smith]

Should be noted, The Pit is in fifth overall and DAVID SNOW is tied sixth. Rest of top ten -- Summer Sun, Congleton Heat, and Norrance. 

 

[J10]

17 hours ago, Roger J Smith said:

Should be noted, The Pit is in fifth overall and DAVID SNOW is tied sixth. Rest of top ten -- Summer Sun, Congleton Heat, and Norrance. 

 

Indeed, it is a very good competition this year,