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North West England Weather discussion 16/01/16 Onwards

Liam J

By Liam J
in Regional

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I Cumbria Marra I Seasoned

I Cumbria Marra I

Posted
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold/snow winter, Warm/hot summer, Thunderstorms, Severe Gales
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
Posted

IMBY whats concerning me is the Euro4 is picking up a rain shadow so ppn won't be heavy enough for evap cooling which is crucial for low levels tonight, like what happened in march 2013 where i was left with jack yet 15 miles south cars were buried at sea level.

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northwestsnow Maestro

northwestsnow

Posted
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
Posted

Euro4 is pants for 99% of us, already thrown the towel in, mind you a towel might come in handy later, im on nights so i'll peer out of the window later to confirm the rains wet :)

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Miamay Experienced

Miamay

Posted
  • Location: Walton, Liverpool. 38m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy weather
  • Location: Walton, Liverpool. 38m asl.
Posted
14 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

I think thats what most of us will be getting mia unless your 300m up on a hill. :)

I will have to go find one lol !!

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Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted

It's sleeting on the tops of Cumbria, rain is now approaching our shores.

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Frost HoIIow Accomplished

Frost HoIIow

Posted
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow, thunderstorms, warm summers not too hot.
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
Posted

Yorkshire Dales could get absolutely buried by the end of tomorrow going off the Euro4. Already looks like a downgrade for here though. :closedeyes:

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cheshire snow Veteran

cheshire snow

Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
Posted

Manchester airport TAF

Heavy Rain 20-00 - 02.00

Sleet 02-00 - 04.00

Snow 04.00 - 10.00

Level 2 winter alert in place until 13-00 Tomorrow afternoon

C.S 

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pip22 Accomplished

pip22

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, very hot weather, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
Posted (edited)
27 minutes ago, Darren Bown said:

Well when people are saying they won't get anything, a cm would probably be pretty exciting, for a snowless winter. No pleasing some! :nonono::D

I already had a cm of snow... well hail yesterday!! :D

Edited by pip22
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northwestsnow Maestro

northwestsnow

Posted
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
Posted
Just now, cheshire snow said:

Manchester airport TAF

Heavy Rain 20-00 - 02.00

Sleet 02-00 - 04.00

Snow 04.00 - 10.00

Level 2 winter alert in place until 13-00 Tomorrow afternoon

C.S 

Interesting thanks CS, i do rate the TAFS to be honest :)

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frosty ground Veteran

frosty ground

Posted
  • Location: oldham
  • Location: oldham
Posted
5 minutes ago, Frost HoIIow said:

Yorkshire Dales could get absolutely buried by the end of tomorrow going off the Euro4. Already looks like a downgrade for here though. :closedeyes:

How has the Euro 4 model been doing lately.... also any links 

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Frost HoIIow Accomplished

Frost HoIIow

Posted
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow, thunderstorms, warm summers not too hot.
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
Posted
3 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

How has the Euro 4 model been doing lately.... also any links 

It wasn't 100% spot on the other day but it was correct in that it moved away from it's original idea of snow on low ground. In reality only areas above 300m got a covering as shown by the M62 motorway webcams.

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2016/03/03/basis12/ukuk/weas/16030409_0312.gif

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2016/03/03/basis12/ukuk/weas/16030418_0312.gif

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2016/03/03/basis12/ukuk/weas/16030512_0312.gif

 

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Frost HoIIow Accomplished

Frost HoIIow

Posted
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow, thunderstorms, warm summers not too hot.
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
Posted (edited)

WRF and Arpege models looking touch and go for lower ground. Away from high ground the dew point looks about 1 or 2C. Far too marginal for my liking, anything 1 or above and you can forget it. Could be huge differences over only 40 metres or so depending on your location.

Edited by Frost HoIIow
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I Cumbria Marra I Seasoned

I Cumbria Marra I

Posted
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold/snow winter, Warm/hot summer, Thunderstorms, Severe Gales
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
Posted

still dry here

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Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted

MetOffice have the temp staying at 6c through to midnight, with quite a lot of rain. Then more rain tomorrow, 3c.

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pip22 Accomplished

pip22

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, very hot weather, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
Posted (edited)

The beeb put me sleet symbol for midnight,then rain for few hours here. They also put rain before midnight and few sleet symbols by dawn. Other words they have no clue what is gonna do here. It is true that snow is pretty hard to forecast. I go for 50/50 for this event.  Hopefully it be a good side of the coin.

Edited by pip22
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WillinGlossop Maestro

WillinGlossop

Posted
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
Posted

Interesting evening to see if anything happens up here, bet bbc breakfast has reporter in buxton!  We shall see.... 4c dew 3c here.... Overcast.....

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted

Just looking at my updated charts, big downgrade for the south west of the region (NO SHOCK THERE)!!!

All rain from about 8pm to 11pm then bone dry til about 8am then maybe some patchy sleet!

:nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono::nonono:

As you can see I'm over the moon with the letdown for the 10,000th time this winter!!!!

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Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted
2 minutes ago, WillinGlossop said:

Interesting evening to see if anything happens up here, bet bbc breakfast has reporter in buxton!  We shall see.... 4c dew 3c here.... Overcast.....

I expect Buxton to be quite a prime place for tonight.

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted
29 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

Manchester airport TAF

Heavy Rain 20-00 - 02.00

Sleet 02-00 - 04.00

Snow 04.00 - 10.00

Level 2 winter alert in place until 13-00 Tomorrow afternoon

C.S 

 Liverpool still have snow in the forecast, but mixed with rain throughout. 

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Miamay Experienced

Miamay

Posted
  • Location: Walton, Liverpool. 38m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy weather
  • Location: Walton, Liverpool. 38m asl.
Posted

I can hear rain !!! :sorry:

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Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted
2 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

 

Those ripple clouds are amazing

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