South West & Central Southern England - Weather Chat, 6th December and Onwards...

[hooch5]

Just been looking at Earth wind site, and the flow today could bring some precipitation further West, certainly seems to be showing further West on Net Radar. How would that affect Mondays transition?

[hooch5]

For those who are interested here's the Link to Earth wind site http://earth.nullschool.net/

[MP-R]

Not only is the depth of frost a lot less than first thought, so is the chance of snow. Grr! If we're not going to get snow, let's keep it dry and frosty please. It's already gone cloudy.

[kumquat]

Holly Green Twitter:

Quote

Holly Green ‏@HollyJGreen 3h3 hours ago

Covering of snow tonight for some. Greatest chance in Ox, Berks, NE Hants, E Glos & E Wilts but may be further west.

 

[Nights King]

12 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Does seem to be having troubles getting to Far East which is causing a lot of the precip to be further south perhaps. 

I think we are clutching at straws. Looks on track to be honest. I can't see our region getting anything now from this next Few days. 

[kumquat]

Just cos you've had minus 100 or whatever in Scandi doesn't mean you have to drag the rest of us down with your pessimism, Mully

[Nights King]

1 minute ago, kumquat said:

Just cos you've had minus 100 or whatever in Scandi doesn't mean you have to drag the rest of us down with your pessimism, Mully

Not the same as seeing snow in UK.. UK snow prospects drives me crazy. 

I don't see this ending well for us though. 

 

[BM4PM]

11 minutes ago, MP-R said:

Not only is the depth of frost a lot less than first thought, so is the chance of snow. Grr! If we're not going to get snow, let's keep it dry and frosty please. It's already gone cloudy.

I know what happened to the cold frosty weekend. Its nowhere near as cold as it was forcasted a couple of days ago. Its not even cold enougth on dartmoor for snow now.

Cant believe how wrong the models have been! I just hope that  they get it wrong again and we tap in to more of the cold air to our east.

Edited January 16, 2016 by BM4PM

[A.J]

well, the last batch of model outputs (overnight and this morning) is very poor for snow prospects for everyone in the region, bar the highest parts of the cotswolds.....the pretty much showing cold rain all the way from tonight and into monday's frontal assault........lets hope the the models and indeed the weather itself look for favourably for our region when we reach T0 and we get the snow that we all DESERVE! 

[MidnightSnow]

Is the snow line already further west than anticipated? BBC have rain for Wales today and tonight:

 

But according to this, it's snowing in Central Wales:

[bradymk]

Just now, MidnightSnow said:

Is the snow line already further west than anticipated? BBC have rain for Wales today and tonight:

 

But according to this, it's snowing in Central Wales:

Radar shows it is but It's not. I think the correct term for it is anomalous propagation (Anaprop) 

[Nights King]

3 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

Is the snow line already further west than anticipated? BBC have rain for Wales today and tonight:

 

But according to this, it's snowing in Central Wales:

It looks like about the right track just slightly different time?

Maybe the ppn will turn more to rain as afternoon progresses.

[Evening thunder]

Well, all this feature looks like doing here is removing the hard frost that was forecast for tonight at less than a days notice, while it's just dull, damp and average or perhaps a little chilly thereafter. 

At least I took the opportunity to go up to Dartmoor yesterday, up to 3 inches in places such as around Princetown. 

[Nights King]

11 minutes ago, Evening thunder said:

Well, all this feature looks like doing here is removing the hard frost that was forecast for tonight at less than a days notice, while it's just dull, damp and average or perhaps a little chilly thereafter. 

At least I took the opportunity to go up to Dartmoor yesterday, up to 3 inches in places such as around Princetown. 

Yes might be only snow west country sees this winter, going to take a break now until the 12z rolls out and if that shows a rain fest for us all bar Cotswolds I might just have a break down 

[festivalking]

14 minutes ago, Evening thunder said:

Well, all this feature looks like doing here is removing the hard frost that was forecast for tonight at less than a days notice, while it's just dull, damp and average or perhaps a little chilly thereafter. 

At least I took the opportunity to go up to Dartmoor yesterday, up to 3 inches in places such as around Princetown. 

It's all gone a bit people crazy up the Moor. Luckily I snuck away from the crowds and had a couple of hours pacing the Moor with the dog

[Mapantz]

Just to prove a point about forecasts, it is supposed to be blue skies here, yet it is completely cloudy.

 

Only got down to -0.3°C this morning. Very underwhelming!

Current observation:

Temp: 5.0°C - Hum: 73% - Dew: 0.8°C - Bar: 1033.75hPa - Wind: Calm

[offerman]

 Certainly does appear to be further west than original prognosis, however the band up over Scotland currently is the one that will probably progress through the Midlands  into central south eastern England giving them snow .

 

 

[Evening thunder]

4 minutes ago, Nights King said:

Yes might be only snow west country sees this winter, going to take a break now until the 12z rolls out and if that shows a rain fest for us all bar Cotswolds I might just have a break down 

Yes that could be the case.. Just have to see if the hints of colder weather in February or even March materialise. Fergie's great updates/tweets sound promising for that, though of course it's not a guarantee and would be nice to have something proper in the reliable timeframe, whatever that is.

2 minutes ago, festivalking said:

It's all gone a bit people crazy up the Moor. Luckily I snuck away from the crowds and had a couple of hours pacing the Moor with the dog

Looks very nice, lucky I was able to go up yesterday before the Weekend I guess. I suspect the Spotlight report on it yesterday didn't help with the crowds

[Daniel*]

39 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

Is the snow line already further west than anticipated? BBC have rain for Wales today and tonight:

 

But according to this, it's snowing in Central Wales:

Don't quote me but I believe that band of snow over scotland is the evening snow expected to move southeastwards, unrelated to Welsh precip, the 'warmth' and instability of flow is causing Irish Sea to bubble up some showers.

Edited January 16, 2016 by Earnest Easterly*

[festivalking]

Being a Dorset exile this sums things up nicely.

[Lyn-M]

Liking that last post festivalking!  Sums it up perfectly.

 

Managed -1.1°C overnight, lovely sunny and crisp start, now clouded over and tomorrow not looking as I had hoped it might.

[fromey]

Looking at the radar our friend Henry the Welsh mountain hoover may be taking some of the life out that lot 

Edited January 16, 2016 by fromey

[karlos1983]

31 minutes ago, festivalking said:

Being a Dorset exile this sums things up nicely.

Yup that's about right fk 

[William Grimsley]

Well, another day with no snow down here. At least I've seen some falling and lying though!

[Frosty hollows]

Think I know where your cold went. The frosty hollows of SC England!!Overnight temperatures got down to -4.7C here. Beautiful(if lethal) crisp frost. Unfortunately it was still dark when I went out so I didn't get pictures. Temperature just about 1C now.