Storm & Convective Discussion - 1 September 2015 onwards

[Hodgheg]

Just feels like a cold boring autumn day here at the moment.

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

I could only find this:

http://www.saintsernindubois.net/Saint-Sernin-en-direct

Really good if you like to watch some wind blowing a tree

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That low is just not playing ball.. Where the F is it going haha!

 

http://en.sat24.com/en

Edited September 16, 2015 by Surrey

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Biblical rain here!

[Costa Del Fal]

Looks like a plain old wet afternoon for many IMO. Rain unlikely to reach North west Devon when it was forecast too. So the storm Risk will be further SE. Even had some limited sunny spells here.

Edited September 16, 2015 by Costa Del Fal

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Rainband starting to put the brakes on.. 

Edited September 16, 2015 by Surrey

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

I'm not sure anything will happen. Anyone else?

[dec10snow]

That thing (supercell?) in France is insane, over 600 strikes per minute just a second ago!!

Back at home, this rainband may not even make it to me at this rate - looks like it's starting to pivot!

Edited September 16, 2015 by dec10snow

[William Grimsley]

Well, it looks like the rain has pretty much grind to a halt over me, just lightly raining here at the moment though I feel heavier rain may just squeeze in from the east shortly. I feel that the south easterners may be once again; unimpressed.

 

EDIT: I confirm, the rain band has officially stopped moving NW.

Edited September 16, 2015 by William Grimsley

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Well, it looks like the rain has pretty much grind to a halt over me, just lightly raining here at the moment though I feel heavier rain may just squeeze in from the east shortly. I feel that the south easterners may be once again; unimpressed.

 

Risk is now till around 10pm tonight HAVE FAITH! 

[Spikecollie]

That thing (supercell?) in France is insane, over 600 strikes per minute just a second ago!!

The cluster of storms (if that's what it is)is a very long chain - about 300km - it's this that's impressive!

[dec10snow]

The cluster of storms (if that's what it is)is a very long chain - about 300km - it's this that's impressive!

All of it is impressive! I zoomed in on a much smaller part and that was still giving out strike rates of over 300 per minute... The thing is crazy!!

[MattTarrant]

The heavy rain is so damn close but probably will miss it, though the sky is very impreesive.

[Flash Elvis]

Well, it looks like the rain has pretty much grind to a halt over me, just lightly raining here at the moment though I feel heavier rain may just squeeze in from the east shortly. I feel that the south easterners may be once again; unimpressed.

 

EDIT: I confirm, the rain band has officially stopped moving NW.

https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/80888-the-no-storms-club-july-2014-onwards/

[Supacell]

I cannot recall any forecasts showing a storm risk outside of the south-eastern third of the UK so not sure why the disappointment from people outside of this area. For those in this area I think the risk is still there, although I would be inclined now to think that the main risk will be to the SE of London, more especially the likes of Kent, East Sussex and possibly Essex. Still the chance of a surprise further north-west but less likely IMO.

 

I wonder if there will be any thunder in Derby 

[Condor Vitesse]

I cannot recall any forecasts showing a storm risk outside of the south-eastern third of the UK so not sure why the disappointment from people outside of this area. For those in this area I think the risk is still there, although I would be inclined now to think that the main risk will be to the SE of London, more especially the likes of Kent, East Sussex and possibly Essex. Still the chance of a surprise further north-west but less likely IMO.

 

I wonder if there will be any thunder in Derby 

Wishful thinking eh!!!!

[Singularity]

Pivoting just west of Bournemouth... some areas there may see some massive rainfall totals for the afternoon period. 

 

There's some kind of miniature squall line developing to the south of it too. In fact The Channel from the IOW west has suddenly decided to start looking interesting again, with rain rates topping 50 mm per hour in a few (small) spots. I suspect the pivot point represents the western extent of the warmer, muggier air with its associated thunderstorm potential. In which case I'm right on the limits. To be honest persistent heavy rain looks to be the bigger issue here.

[chionomaniac]

Weather forecast seems to be spot on to Carol Kirkwoods forecast on Radio 2 this morning for the SE. The expected band of rain formed and moved northwards, and now showery bursts are forming in the warm and moist air in its wake. Will they turn thundery? Quite possibly because they are over N France. Still time for a bang!

[Harry]

A perfect day to describe as MEH!

 

Awful!

 

As regards storm risk...I could not even begin to postulate about what may or may not happen. Sky is a perfectly sweeping grey with not even the slightest bobble visible...it's like someone's thrown a purply/grey watercolour mix and brushed it in neatly (how Dan Corbett, lol)

[Daniel*]

Terrible year for storms in capital.

[Winter Cold]

Well one for the learning curve this today. Matt Hugo and Paul Hudson have now tweeted saying what a big error its been, the models were off.

[Jet Streak]

Torrential Rain here in Poole 17mm.

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Could be some large totals this afternoon from that Rain 

[Thunderbolt_]

Well no rain or thunder here. In fact I'm actually quite happy, because these are the skies that I have had for most of this afternoon:

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South of London why you not go BANG! AHAHA