Jump to content

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Somerset Squall

Severe Tropical Cyclone Quang

Recommended Posts

A late season tropical cyclone appears to be developing well north of Learmonth, Australia. It is expected to strengthen initially then move southeast towards the NW Australian coast. Higher shear should weaken the system before it potentially reaches the coast. I'll have a fuller update later.

post-1820-0-73450500-1430202027_thumb.pn

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looking close to becoming a TC:

post-1820-0-11131400-1430243431_thumb.jp

Persistant deep convection, spiral banding, upgrade must be imminent. For now, shear is low, and BOM are expecting a 10-min wind peak of 60kts.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

21U has become Tropical Cyclone Quang, with winds of 40kts according to BOM. Convection continues to persist and deepen over the LLCC, which continues to be flanked by excellent banding. Further strengthening is expected over the next day or so.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Quang has bombed over the last 12hrs, with winds now at 90kts according to JTWC. An eye has emerged from the central dense overcast and has become quite clear. JTWC expect a peak of 115kts (cat 4 on the SS scale before shear rises significantly and quickly weakens Quang prior to landfall.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Quang has continued to rapidly intensify, with winds now at 115kts according to JTWC, a cat 4 on the SS scale. Time is running out for Quang to strengthen as it is heading southeastwards into am area of much higher shear. This should weaken Quang significantly before it reaches the coast.

post-1820-0-52877200-1430372750_thumb.jp

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A picture to show Quang's proximity to the Australian coast.

 

wvgms_zpsrzt7ophj.gif

 

...and that should be it for this season's cyclone season.  Four cyclones crossing land,  two of them severe ( Lam and Marcia ).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Very strong shear significantly weakened Quang before landfall, but it reached the coast as a very weak tropical cyclone. The system is now decaying inland.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

  • Spring warmth and sunshine this weekend but we've got to stay at home

    In normal times we'd be talking about the excellent timing of the sunshine and warmth coming through at the weekend. But of course,a0these aren't normal times, so even though temperatures could get to 20-21c in places tomorrow, we're all going to have to enjoy it from home. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Weather forecasting concerns as number of aircraft observations plummet

    Changes in the weather world as observations reduce from aircraft and on land in the time of global pandemic. Less initial data to input into the computer models. AMDAR AIREP Read more here

    Jo Farrow
    Jo Farrow
    Latest weather updates from Netweather 1
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...