March 2015 CET forecasts

[damianslaw]

A week to go and still believe a landing figure somewhere in the lower 6's likely end result, despite the forecast for a mild end. Perhaps 6.3 or 6.4 rather than 6-6.2 degrees with expected downward correction.

[Summer Sun]

6.2c to the 24th

 

0.7c above the 61 to 90 average

 

0.2c below 81 to 10 average

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield at 5.7C no change for today unless it gets very cold before the rain arrives.

[damianslaw]

A cold day in the northern half of the country, many spots got down to at least -1 or -2 degrees, colder in rural spots with maxima of about 8-9 degrees = giving a mean of around 3 - 4 degrees, values more typical of mid January but not that noteworthy for the time of year.

 

I often find this time of year can catch many people out, it can still deliver preety cold weather, every bit as cold as mid winter under the right type of cold synoptics. Similar synoptics in late autumn/early winter tend to be milder thanks to warmer SST's and land.

[Summer Sun]

6.1c to the 25th

 

0.7c above the 61 to 90 average

 

0.3c below 81 to 10 average

[damianslaw]

An outside chance we could still come in below 6 degrees with downward adjustments, however, after today CET values will be milder than average at least until Monday which will put pay to such a end result I suspect. Low 6's more likely, another very near average month.

[DAVID SNOW]

Very little downward correction this month: a final figure of 6.6 would be my guess.

[BornFromTheVoid]

6.1C to the 26th

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_est_2015

 

Yesterday was 6.8C. The minimum today is 1.8C while maxima look like reaching the high 11s, so an increase to 6.2C is likely on tomorrows update.

 

After that, the 06z GFS has the CET at:

 

6.2C to the 28th (7.3)

6.3C to the 29th (9.8]

6.4C to the 30th (8.0)

6.4C to the 31st (7.3)

 

Seeing as the border between the cool and mild air sits close to the CET zone at times, a slight shift could see a bigger than usual change in the last few days. With that in mind, I'd say the finishing range is 6.2C to 6.6C, and 5.7 to 6.6C after corrections.

[Summer Sun]

CET remains 0.3c below 81 to 10 average

[Summer Sun]

6.1c to the 27th

 

0.6c above the 61 to 90 average

 

0.3c below 81 to 10 average

[damianslaw]

CET will nudge up a little over next 3 days, perhaps up to 6.4 degrees, final estimate with downward adjustment 6.2 degrees, which will be below the 81-10 average.

[Summer Sun]

6.3c to the 28th

 

0.7c above the 61 to 90 average

 

0.2c below 81 to 10 average

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield at 5.8C and not likely to be a lot of movement from that value looking at the forecast. Although if it stays mild overnight due to the wind that would give it a nudge up.

Edited March 29, 2015 by The PIT

[DAVID SNOW]

CET up 0.2 , that's a big jump  considering how late in the month we are, was the 28th close to 10 degrees?

[Summer Sun]

6.4c to the 29th

 

0.8c above the 61 to 90 average

 

0.1c below 81 to 10 average

[damianslaw]

Probably 6.5 degrees tomorrow, 6.6 degrees max but expecting quite a correction possibly 0.4 degrees, a good bet finishing value 6.3 degrees - preety representative of what has been a very average month with temps never too far from the norm throughout no notable cold or mild conditions at any stage.

[Summer Sun]

6.4c to the 30th

 

0.8c above the 61 to 90 average

 

0.1c below 81 to 10 average

[BornFromTheVoid]

6.5C should be the finish before corrections, so 6.0 to 6.5C after corrections.

[summer blizzard]

Another pleasing month In the competition for me.

[BornFromTheVoid]

March 2015 confirmed as 6.4C on the rankings page here http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/mly_cet_mean_sort.txt

 

Congrats to WEATHER 26, STEVE.B, MARK BAYLEY, POLAR GAEL for getting it spot on!

[Summer Sun]

March 2015 confirmed as 6.4C on the rankings page here http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/mly_cet_mean_sort.txt

 

Congrats to WEATHER 26, STEVE.B, MARK BAYLEY, POLAR GAEL for getting it spot on!

 

0.2c below the 81 to 10 average

[DAVID SNOW]

As I said several days back there would be little downward correction this month.

[Eugene]

All in all a pleasant month with lots of warm sunshine, the CET for March 2015 would of made a very mild month just a month earlier with much warmer sun.

[J10]

Results to follow over the Easter Weekend. (hopefully Friday or Saturday)

[Snowyowl9]

So average month temps wise well 0.1c above,would like to know the western CET temps but not possible.