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Southeast England and East Anglia - Weather Chat


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I think those going round in circles dissecting forecasts from different forecasters (or the same ones at different times) are just going to tie themselves in knots here. You're in the SE of England,

yeah she just text me the same-

Just had a peak at the 18z UKMO (meso) and it shows the centre of the small low moving SE across the Midlands around 3am then across SE England around 6am, sleet/snow showers swirling around this low

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I think without high latitude blocking you couldn't really get a better set up than we have at the moment, and that makes it all the more disappointing . I hope we get some surprises pop up next week.

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:wallbash:

 

 

The arctic airmass, by this time already firmly established across the UK, will continue to bring frequent and heavy snow showers to eastern parts of the UK. During Tuesday, a subtle change in wind direction will allow showers to spread further inland, with snow showers possibly falling quite widely across northern England (east of the Pennines), along with the Midlands and parts of southeast England. The airmass is sufficiently cold for snow showers to accumulate at low-levels and some locally heavy falls are possible.
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The arctic airmass, by this time already firmly established across the UK, will continue to bring frequent and heavy snow showers to eastern parts of the UK. During Tuesday, a subtle change in wind direction will allow showers to spread further inland, with snow showers possibly falling quite widely across northern England (east of the Pennines), along with the Midlands and parts of southeast England. The airmass is sufficiently cold for snow showers to accumulate at low-levels and some locally heavy falls are possible.

Can anyone explain the discrepancy? 

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Temperature gone down to 0c from +1c once the skies cleared. DP -1c as of 12:20. No idea where the 6,7 and 8's have gone but good reddens I say!

 

 

Nice for temperatures to be lower than expected for once!

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The arctic airmass, by this time already firmly established across the UK, will continue to bring frequent and heavy snow showers to eastern parts of the UK. During Tuesday, a subtle change in wind direction will allow showers to spread further inland, with snow showers possibly falling quite widely across northern England (east of the Pennines), along with the Midlands and parts of southeast England. The airmass is sufficiently cold for snow showers to accumulate at low-levels and some locally heavy falls are possible.

sounds more promising Edited by snowbob
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The arctic airmass, by this time already firmly established across the UK, will continue to bring frequent and heavy snow showers to eastern parts of the UK. During Tuesday, a subtle change in wind direction will allow showers to spread further inland, with snow showers possibly falling quite widely across northern England (east of the Pennines), along with the Midlands and parts of southeast England. The airmass is sufficiently cold for snow showers to accumulate at low-levels and some locally heavy falls are possible.

 

is this from the BBC?

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Looking at the temperatures across the country and dew points I would say the warmer upper air drifting more down the western side. Bodes well for later tonight and tomorrow, where the colder uppers reestablish or become colder.

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Arctic air mass rarely any good for SE

BBC forecasts now saying only a 'little colder' over the weekend!

Temps still rising to 5/6c Sunday & Monday

Mostly dry, perhaps a few sleet showers

As said, probably the best we can really hope for without any HLB

Disappointing!

Edited by snowblizzard
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No snow this weekend maybe a sleety shower

Mon Tuesday maybe done snow for the south west

 

Yeah.. because yesterday didn't show us how snow can crop up unexpectedly or anything like that.. NMM and Euro4 already hinting at some wintry showers tomorrow across our region

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Yeah.. because yesterday didn't show us how snow can crop up unexpectedly or anything like that.. NMM and Euro4 already hinting at some wintry showers tomorrow across our region

Agree....

 

 

 nmmuk3hrprecip.png

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Looking at these 1-2 cms widely where showers occur.. 

Edited by Surrey
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is this from the BBC?

 

It's the weather warning put out by the Met Office for Tuesday, although it barely grazes SE England.   It might, perhaps, be an indication that they expect the wind to be slightly east of north by then, as the warning is not replicated for western coasts

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Agree....

 

 

 nmmuk3hrprecip.png

nmmuk3hrprecip.png

 

nmmuk3hrprecip.png

 

 

nmmuk3hrprecip.png

nmmuk3hrprecip.png

 

nmmuk3hrprecip.png

nmmuk3hrprecip.png

 

Looking at these 1-2 cms widely where showers occur.. 

Will just be at best sleet and even if we get a few snow showers i can't see it settling

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Will just be at best sleet and even if we get a few snow showers i can't see it settling

The same was said of yesterday, in the end quite a few areas got some decent snowfall. Once the colder air moves down through Saturday the showers will generally turn back to snow.

 

To flip things, the weather here at the moment is pretty poor. Solid stratus and occasional light bursts of rain. I would prefer a thaw to be driven by sunny skies rather than it being damp and grey.

Edited by Captain shortwave
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^^ yep take your point CS so here's hoping - just getting a bit negative over this cold spell tbh. Think the best snow prospects for the southern counties is when/if the atlantic tries to get it's act together towards the end of next week - a nice battleground scenario would be perfect !

Edited by cobbett
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^^ yep take your point CS so here's hoping - just getting a bit negative over this cold spell tbh. Think the best snow prospects for the southern counties is when/if the atlantic tries to get it's act together towards the end of next week - a nice battleground scenario would be perfect !

Personally I just hope we somehow get an easterly setting up during the second half of next week, that will offer the better chance of snow showers and possibly dragging up areas of snow off the continent.

Hopefully the models will trend this way, they were yesterday afternoon before a step back in this mornings runs. Any way I will miss the 12z suite due to work. :p

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Despite what some might suggest, at the moment a few fleeting showers is the best we can hope for - based on the current output.

I guess we can still hope that Monday's low will track across a more favourable track bring more substantial snow to Southern areas but it is just a hope rather than reality.

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