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Southeast England and East Anglia - Weather Chat

Captain Shortwave

By Captain Shortwave
in Regional

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craigore Aficionado

craigore

Posted
  • Location: Ramsgate,East Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: BEASTERLYS
  • Location: Ramsgate,East Kent.
Posted

Im smelling a round of major downgrades on the models tonight.....Samaritans might need extra staff tonight.

Reluctantly I think you may be right. Still a way to go though in the output.. so hold on.. 

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Jax Veteran

Jax

Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
Posted

In typical time honoured fashion, I put the washing out and checked radar, and skies, all clear, walked into town and get hit by first light rain, then sleet and then a short but hefty burst of hail, washing remains wet.

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted

Good to be home with all that spare time over the weekend - when things get interesting. Tonight snow showers should pass South & East affecting parts of East Anglia even some flurries further south in London. No lying snow is a little premature? best chance in 2 years. I do not want to be depressed, I'll go MOD thread for that.

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Neilsouth Experienced

Neilsouth

Posted
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Storms and Snow
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
Posted

^^^^^^^

 

Fergie states about the rain so it shows there is juice around in the Region, hence the weather warning.

 

Fergie also mentioned 2-5cm poss on Sunday later, so much for that then

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steveinsussex Seasoned

steveinsussex

Posted
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
Posted

Good to be home with all that spare time over the weekend - when things get interesting. Tonight snow showers should pass South & East affecting parts of East Anglia even some flurries further south in London. No lying snow is a little premature? best chance in 2 years. I do not want to be depressed, I'll go MOD thread for that.

Things not v interesting I'm afraid

Bring on spring! :)

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted (edited)

Please no downgrades, all i want is winter to be winter, not autumn with a hint of spring !

Upgrade on the 12z I'm glad to report.

Fergie also mentioned 2-5cm poss on Sunday later, so much for that then

Not at all true if PPN is at a good intensity & really does throw it down, it will settle.

Edited by Daniel*
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Downpour Community Regular

Downpour

Posted
  • Location: North East London (E4) 147ft
  • Location: North East London (E4) 147ft
Posted

It's looking grim for Sunday's snow – yet so near to being an absolute pasting. 

 

We need the low to slide south about 70 miles than it is progged and we will get a dumping, otherwise it will be a cold rain fest for our region! 

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Met4Cast Maestro

Met4Cast

Posted
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
Posted

Fergie also mentioned 2-5cm poss on Sunday later, so much for that then

 

That was last night - overnight runs and the 06z runs backed away from that prognosis. 

Honestly at this stage I can't see anything other than rain for next week.

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Downpour Community Regular

Downpour

Posted
  • Location: North East London (E4) 147ft
  • Location: North East London (E4) 147ft
Posted

Upgrade on the 12z I'm glad to report.

Not at all true if PPN is at a good intensity & really does throw it down, it will settle.

We are just the wrong side of the low and have been throughout the runup to Sunday. Shame because the PPN would bear up to 7cm in some spots if it fell as snow. 

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Kent Blizzard Rising Star

Kent Blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
Posted

I honestly don't think it's worth looking past the weekend at this stage.

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted

That was last night - overnight runs and the 06z runs backed away from that prognosis. 

Honestly at this stage I can't see anything other than rain for next week.

This is very misinforming latter part, too much emotion is coming in evident by your post.

GFS has the thumbs up whereas UKMO is being a cow.

post-19153-0-34769200-1421425555_thumb.j

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Downpour Community Regular

Downpour

Posted
  • Location: North East London (E4) 147ft
  • Location: North East London (E4) 147ft
Posted

Thats what is so frustrating, marginal 3" snow event going the wrong way. Lets hope for a nowcast upgrade.

Indeed. Fingers crossed!

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted

Things not v interesting I'm afraid

Bring on spring! :)

Need to see a optician. ;)

I do...sorry mate but this post has really irritated me, when your point is flawed :wink:

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Met4Cast Maestro

Met4Cast

Posted
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
Posted

This is very misinforming latter part, too much emotion is coming in evident by your post.

GFS has the thumbs up whereas UKMO is being a cow.

attachicon.gifimage.jpg

 

The chart you posted there is cold at the surface but certainly not cold enough for snow - Not to mention the fact that it's a very dry chart

 

post-7073-0-11784700-1421426003_thumb.gi

 

No snow there i'm afraid 

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted

The chart you posted there is cold at the surface but certainly not cold enough for snow - Not to mention the fact that it's a very dry chart

 

attachicon.gifNot cold.gif

 

No snow there i'm afraid

Even before that there is possibilities which you seemed to have dodged. It is cold enough for snow, with maxima reaching 3C at best. You cannot tell if there are any troughs, which is why we have the all important FAX. It is not as if we are under an HP infulence...

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steveinsussex Seasoned

steveinsussex

Posted
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
Posted (edited)

Need to see a optician. ;)

I do...sorry mate but this post has really irritated me, when your point is flawed :wink:

Ok keep up the 'hope casting ' rather than factual based forecasting

I'd love to be wrong, I really would. I hope I am.

Edited by steveinsussex
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Met4Cast Maestro

Met4Cast

Posted
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
Posted (edited)

Even before that there is possibilities which you seemed to have dodged. It is cold enough for snow, with maxima reaching 3C at best. You cannot tell if there are any troughs, which is why we have the all important FAX. It is not as if we are under an HP infulence...

 

Perhaps, but given a couple of days ago Sunday was looking interesting and now it's more than likely going to be a rain event, assuming it even gets out of the channel. The story of this winter seems to be:

 

Models show potential > massive upgrades > Downgrades > Downgrades > Woo rain

Edited by Daniel Smith
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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted

Ok keep up the 'hope casting ' rather than factual based forecasting

I'd love to be wrong, I really would. I hope I am.

I think you are wrong there's quite a bias from you? - this is totally not hope casting it is on the paper. It is fact it will get much colder thus raising the chance of snowfall. To say it's not interesting is baffling.

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Bogman Community Regular

Bogman

Posted
  • Location: Codicote, Hertfordshire
  • Location: Codicote, Hertfordshire
Posted

This thread is getting as bad as the model one.

 

Wait and see what happens. Otherwise all you'll end up with is an ulcer and a pile.

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Kent Blizzard Rising Star

Kent Blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
Posted

This thread is getting as bad as the model one.

 

Wait and see what happens. Otherwise all you'll end up with is an ulcer and a pile.

LOL agree

 

And I also think we should look at a max of 72hrs at the moment.

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted (edited)

This thread is getting as bad as the model one.

Wait and see what happens. Otherwise all you'll end up with is an ulcer and a pile.

I vouch with you but how can you undermine the potential when it is right up for grabs. I'll say no more. :)

Edited by Daniel*
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Dami Maestro

Dami

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
Posted

Whatever, as normal a shower headed to me and broke up, in fact on the school run, clear blue sky above me, cloud all around, pretty much like the storms that missed me in the summer.

last time i said 'it doesn't snow here' I had six inches of the stuff. so here goes ;-

 

It's doesn't snow by Bedford.

 

Now give me thunder storm and i really would be happy :rofl:

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