Southeast England and East Anglia - Weather Chat

[Bogman]

Another day, another dollar (down the drain)

Worst cold spell ever

That was the cold spell that started last night. Right?

Jeeeeze.

[mickeyb44]

Lots of ppn on the gfs / meto / bbc next week, lets hope we get a sudden nowcast warning for heavy snow, which will cause chaos on the forum and be just great.

[snowfish1]

Lots of ppn on the gfs / meto / bbc next week, lets hope we get a sudden nowcast warning for heavy snow, which will cause chaos on the forum and be just great.

Is that likely do you think?

[mickeyb44]

I have no idea Snowfish but, I see a cold snap with cold (ish) uppers and precipitation so im hoping that some snowfall occurs.

[throwoff]

The weather channel who provide a lot of phone weather apps are still giving 80% snow in Medway from 3am onwards..

[snowprincesspboro]

hi all, just wondering, the bbc forecast shows a large mass of rain/sleet/snow coming for tonight into tomorro and during tomorro day, where is this coming from? just asking as looking at the radars theres nothing really showing, is the small rashes of ppn gonna build? or is it coming but not quite on the radar yet? sorry for the silly questions x

[Gretal]

The weather channel who provide a lot of phone weather apps are still giving 80% snow in Medway from 3am onwards..

Yes, rain. 80% chance of rain.

[Daniel*]

The weather channel who provide a lot of phone weather apps are still giving 80% snow in Medway from 3am onwards..

I watched the BBC London forecast and it mentioned transient snow for the SE early on. Seemed quite clear to me. ECM T+96 has got me salivating, no one misses out - all in the mix.

[throwoff]

Yes, rain. 80% chance of rain.

 

No, Snow. 80% chance of snow from 3am through to after sunrise. 

 

Granted they are an American based service so who knows how much effort they put into their forecasts for the UK but that is what is shows.

 

We are so marginal the slightest change could change it from rain to sleet or sleet to heavy snow.

 

There is plenty of PPN up there.

Edited January 17, 2015 by throwoff

[Hammer]

Going by METO iPhone app predictive rainfall there is PPN around 3am ish onwards to 6am for some in region. But it's whether it would be snow, currently very marginal. But that's my focus, not that I'll be up.

[saint]

Well having seen lying snow already today (With some still on the ground by darkness this evening) and the fact that sky's are clear and it is very cold means that for my area, this cold spell really hasn't been so bad so far with less than 24 hours gone.

 

I'm in the lucky position, in terms of snow, however, that I can and will be heading back to Leeds on Monday/Tuesday, where I'm hopeful of seeing some good snow. 

 

Having said that, I certainly wouldn't rule out snow tonight in some lucky areas (I'm not saying everyone will see it before someone snaps my head off) and certainly there are opportunities for a number of people in this thread (Remember how big this thread is, it's not just all about South of London) within the next week.

[Met4Cast]

4K model for tonight, hmm

[throwoff]

Medway is so on the cusp on all these models, the smallest tiniest shift east and boom.

[Daniel*]

4K model for tonight, hmm

Hi Daniel,

Where did you get your hands on that? loving these sweet albeit unexpected surprises.

Still looks marginal but I'm willing to keep a open mind.

[Hellboy]

4K model for tonight, hmm

I'll take that!

[Met4Cast]

Hi Daniel,

Where did you get your hands on that? loving these sweet albeit unexpected surprises.

Still looks marginal but I'm willing to keep a open mind.

It was posted to Twitter here

https://twitter.com/wsi_euroenergy/status/556475329553104896

[snowking]

4K model for tonight, hmm

Unfortunately that's based on data from this morning.

Not sure what data WSI use to initialise that model but I suspect possibly 0z ECM.

We can hope!

SK

EDIT: Looking at time stamps actually it may be 6z NMM (essentially a WRF-GFS)

Edited January 17, 2015 by snowking

[lemonslap]

Currently 1.1C with dew of 1C, colder than forecast.

[snowrye]

temp outside must be at freezing or below,just been out to car and theres a layer of ice on the car already,would love to see heavy snow falling,nearly 2 years and thats way too long

[Met4Cast]

Unfortunately that's based on data from this morning.

Not sure what data WSI use to initialise that model but I suspect possibly 0z ECM.

We can hope!

SK

EDIT: Looking at time stamps actually it may be 6z NMM (essentially a WRF-GFS)

Just noticed that it was posted about 4 hours ago so yeah out of date data, sadly

[throwoff]

Currently 1.1C with dew of 1C, colder than forecast.

 

This post hits the nail more on the head than any of the in depth reviews of the models could.

 

Models are a forecast, by the nature of the word they are not certain.

 

We are in the firing line, who knows what might happen next!

[Kentspur]

Car thermometer in Gravesend says 5c way too warm sadly here unless the temps due to drop?

[Biggin]

4K model for tonight, hmm

Hmmnn Lamp post watching, n lucky dip n hope cast.  Not much i/c atm  http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

Edited January 17, 2015 by Biggin

[Daniel*]

Not majorly cold here 3.4C with a dew of 1C going the right way though going by app it should be 5C.

[Paul]

Our hi-res snow accumulation not quite as keen as the wsi one to bring some lying snow to the se, but there's some there at least. Still a knife edge setup regardless though.

 

 

Rain/snow mix still shown on the precip type.

 

 

Don't forget you can follow on the radar here on nw - click the weather type option to display rain/sleet/snow detection + switch on the social radar to combine with the twitter snow map type system - it uses #uksnow reports from twitter to show where people are reporting snow.

 

http://www.netweather.tv/radar