Wales - Weather Chat

[The Post-modern Winter]

My area following on from 5 hours of heavy snowfall on the Tuesday evening. . Please don't change. . 

[Matty23]

Looks like the fax charts going with the euro4.

[gareth moo]

Euro 4 outlier? - probably. Another upgrade of that nature would put many of us back in the game.

It's only got to: a) upgrade at short notice b) actually happen. Damn!

 

Amazing lack of consensus at 24hrs out really.

[dbaloo]

haven't seen the models all day and evening because of work and after reading and trying to catch up,I still don't have a clue what's going to happen!

[J10]

EURO4 18Hz now out and another outcome.

 

 

This goes more with the North East theme suggested earlier however

 

This also goes with things tuning back to snow over a wider areas later including the south as surface winds revert to an easterly and colder upper air edges in.

 

 

Temps and Dewpoints closely aligned - also very close (initially midnight then 6am)

 

 

You can see why more snow potential in the south later.

Edited January 19, 2015 by J10

[andymusic]

EURO4 18Hz now out and another outcome.

 

15012118_1918.gif 15012112_1918.gif 15012106_1918.gif 15012100_1918.gif 15012018_1918.gif 15012012_1918.gif 15012006_1918.gif 15012000_1918.gif

gonna b a total nowcast event

[gareth moo]

EURO4 18Hz now out and another outcome.

 

15012118_1918.gif 15012112_1918.gif 15012106_1918.gif 15012100_1918.gif 15012018_1918.gif 15012012_1918.gif 15012006_1918.gif 15012000_1918.gif

Hmm, stalling and dying at about Swansea. Uppers look ok for you at 6am. DPs are marginal.

Will be interesting to see what it produces as it rolls across tomorrow evening. You never know!

There's going to be some prozac in the Midlands thread.

Edited January 19, 2015 by gareth moo

[J10]

Hmm, stalling and dying at about Swansea. Uppers look ok for you at 6am. DPs are marginal.

Will be interesting to see what it produces as it rolls across tomorrow evening. You never know!

There's going to be some prozac in the Midlands thread.

 

Never say never, Very unlikely though.

 

Some "sweet spot" with evaporational cooling, and heavy precipitation could do well.

 

Perhaps as well EURO4 is overdoing precip amounts, if it is snowfall is likely to be more concentrated for the more previously highlighted areas.

[bradymk]

Attached is the 18z Euro 4 model for midnight tonight and it's predicted snowfall for the precipitation moving east over Ireland. The other image is the live radar image over Ireland. Many areas are seeing snow, more areas than shown were predicted snow. Maybe an encouraging sign, who knows. The front looks dead.

Edited January 20, 2015 by bradythemole

[swales]

Was snowong lightly when I left the house earlier. Only settling at about 150m on cars etc.

[whiskers]

Currently -2.5 here,nothing in the way of any precipitation,roads and paths frozen solid but my weather station is showing snow! Fingers crossed it means for us:)

[whiskers]

Lovely red sky/pink sky here,hope that's a good thing!

[freeze for all]

Something definitely wrong with the netweather radar, its been saying snow here for the last 30mins but it definitely isn't

[Snowyowl9]

Another very cold night at -3.9c been cloudy since I don`t know when at -1.3c

[worldairgroup]

Anything to sell papers! Any one heard from that exacta weather man about the cripling winter we are having For 3 months ?

 

Aghh James 'Mad one' yeah hes always putting out exclusive press interviews to make some cash from his back bedroom professional weather station LOL

[worldairgroup]

Watching various weather forecasts on TV, online and reading online posts - in my opinion anytime from 6pm tonight until 6am Wednesday morning Wales as a whole has a chance of snow. After dark is the obvious time, but depends on how quick this front fizzles away when meeting the warm air - so could be rain or snow. Nowcasting event again. Exciting times though!

[Clair_Witch]

The radar's showing a small patch of sleet/snow over cardiff. Yet it's as dry as a bone, nothing falling from the sky at all. Not even rain.

Edited January 20, 2015 by Clair_Witch

[Clair_Witch]

Something definitely wrong with the netweather radar, its been saying snow here for the last 30mins but it definitely isn't

Snap! Though I'm sure somebody said before that the radar shows the predicted precipitation and not what's actually happening right then.

Edited January 20, 2015 by Clair_Witch

[dragon falls]

Just noticed that now dry here as well but that it feels colder now even no frost on cars icey puddles every where

[Clair_Witch]

A bucket has iced up with water in, but no frost. Still really bitter out there this morning. Maybe it bodes well for later and we'll have a surprise sprinkling, or even better a surprise foot!

Clouds are definitely thickening up.

[legritter]

The radar's showing a small patch of sleet/snow over cardiff. Yet it's as dry as a bone, nothing falling from the sky at all. Not even rain.

probably going from frozen state [solid ]back to gas state ,happens quite often in winter set ups ,havent got time to explain fully but very frustrating ,certainly looks a snowy sky s /west from here we just need that dice to fall right later this afternoon .the low as started to move a little faster now and an easterly wind is picking up ,we just need that front to pep up and move in ,

[freeze for all]

Just had a light snow shower here even tho the radar says it's been snowing for 1 hour lol

[matty lfc]

Weather warnings are due to be issued this morning for possible disruptive snow across Wales later on today/tonight.

[bradymk]

The reason why the radar shows precipitation when there is nothing falling from the sky is because of the air.

The precipitation is only light and moving into very cold dry air and this is preventing the precipitation from actually reaching the ground as it evaporates before reaching ground level. You need heavier precipitation for the droplets to reach the ground when the precipitation is moving into a dry cold airmass like today.

Ps. If I was around the Wrexham area, id be excited for tomorrow, looks like it will be a decent event for areas around there.

Edited January 20, 2015 by bradythemole

[worldairgroup]

Weather warnings are due to be issued this morning for possible disruptive snow across Wales later on today/tonight.

 

hope your right.