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Paul

By Paul
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VeryCold Apprentice

VeryCold

Posted
  • Location: Wellesbourne, Warwickshire 47M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold and more snow.
  • Location: Wellesbourne, Warwickshire 47M ASL
Posted

very low elevation that, assuming places around you are higher? mine is bad as well, got Cannock chase near me, much above 200m, Cannock its self higher, Stoke way is also higher

To be fair Moreton paddock is 105m and is literally a 2 minute drive. I might go and stand up there at 6am tomorrow morning!!!

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Gord Rising Star

Gord

Posted
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
Posted

Boxing Day elevation had nothing to do with it around here. It was all about that rain/snow boundary. Hence why I had rain at over 200m but ILTS had snow at 100m.

 

Different scenario tomorrow morning as it's going to be about the placement of the showers as well as elevation but for Tuesday...who knows where such boundaries could set up?

 

I think there could be surprises for all of us. Being higher up doesn't always give me an instant path to snow.

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Mair Snaw Veteran

Mair Snaw

Posted
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
  • Weather Preferences: SNAW
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
Posted

Moderate snow shower..... Instant covering.... Everything white out.... -1c dew -2c....

Send it my way please mate...

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Will Padz Enthusiast

Will Padz

Posted
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire, 310m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire, 310m asl
Posted

Send it my way please mate...

Showers seem to be popping out of nowhere.... Later on im sure with the trough there will be more organised snow.... Hopefully both ends of the park! â„ï¸â„ï¸â„ï¸â„ï¸â›„ï¸â›„ï¸

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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted

Boxing Day elevation had nothing to do with it around here. It was all about that rain/snow boundary. Hence why I had rain at over 200m but ILTS had snow at 100m.

 

Different scenario tomorrow morning as it's going to be about the placement of the showers as well as elevation but for Tuesday...who knows where such boundaries could set up?

 

I think there could be surprises for all of us. Being higher up doesn't always give me an instant path to snow.

 

shower distribution also the key, helen willetts 6-10 dayer on bbc looks fairly good, although a bit outdated? still goes for end of week easterly, only GFS 12Z shows this

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Weather of Mass Disruption Enthusiast

Weather of Mass Disruption

Posted
  • Location: Hucknall, Nottingham 100m (328ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Blizzards, Hoarfrost, Frost and Extremes
  • Location: Hucknall, Nottingham 100m (328ft) ASL
Posted

Just crystal clear here. Reckon we'll be lucky to see any snow tonight, but you never know we might get lucky and tap into a few of those showers :-)

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Mair Snaw Veteran

Mair Snaw

Posted
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
  • Weather Preferences: SNAW
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
Posted

Showers seem to be popping out of nowhere.... Later on im sure with the trough there will be more organised snow.... Hopefully both ends of the park! â„ï¸â„ï¸â„ï¸â„ï¸â›„ï¸â›„ï¸

I hope so I promised my kids another day or 2 of fun in the snow next week... they loved boxing day and the week after....

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VeryCold Apprentice

VeryCold

Posted
  • Location: Wellesbourne, Warwickshire 47M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold and more snow.
  • Location: Wellesbourne, Warwickshire 47M ASL
Posted

Boxing Day elevation had nothing to do with it around here. It was all about that rain/snow boundary. Hence why I had rain at over 200m but ILTS had snow at 100m.

 

Different scenario tomorrow morning as it's going to be about the placement of the showers as well as elevation but for Tuesday...who knows where such boundaries could set up?

 

I think there could be surprises for all of us. Being higher up doesn't always give me an instant path to snow.

Yes indeed........I must admit I was allowing myself to get excited with the model output earlier in the week.....been brought back down a little now but have to say that cold and no snow is better than mild rain
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Mair Snaw Veteran

Mair Snaw

Posted
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
  • Weather Preferences: SNAW
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
Posted

DO WE DARE GO BACK TO THE MODEL OUTPUT THREAD FOR THE PUB RUN??? I REALLY HOPE ITS A FRIDAY NIGHT DOUBLE VODKA RED BULL SPECIAL...

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Will Padz Enthusiast

Will Padz

Posted
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire, 310m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire, 310m asl
Posted

I hope so I promised my kids another day or 2 of fun in the snow next week... they loved boxing day and the week after....

At 130pm started hailing.... As nw bbc lunch forecast came on turned to snow, had to head down the hill for 2pm got covered.... Had 1-2cm enough to leave footprints in.... Hope peak gets lots of snow tomorrow! â„ï¸â„ï¸â„ï¸â›„ï¸

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VeryCold Apprentice

VeryCold

Posted
  • Location: Wellesbourne, Warwickshire 47M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold and more snow.
  • Location: Wellesbourne, Warwickshire 47M ASL
Posted

Temps dropping off nice now..-1.3c dew point -5

Ha ha! Think the airfield might have under soil heating as it's still above freezing here. 0.3 dew point -1.6

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bearing Contributor

bearing

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford
Posted

very low elevation that, assuming places around you are higher? mine is bad as well, got Cannock chase near me, much above 200m, Cannock its self higher, Stoke way is also higher

 

You're about 10m higher than me. :D

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Fozfoster Seasoned

Fozfoster

Posted
  • Location: warwick 74m. asl
  • Weather Preferences: WHITE GOLD
  • Location: warwick 74m. asl
Posted

Ha ha! Think the airfield might have under soil heating as it's still above freezing here. 0.3 dew point -1.6

Yeah, we live on top of the Woodloes, so maybe why, but to be fair i havnt a clue why so different. Anyway wecome VC.
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VeryCold Apprentice

VeryCold

Posted
  • Location: Wellesbourne, Warwickshire 47M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold and more snow.
  • Location: Wellesbourne, Warwickshire 47M ASL
Posted

Yeah, we live on top of the Woodloes, so maybe why, but to be fair i havnt a clue why so different. Anyway wecome VC.

Thanks Foz . Was brought up in Boswell grove and went to both schools so know Woodloes very well...

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Mair Snaw Veteran

Mair Snaw

Posted
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
  • Weather Preferences: SNAW
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
Posted

its all gone pear shaped early doors on the 18z everythings gone east and no slider.... oh dear there is going to be some real wrist slashing in there in the morning..... I think I might just scrape the ice out of my freezer and throw it on the garden and tell the kids its snowed.... lol

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VeryCold Apprentice

VeryCold

Posted
  • Location: Wellesbourne, Warwickshire 47M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold and more snow.
  • Location: Wellesbourne, Warwickshire 47M ASL
Posted

its all gone pear shaped early doors on the 18z everythings gone east and no slider.... oh dear there is going to be some real wrist slashing in there in the morning..... I think I might just scrape the ice out of my freezer and throw it on the garden and tell the kids its snowed.... lol

Genius idea.!!......

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kmanmx Aficionado

kmanmx

Posted
  • Location: South Leicestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow. Cold
  • Location: South Leicestershire
Posted

its all gone pear shaped early doors on the 18z everythings gone east and no slider.... oh dear there is going to be some real wrist slashing in there in the morning..... I think I might just scrape the ice out of my freezer and throw it on the garden and tell the kids its snowed.... lol

 

Yeah I took a quick look and then backed away. 

 

At least it's nice and cold. So there's that. Not all doom and gloom, could quite easily be 10c and raining. 

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Will Padz Enthusiast

Will Padz

Posted
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire, 310m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire, 310m asl
Posted

its all gone pear shaped early doors on the 18z everythings gone east and no slider.... oh dear there is going to be some real wrist slashing in there in the morning..... I think I might just scrape the ice out of my freezer and throw it on the garden and tell the kids its snowed.... lol

06z too far west... 12z perfectish.... 18z too far east.... Is it on a hypnotic pendulum? Will it swing back enough by monday to make most uk happy? â„ï¸â„ï¸â„ï¸â›„ï¸â›„ï¸â›„ï¸

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Mair Snaw Veteran

Mair Snaw

Posted
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
  • Weather Preferences: SNAW
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
Posted

06z too far west... 12z perfectish.... 18z too far east.... Is it on a hypnotic pendulum? Will it swing back enough by monday to make most uk happy? â„ï¸â„ï¸â„ï¸â›„ï¸â›„ï¸â›„ï¸

Who knows I don't think ive ever seen such poor runs from one model to the next.... they are all just all other place....maybe something is afoot and this is throwing them all out of sorts... just such massive downgrades so quickly....I know the models often pick up on a pattern then drop it then fall back to it a few runs later but not all at once on the same day.... if this goes pear shaped there will be a lot of eggs on a lot of faces...

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nobble Rising Star

nobble

Posted
  • Location: pelsall, 500ft asl (west mids)
  • Location: pelsall, 500ft asl (west mids)
Posted

It's all doom and gloom over in the mod thread. Anyhow I now have 3 hours of light snow forecast early doors tomorow so fingers crossed

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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted

its all gone pear shaped early doors on the 18z everythings gone east and no slider.... oh dear there is going to be some real wrist slashing in there in the morning..... I think I might just scrape the ice out of my freezer and throw it on the garden and tell the kids its snowed.... lol

 

not just the 18Z all models, trouble was the cold/snow was always in FI, now all I am expecting next week is, cold and dry mon and tues, rain Wed, then back to square 1, straw clutching topplers at 300+, hoping for dry windows in the zonal flow, that's from Wed 21st

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VeryCold Apprentice

VeryCold

Posted
  • Location: Wellesbourne, Warwickshire 47M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold and more snow.
  • Location: Wellesbourne, Warwickshire 47M ASL
Posted

Who knows I don't think ive ever seen such poor runs from one model to the next.... they are all just all other place....maybe something is afoot and this is throwing them all out of sorts... just such massive downgrades so quickly....I know the models often pick up on a pattern then drop it then fall back to it a few runs later but not all at once on the same day.... if this goes pear shaped there will be a lot of eggs on a lot of faces...

Yes, will be embarrassing for some....I think this is exceptional though...the weather just wants to let us know that we are not even close to the understanding of the complexities of it....I for one can't believe the very exciting prospect of the Opi index would be so off...it's going to be one hell of a February if their -ao prediction is to come true

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