Jump to content

Spanish plume anyone? Storm and convective discussion 17th July Onwards


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 3.7k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

This explosion here is what we like!  

New strikes appearing in the channel peeps ahead of MCS 2 - active very quickly too

A couple more pictures  This part was rotating crazily A VERY close lightning strike (amazing picture, I know lol) And this one... I am so annoyed that it went wrong!  

Posted Images

Heavens above, Small hours of saturday morning look quite exceptional, that would be one noisy night and early wake up for many !

 

I'm expecting a level 2 from esto pretty soon tbh! But imagine if they dished out a level 3!! I think id wet myself and be slightly anxious!

Edited by East_England_Stormchaser91
  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

Hi @all

Beginning to look very interesting surprisingly early in the event already, wow..  Harry posted a question a bit earlier on: 

 

quote:"Does anyone have any thoughts on the potential for an MCS Saturday night also?"

 

This model is pretty much more often correct than not IMO

 

http://www.modellzentrale.de/WRF/animate2b.htm?../12Z/?25?h/maxDBZ_eu.png?3?0

 

Edit: Excuse moi, I thought this link would send you straight to the Piccie, but it doesnt, so you have to download all images and then forward click to Sat 19 Jul 06z

 

 

 

Shows some whopper storm with max dBz of 60+ (!!) predicted radar reflectivity spanning right from London to Dover. Havent seen this predicted for quite a while. That could be our Saturday morning MCS,

and what a violent one.. Might be useful to keep an eye on the next runs.

 

Here the link: http://www.modellzentrale.de/WRF/index_all_en.php  (click on sim. reflectivity/shear)

 

We wait and see, huh? :)

 

Ralph

Edited by Generalelectrix
  • Like 6
Link to post
Share on other sites

Courtesy of severe-weather.eu

post-15177-0-09574000-1405624258_thumb.p

A MDT risk has been issued for W France and English Channel for large to very large hail, heavy rainfall, severe wind gusts and tornadoes. Storms should cluster into large system towards the evening and spread northwards with severe wind and excessive rainfall threat overnight.

A SLGT risk has been issued for S-CNTRL British Isles, W-CNTRL France, NE Spain for large hail, heavy rainfall and severe wind gusts.

  • Like 4
Link to post
Share on other sites

Heavens above, Small hours of saturday morning look quite exceptional, that would be one noisy night and early wake up for many ! I'm expecting a level 2 from esto pretty soon tbh! But imagine if they dished out a level 3!! I think id wet myself and be slightly anxious!

just as we'll you don't live in Germany ,you would need a nappy ,:)........
  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

I don't see an MCS in the s.w. , just thundery rain , maybe in a couple of hours it may grow.... but more likely on friday afternoon in the midlands.

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

Heavens above, Small hours of saturday morning look quite exceptional, that would be one noisy night and early wake up for many !

 

I'm expecting a level 2 from esto pretty soon tbh! But imagine if they dished out a level 3!! I think id wet myself and be slightly anxious!

 

Going by the map Cloud 10 posted the 20,000,000 people in the south east will have no early wake up :lazy:

Favoured arrears will chop n change over the next 24 hours.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Quote"just as we'll you don't live in Germany ,you would need a nappy , :)........ "

@ Mokidugway: Harhar, I AM in Germany on work ATM :spiteful: Had planned to come over to the UK over the WE, but who knows..... :db: 

 

Ralph 

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

Just heard the first rumble. Bring it on

hiya!....my dad's on queens rd on the buckland estate....he just phoned me to say a few rumbles from the south, Torquay/Brixham way

 

he's an OAP now but still a storm nut.....runs in the family....lol

Edited by ajpoolshark
  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
AWD, on 17 Jul 2014 - 20:19, said:

Level 2 for Lands End. ;) ;)

Yeah, they are just in on the level2, could get interesting down there later.

Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
×
×
  • Create New...