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Spanish plume anyone? Storm and convective discussion 17th July Onwards

Jane Louise

By Jane Louise
in Storms & Severe Weather

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jamesthemonkeh Enthusiast

jamesthemonkeh

Posted
  • Location: Harrow, London
  • Location: Harrow, London
Posted

Sferics died down for a time but looks to be picking up according to the Real-Time Lightning detector. Anyone else Netweather Extra Radar not updating? Mines stuck on 17:25...

Now they bring the warnings out. :shok:

 

Normal lightning detector stuck on 17:15 too.

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Guest

Guest

Posted
Posted

well folks, looking like i can safely get the bbq out this weekend, everything now more west of here, looking forward to see any lightening pics on here of those fortunate enough to see the fun, stay safe.

Yep the track of all the storms is completely decided now  :cc_confused:

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted

Normal lightning detector stuck on 17:15 too.

Mines just suddenly jumped to 17:40 now, this is weird :laugh:

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Lauren Veteran

Lauren

Posted
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, snowy winters and thunderstorms!
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
Posted

So Met seem to think the possible overnight MCS will be more confined to the SW then.

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted (edited)

So Met seem to think the possible overnight MCS will be more confined to the SW then.

I'm so lucky as I'm in Exeter for my work experience at the Met Office this week. Leaving for Bristol tomorrow where I should be in a better position for storms for Saturday

Edited by Ben Sainsbury
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scotteboi Contributor

scotteboi

Posted
  • Location: Braintree, Essex. 150 feet (46 m) above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: T/Storms, Snow, Extreme Rain, Anything out of the ordinary!
  • Location: Braintree, Essex. 150 feet (46 m) above sea level
Posted (edited)

Have erased the date now, the forecast map is correct. Thanks for spotting that out!http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=convective;sess=

There's always one eh, this time it was me! (Sorry) ;-)Wish the map was wrong, looks like nowt for me tonight! Edited by scotteboi
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Dan the Man Contributor

Dan the Man

Posted
  • Location: Central Beds
  • Location: Central Beds
Posted

I think a red weather warning would only be issued when there is already something extremely severe happening, such as flash flooding or damaging hail from a supercell. I wouldn't rule it out, as it is a possibility. We've had supercells already this year, and it only takes a particularly slow moving example to cause major flooding problems, and more besides...

 

Would the MO ever release a tornado warning if the conditions occurred?

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted (edited)

Another day and yet another change. A downgrade for us as far as cape goes on saturday. Looking more like Thundery rain as any storms fizzle out before they reach us.  Tomorrows forecast may upgrade and on the day of course anything can happen. Had storms appearing where the predicted conditions were not supposed to support storms,

Friday looks better at the moment. We shall see.

Edited by The PIT
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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted

Did anyone just see the latest BBC Weather forecast? Looks like monsoon rains passing over the country tomorrow!

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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted

Did anyone just see the latest BBC Weather forecast? Looks like monsoon rains passing over the country tomorrow!

Looked pretty fantastic. West is best for a Freaky Friday, East is best for a superb, spectacular Saturday :D 

 

How I've missed those direct North movements of the MCS's, its been a bloomin long time!

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stevofunnelcl Aficionado

stevofunnelcl

Posted
  • Location: Torrington, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: storms - of the severe kind
  • Location: Torrington, Devon
Posted

Boom, first lightning strike on my map (unless it's a false signal)

Has landed

 

Just south of Dartmouth, Devon

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted (edited)

Boom, first lightning strike on my map (unless it's a false signal)

Has landed

 

Just south of Dartmouth, Devon

A little strange place to be but if any more sferics follow then we can determine whether it is real or not.

 

The storms in the channel, look fantastic!

Edited by Ben Sainsbury
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Cakie Seasoned

Cakie

Posted
  • Location: Up North like
  • Location: Up North like
Posted (edited)

According to the latest lightening map 18.00, looks like a strike almost on top of The Met Office. I bet that woke them up

Edited by Cakie
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paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted (edited)

Up here is looking like a dead duck for storms now...Yes it can still change before anyone decides to point that out to me

Edited by paul m
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Gord Rising Star

Gord

Posted
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
Posted

I think the strike that appeared just off the coast from Grimsby confirms that things aren't working as well as they should be though.

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted (edited)

According to the latest lightening map 18.00, looks like a strike almost on top of The Met Office. I bet that woke them up

Just left their headquarters an hour ago after work experience, why me? :(

 

Incorrect sferic.

Edited by Ben Sainsbury
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Evening thunder Experienced

Evening thunder

Posted
  • Location: East Devon
  • Location: East Devon
Posted

Seems to be getting it's act together in the channel now!

 

hopefully it can extend a bit east or if not I may drive a bit west.Odd if there was a strike at Dartmouth, nothing on the radar.. but increasing Altocumulus Castellanus to the south with turrets getting higher.. maybe something just fired. Never a bad sign to see those clouds anyway.

 

The ATD strikes almost over the Met Office (lol) must have been false detections, unless there was lightning without any rain or significant cloud somehow

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

Blitzortungs live detector *( http://www.blitzortung.org/Webpages/index.php?lang=en&page_0=12 )

 

Is certainly showing a wider area now. Not sure how accurate the ones on the "map" are.. One has been discounted as a false detection.. 

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PolarWarsaw Seasoned

PolarWarsaw

Posted
  • Location: South Staffordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: South Staffordshire
Posted

Not looking that great here in all honesty. West tommorrow, east Saturday. Nothing that central, certainly not a focus. Can't moan though as we've had a few storms already this summer, just looks like we could be missing out on a big occasion this time round.

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OddSpot Community Regular

OddSpot

Posted
  • Location: Chesterfield, North Derbyshire 100m ASL
  • Location: Chesterfield, North Derbyshire 100m ASL
Posted (edited)

Not bad webcam here at Berry Head, Brixham near Torquay 

 

It pans all the way round a step a a time and shows the black skies towards Dartmouth and where the storms are probably approaching from (to the right of the aerial mast where the two big rocks are in the sea)

 

http://www.berryhead.co.uk/

 

or this one at Salcombe that pans around. Needs cleaning though with the looks of it

 

http://www.hopecove.com/hotel/webcam.php

Edited by OddSpot
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Duane S. Veteran

Duane S.

Posted
  • Location: Weymouth, Dorset
  • Location: Weymouth, Dorset
Posted

Too many people writing it off just by looking at the radar/lighting maps. Watch more strikes appear eastwards of the main cluster as it moves Northwards.

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paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted

Too many people writing it off just by looking at the radar/lighting maps. Watch more strikes appear eastwards of the main cluster as it moves Northwards.

Looking at charts and all the Variables gives a pretty good idea of areas that are going to miss out. Think people are actually talking about Fri/sat for chances.

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