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Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Feb 2018 Easterly
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL

    Evening all, WOW What melter today was, Even warmer tomorrow. Could be some excellent T storm activity over the next couple of days. Humidity really punching in. This warm to hot spell looking to continue for a while based on current output, That's just based though never confirmed,However signals are very good. take care folks.

     

    :rolleyes:

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    Posted
  • Location: Garvestone, Norfolk
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine. And storms
  • Location: Garvestone, Norfolk

    Lovely day here, not too hot, nice onshore breeze and plenty of cloud in the afternoon, humidity conspicuous by its absence. Perfect weather for a serious re-vamp of various parts of the garden. I do love a bit of slash and burn (the bonfire is about 15ft high) :D  

     

    There will be no hatch battening here over the next couple of days, never known overcast and dry weather to cause flash flooding haha

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    Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

    It's really pleasant outside near with a fairly stiff breeze, my room on the other hand has bottled up this plume and is serving me with temperatures of 29 degrees. Please drop a little bit :)

    Edit - down to 27C now.

    Edited by Captain shortwave
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    Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

    Right T-day (terrible pun I know)

    Saturday

    temperatures

    Posted Image

    Looks hot, the track of Fridays MCS looks to be through central England so there is every chance that Eastern areas could remain clear.

     

    Dew points

    Posted Image

    Reaching 22C by the afternoon and carrying on into the evening.

     

    Cape

    Posted Image

    Off the scale by late Afternoon

    Same at the mid-levels

    I think there is definitely a chance of something developing during Saturday that could be quite violent.

     

     

    I've over-stewed my tea, by about half an hour  :rofl:  whoops, serves me right for spending to much time checking for storm potential.

    Edited by Captain shortwave
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    Posted
  • Location: Garvestone, Norfolk
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine. And storms
  • Location: Garvestone, Norfolk

    Good stuff Matt, we don't want that MCS's eastward edge any further east than the IOW as a minimum! :D

     

    Stewed tea is the best tea hehe

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    Posted
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Hot and Sunny but not opressive
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey

    Great posts captain both in here and the model forum I for one am greatful for explainations and charts of what is going on or what could happen in the future. I'm learning all the time over a couple of years thanks to posts like yours and others such as JP to name one. Good to see great humour too. Temps at 30 in my 2 year olds room tonight all windows open with a nice breeze blowing through at times.

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    Posted
  • Location: Sible Hedingham, North Essex
  • Location: Sible Hedingham, North Essex

    If the thunder activity backs west slightly and leaves the SE clear on Sat, surely with the higher uppers there is a chance of it being hotter than Friday?

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    Posted
  • Location: Southampton, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, hot, hot! Or cold, cold, cold!
  • Location: Southampton, UK

    The front which is moving north-east over the Channel is just hitting Southampton. All of a sudden the curtains have started sucking in and out of the open windows and the lights just flickered - lightning strike just to my south-west according to http://www.blitzortung.org/Webpages/index.php?lang=en&page_0=12

     

    Still over 21C, but the pressure is falling rapidly and the humidity is 69% from 53% this afternoon.

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    Posted
  • Location: Southampton, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, hot, hot! Or cold, cold, cold!
  • Location: Southampton, UK

    There's a mess of intense showers just leaving Normandy which should be waking lots of people up along the central Southern coast in a couple of hours! :rolleyes::lazy:

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    Posted
  • Location: Garvestone, Norfolk
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine. And storms
  • Location: Garvestone, Norfolk

    Don't laugh but I'm sitting here with a blanket on my lap and fluffy slippers on cos it's definitely not warm in here! This is a strange county....

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    Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

    fan on full blast here

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    Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

    too hot (did I mention that?)

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    Posted
  • Location: Aldborough, North Norfolk
  • Location: Aldborough, North Norfolk

    Don't laugh but I'm sitting here with a blanket on my lap and fluffy slippers on cos it's definitely not warm in here! This is a strange county....

    Currently 16.1C outside near the North Norfolk coast.

     

    So should go lower overnight

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    Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

    Posted Image

    This chart shows clearly how things are predicted to pan out. Note the shallow trough over the UK, the northern flank will be the main area of thundery rain, its position by now is north west England, we are effectively in the warm sector under some very unstable air. The steering winds are south to north. This means as well as getting potential surface based convection, we could also pick up some thunderstorms from central France as they track northwards. So a night time show cannot be ruled out either.

    Temperatures again, the GFS has 29C, but it could get higher. Also Cape values are through the roof and the mid-level cape stays strong through the night, only dying down late on Sunday.

     

    That's all from me. Goodnight.

    Edited by Captain shortwave
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    Posted
  • Location: Southampton, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, hot, hot! Or cold, cold, cold!
  • Location: Southampton, UK

    Yeh, frequent rumbles now. Intense storm off the Needles . :yahoo:

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    Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

    too hot and now planning my exit for the evening.  goodnight all.

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    Posted
  • Location: Braintree, Essex. 150 feet (46 m) above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: T/Storms, Snow, Extreme Rain, Anything out of the ordinary!
  • Location: Braintree, Essex. 150 feet (46 m) above sea level

    Good to see most of the region under a Level 1, let alone a level 2.

    What's slightly concerning is that if you read the warning in its entirety, they were considering a level 3!!!!
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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL

    Good to see most of the region under a Level 1, let alone a level 2.

    Well it may have been upgraded to a level 3, which shows of the potential severity. I wouldn't underplay the possibilities."An alternative scenario is that not much convection will be surface-based, and the bulk of the activity will be elevated, reducing the overall severe threat. Because of this uncertainty, an level 3 was not issued at this time."^ Night
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    Posted
  • Location: Southampton, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, hot, hot! Or cold, cold, cold!
  • Location: Southampton, UK

    Cracking stuff over the Forest right now. Near continuous thunder!

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    Posted
  • Location: East of Loughborough! 84m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Snow, Wind, Rain, Sun.....but mainly cooler weather!
  • Location: East of Loughborough! 84m ASL

    Looks like we might see a little action tonight. My little Oregon alarm clock is showing rain. It's primitive but usually accurate.

    Edited by Storme
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    Posted
  • Location: Tiptoe in the New Forest, south Hampshire
  • Location: Tiptoe in the New Forest, south Hampshire

    Amazing!!!! Still flashing away to my East .went down to the coast at Milford and watched the storm come in. .loads of cgs one hit between us and the marine cafe! Continuous lightning and thunder...best storm here for a long time...scary but wow!!!

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    Posted
  • Location: Burgess Hill, West Sussex. 44m asl
  • Location: Burgess Hill, West Sussex. 44m asl

    Can see frequent flashes here and hearing distant thunder in Burgess Hill

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      Low pressure is going to keep doing its thing during the upcoming week, rolling in from the Atlantic, then hanging around to bring days of sunshine and showers with occasional longer spells of rain. Read the full update here

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