Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

Convective / storm Discussion - 5th June 2014 onwards


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms :D
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos

    Please carry on here folks. Such boring weather we are having at the moment Lol. Let's hope tomorrow delivers something. Looking good for some  if I must say. :)

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    • Replies 1.2k
    • Created
    • Last Reply

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Posted
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors
  • Weather Preferences: Snow/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Home: Nr Malton, Howardian Hills 53m asl Work: North York Moors

    Well I have next week off so I'm hoping for some good weather, however it looks like low pressure wont be too far away so a second best outcome would be thundery showers akin to last week.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire

    A possibility of some storms tomorrow across SW England and the West Country, maybe also parts of South Wales and the SW Midlands despite CAPE values that are not overly impressive. Even so, where any storms do form they will be able to take advantage of some 30-40 knots of deep layer shear which may allow some organisation and longevity of cells. There does seem to be an area where GFS has higher CAPE and wind convergence around Somerset and Dorset, which is where I think the highest risk would be tomorrow. Main risks tomorrow are from rainfall as storms will be slow moving giving the potential for localised flooding. Severe weather outside this threat would appear unlikely IMO. 

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Guildford, Surrey.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms & Snow
  • Location: Guildford, Surrey.

    Boreathon this week.

    Storms guaranteed in 2 weeks time in S.E. I will be away on holiday in Cornwall and bound to miss the year's best event at home while away.

    So convinced that I might miss something I have arranged with security guard at work to keep CCTV footage of the car park so I watch the storm when I get home! All I need is the time of the event and the video can be accessed - a bit like watching a missed much loved TV programme.

    Looks like another unsettled June holiday like the dirges form last year back to 2007. (Sorry to be off-topic in this section).

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers, cold winters.. How it should be!
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL

    Once again the beauty of the late GFS run is shown. Latest output suggests a vast area of moisture rich, thunderstorm prone air moving northwest off the near continent. Oh how it can be a tease. FI so expect it to be gone by the 6Z run.....

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK

    A possibility of some storms tomorrow across SW England and the West Country, maybe also parts of South Wales and the SW Midlands despite CAPE values that are not overly impressive. Even so, where any storms do form they will be able to take advantage of some 30-40 knots of deep layer shear which may allow some organisation and longevity of cells. There does seem to be an area where GFS has higher CAPE and wind convergence around Somerset and Dorset, which is where I think the highest risk would be tomorrow. Main risks tomorrow are from rainfall as storms will be slow moving giving the potential for localised flooding. Severe weather outside this threat would appear unlikely IMO. 

    Ah, a bit far E, well we'll see as who knows what might happen.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK

    Already showers bubbling up and there isn't a hint of sunshine.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK

    First hints of the sun coming through just W of Southampton.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
    Posted
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and sunny with night time t-storms
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)

    Lightning strikes truck on motorway yesterday in Poland. Short clip catches the very moment...http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=cfNhz8GCAaE

    That's amazing - I wonder what happened to the truck, there seemed to be a lot of flames but it just carried on? The closest I have got in a car was on a very exposed section of autoroute a few years ago near Beaune, CG struck up a relationship with a metal fence at the side of the road and the flash and bang was incredible...

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    After having a quick flick through the model's, I could be in a good place for some interesting weather today. My punt would be on North Dorset and Somerset being prime locations, but squeezing in to Devon later on.

    It was sunny here, temps got up to 15.6°C, now the black clouds have appeared.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK

    After having a quick flick through the model's, I could be in a good place for some interesting weather today. My punt would be on North Dorset and Somerset being prime locations, but squeezing in to Devon later on.It was sunny here, temps got up to 15.6°C, now the black clouds have appeared.

    Yes, I'm in extreme E Devon so hopefully.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, East Anglia
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny, stormy and I don't dislike rain only cold
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, East Anglia

    First hints of the sun coming through just W of Southampton.

    I looked at the skew-t for Devon and it did seem to indicate low level cloud for the morning but clearing during the afternoon retaining moisture and low LCL as the dewpoint and temps are still reasonably close and for what I learnt last night seems to be the lower the LCL the less of a trigger needed. Better look at this mornings skew-T though :-) Edited by Greenday
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK

    I looked at the skew-t for Devon and it did seem to indicate low level cloud for the morning but clearing during the afternoon retaining moisture and low LCL as the dewpoint and temps are still reasonably close and for what I learnt last night seems to be the lower the LCL the less of a trigger needed. Better look at this mornings skew-T though :-)

    Yes, I dont understand skew-t very well but the chart looks a bit crazy so I suppose that means unstable?

     

    What do these suggest?

     

    Posted Image

     

    Posted Image

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, East Anglia
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny, stormy and I don't dislike rain only cold
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, East Anglia

    Yes, I dont understand skew-t very well but the chart looks a bit crazy so I suppose that means unstable?

     

    What do these suggest?

     

    Posted Image

     

    Posted Image

    Devon had a downgrade but you in good position.
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, East Anglia
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny, stormy and I don't dislike rain only cold
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, East Anglia

    Yes, I dont understand skew-t very well but the chart looks a bit crazy so I suppose that means unstable?

     

    What do these suggest?

     

    Posted Image

     

    Posted Image

    Devon had a downgrade but you in good position.
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
    Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON

    Thursday 29th May 2014

    FROM THE MET OFFICE!

     

    YELLOW WARNING of RAIN for south Wales, southwest England and central southern England. Scattered heavy and locally thundery downpours are likely to develop across parts of southern England, the south Midlands and southeast Wales this afternoon, only slowly easing this evening. The public should be aware of the risk of surface water flooding.

     

    Valid Thursday 29th May 1400 until 2200.

     

    I wonder if they will be right this time!

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK

    Devon had a downgrade but you in good position.

    I hope so. Fingers crossed.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: winscombe north somerset
  • Weather Preferences: action weather
  • Location: winscombe north somerset

    Not much showing on radar at the moment ,but this afternoon especially later could see some storms being set off but a bit hit and miss ,best of luck if you get one ,dont hug it too much send it this way ,cheers all .

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK

    Not much showing on radar at the moment ,but this afternoon especially later could see some storms being set off but a bit hit and miss ,best of luck if you get one ,dont hug it too much send it this way ,cheers all .

    Most of it is hit and miss and I probably won't get anything knowing my luck.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

    Bit of convection happening over the Dorset coast now.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

    Some really nice Weymouth webcams:

    https://www.dorsetforyou.com/weymouth-webcams

    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    The clouds a pretty ominous here, a definite thundery feel to it, spitting with rain too, just as the windows cleaner turns up. :laugh:

    Just up from Bournemouth.. http://www.urbanreef.com/surf-reef-webcam.html

    Edited by Mapantz
    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
    • Staying cool and showery with heavy, thundery downpours

      The weather continues on with its cool, showery and unsettled pattern, with more heavy downpours during the next few days. Then, to finish the week, a deep low arrives bringing a spell of wet and windy conditions. Read the full update here

      Netweather forecasts
      Netweather forecasts
      Latest weather updates from Netweather

      UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

      UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2021-05-18 06:21:01 Valid: 18/05/2021 0600 - 19/05/2021 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - TUES 18TH MAY 2021 Click here for the full forecast

      Nick F
      Nick F
      Latest weather updates from Netweather

      Strong winds from an Atlantic low later this week adding to cool, wet May

      May 2021 has been colder than average with a lot of rain for some parts of the UK. A low pressure heading in for the end of the week could bring gales. Read more here

      Jo Farrow
      Jo Farrow
      Latest weather updates from Netweather
    • Recently Browsing   0 members

      No registered users viewing this page.

    ×
    ×
    • Create New...