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Convective / storm Discussion - 22nd May 2014 onwards

Liam J

By Liam J
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

The NMM is pretty keen on imports. I'd put areas between the IoW and Brighton to have first dibs..

post-15177-0-05053100-1401037534_thumb.ppost-15177-0-51004100-1401037540_thumb.ppost-15177-0-91782500-1401037546_thumb.ppost-15177-0-58093400-1401037553_thumb.ppost-15177-0-11400400-1401037561_thumb.p

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Author
Posted

Just the odd heavy shower brewing up today but nothing electrified - looked close at one point! Eastern parts of Cumbria have done a little better with some sferics showing up and some strikes near Blackpool just recently. Fine evening here with sunshine.  

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Mokidugway Maestro

Mokidugway

Posted
Posted

Just the odd heavy shower brewing up today but nothing electrified - looked close at one point! Eastern parts of Cumbria have done a little better with some sferics showing up and some strikes near Blackpool just recently. Fine evening here with sunshine.

some beefy towers out there , looks like a production line from Blackpool in to the lakes , missing me completely though !!....
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stainesbloke Maestro

stainesbloke

Posted
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in summer, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
Posted

Looks like some showers and storms beginning to appear over N France, heading towards S England. Any risk of storms tonight/tomorrow?

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<<Ryan>> Aficionado

<<Ryan>>

Posted
  • Location: Hawkhurst (TN18) Kent
  • Weather Preferences: All weather extremes
  • Location: Hawkhurst (TN18) Kent
Posted (edited)

Had some nice mammatus clouds on the back end of the storm yesterday! Sorry about the picture, taken on my useless phone whilst on the busOh.. You'll have to turn your heads or screens upside down :p

 

post-10954-0-23719800-1401043659_thumb.j

post-7292-0-85651100-1401043783_thumb.jp

Edited by lorenzo
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Speedway Slider Enthusiast

Speedway Slider

Posted
  • Location: Leicester (LE3)
  • Location: Leicester (LE3)
Posted

Ok guys, we got rained off yesterday at home against Birmingham :-(

Tomorrow we race Poole at home, 3pm first race...

What can we expect from the weather gods, from say 12 noon until around 18:00?

Our track is Leicester, oh, forgot to mention it's Speedway, and I work on track prep on race days..

Thanks

Speedway Slider..

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vladthemert Enthusiast

vladthemert

Posted
  • Location: cleethorpes
  • Location: cleethorpes
Posted

 

holly hell those are big to the left but then godzilla appears :bomb: I am just hoping that one on the right burns out before us sorry for those in its wake first its dog eat dog  :cray:  :sorry:

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Knoxgar Contributor

Knoxgar

Posted
  • Location: Ludwigshafen / Mannheim, Germany (98 m)
  • Location: Ludwigshafen / Mannheim, Germany (98 m)
Posted (edited)

right now severe development in southern germany heading for us...supercells fired up there and heading for my area!

 

http://www.t-online.de/wetter/niederschlagsradar/64094056

Edited by Knoxgar
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Knoxgar Contributor

Knoxgar

Posted
  • Location: Ludwigshafen / Mannheim, Germany (98 m)
  • Location: Ludwigshafen / Mannheim, Germany (98 m)
Posted

http://estofex.org/ Estofex with level 2 for our area tomorrow and tonight 2 supercells heading for us...niiiiice :D

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Well...Estofex very exciting reading for tomorrow evening/overnight for the SE, under a Lvl 1.

Certainly the potential for some scattered home grown showers, possibly thundery tomorrow afternoon, then eyes east overnight with some possibly quite intense downpours and potential thunderstorms moving out of the Lvl 2 zone over Benelux, at the moment over EA/Lincs - models seem to be in agreement on this at the moment but have been pushing it further south at times more across London/Home Counties...could be a case of now casting however nearer the time I suspect.

Will be awaiting the 00z and 06z models with interest

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Knoxgar Contributor

Knoxgar

Posted
  • Location: Ludwigshafen / Mannheim, Germany (98 m)
  • Location: Ludwigshafen / Mannheim, Germany (98 m)
Posted (edited)

CAPE is increasing here, according to latest synops we are about to hit 900 in the next hour...tomorrow even higher!

Edited by Knoxgar
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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Estofex have a level 1 for the midlands and east anglia tomorrow!!interesting to say the least!!

...and Kent :D (for now)
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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted (edited)

and Essex:)

Sorry...I have a misguided tendency to whack Essex into the EA bannerBefore I head for shut eye to the dulcet tones of Mr Dimbleby, I have to say that (on estofex) that has to be the biggest Lvl 1 area I've ever seen :O Edited by Harry
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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted

Sorry...I have a misguided tendency to whack Essex into the EA bannerBefore I head for shut eye to the dulcet tones of Mr Dimbleby, I have to say that (on estofex) that has to be the biggest Lvl 1 area I've ever seen :O

Could be similar to today. Blitzortung was near 14,000 strikes on the map for much of this afternoon over Europe. Very active day. Think tomorrow however for the SE that heavy rain is the main focus. Not worth getting too excited about at this stage imo as these situations can change even now and especially in recent years where the trend is for continental imports to decide they suddenly don't like the UK and buggar off elsewhere. Could be even worse from now on following the EU elections... LOL.

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Raidan Enthusiast

Raidan

Posted
  • Location: BRISTOL
  • Location: BRISTOL
Posted

The way things have gone here over the last week regarding storms is pretty depressing not one flash or rumble just boring rain is as good as it got.Wonder how much a ticket to Ludwigshafen is get myself in on Knoxgars action lol.

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Ǝssex Ǝasterly Seasoned

Ǝssex Ǝasterly

Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Snow events / Wind storms
  • Location: Benfleet, Essex
Posted

GFS had me down for over 50mm of rain between monday and tuesday, now it's showing about 8mm :p

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cloudsabove Enthusiast

cloudsabove

Posted
  • Location: Suffolk (just west of Ipswich)
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, clouds, aurora
  • Location: Suffolk (just west of Ipswich)
Posted (edited)

https://vimeo.com/96453061

 

My video of the gust front, captured yesterday, near my location. Still getting to grips with camera teething problems with time lapse settings, and the encoding etc. Other pics of it:

 

post-7276-0-02136900-1401067567_thumb.jp

 

post-7276-0-46879200-1401067933_thumb.jp

Edited by cloudsabove
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lassie23 Maestro

lassie23

Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
Posted

Is thunder back in the forecast? The bbc have changed their London forecast three times, it's driving me nuts! First thunder, then to heavy rain, now light rain! :help: The met office are saying that there is a risk of thunder this afternoon!  Drizzle or thunder? :cc_confused: :cc_confused: :unknw:

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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted

Certainly a risk is there today. The main interest is that nasty looking feature coming out of holland tonight though.

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Buckster Enthusiast

Buckster

Posted
  • Location: Chelmsford, Essex
  • Location: Chelmsford, Essex
Posted

is 00z showing heavy precipitation tonight quite a bit further north again ? missing, Kent, Essex and Suffolk - or am I looking at it wrong ?

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William Grimsley Seasoned

William Grimsley

Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
Posted

An import here this morning if rather weak. Weak convection with low CAPE and positive Lifted Index could beef it up later. We'll have to see.

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