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Jane Louise

Convective / Storm Discussion - 30th March 2014 onwards

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Hoping for some developments in the home counties and s.Midlands today which gives the NW the better chance of seeing something, still a yellow-warning over us however for the risk of storms and rain into the evening.

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Cheeky Thunderstorms breaking out all over the gaff! 

Intresting movement on the ones in the South (Channel) Moving more East than North... COME TO DADDA!

 

Posted Image

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Not sure what the chances are for Bristol to see anything today, but if not, some further opportunities perhaps tomorrow and Thursday by the looks of things....a bit of a now-cast situation as I am sure everyone is aware.

 

Good luck to those are are perhaps more in the firing line today! get some piccies if you can :p

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Back for another year of frustration Posted Image

 

Some activity coming out of Cherbourg hopefully it will it will make it this far. 

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Those cells in the channel really spitting some lightning out somebody could have a proper show later on! 

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Thunderstorm passing by just to the east, quite loud rumbles, not much rain.

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Storms firing up all over the Welsh coast, they all seem to be heading out to sea though! 

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A cell crossing the channel could be heading this way, if it maintains it's intensity. I'm off fishing later, could be interesting with 6 lightning rods stuck up in the air. :D

Latest lightning distribution..

post-15177-0-15225500-1396278604_thumb.p

Edited by Mapantz

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Cheeky Thunderstorms breaking out all over the gaff! 

Intresting movement on the ones in the South (Channel) Moving more East than North... COME TO DADDA!

 

Posted Image

Like the look of that trajectory, them buggers could hit London and the SE.
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Storm in the channel is going up like a balloon! 

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Looks like IOW in firing line

Hope all are good on here, been a while since posted (have been very ill to say the least)

 

Anyway..bring on the storms...im waitinggg  lol Posted Image

 

Err edit

Where did the sun go ..Oh i know, behind the incoming storm (well im hoping there is) Posted Image

Edited by Cyclonic

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Looks like IOW in firing line

Hope all are good on here, been a while since posted (have been very ill to say the least)

 

Anyway..bring on the storms...im waitinggg  lol Posted Image

Indeed a cluster of cells is on your horizon :D IOW does great for storms!

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Definitely some really lively looking storms kicking into gear now. 

 

Without lightning strikes

post-2-0-05238500-1396280448_thumb.png

 

With lightning strikes

post-2-0-15897000-1396280452_thumb.png

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I've just got out of work and surveying the situation as to where I should head. Looks promising with lots of cells across Wales.

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Got some thunder and lightning here in Aberystwyth on the west wales coast!

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As it currently stands (note the current bit) storms developing over the english channel are very unlikely to affect anywhere near London or the south east. They are likely to be elevated in nature (as per Nick F's storm forecast) and the steering winds for these storms will bring them due north or just west of north of their current position to landfall over Dorset and West Hants and drift slowly north/north west over Western Hants/Dorset/Wilts and into the west Midlands over the next few hours into the overnight period, providing of course they hold together.......As to any thing developing further east in the English Channel, who knows?

Edited by ajpoolshark
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Indeed very unlikely any storms will affect the SE today but i think there is too much cloud affecting the Midlands now. Might have problems getting things going here but if they are elevated in nature that may not affect things too much.

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Shower heading towards Burton on Trent developing nicely

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Sat24 suggests the light rain over the Midlands may clear soon, may give some late sunshine. Meto rainfall prediction seems to think Worcestershire and environs may see some good downpours this evening. :)

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Very muggy and hazy here with altocumulus in front of the sun.

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current state of play, with heavy showers developing over the Midlands, and more thunderstorms brewing over the English Channel heading towards the Dorset/West Hants coastline drifting NNW

 

post-4149-0-31322000-1396284064_thumb.pn post-4149-0-74764400-1396284077_thumb.pn

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Probably wont see anything today but have a few days where something could happen.

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