South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 28/03/14

[Jax]

Yo dudes and dudettes

 

 

been a great day weather wise, and may it long continue

 

just put the bins out and still rather mild (not moaning either) not quite window open weather but getting close.

[abruzzi spur]

Evening all, from North Pembrokeshire where it's stayed dry and been sporadically sunny with an insistent westerly breeze jumping into our faces. To the beautiful Mwnt, just across the border in Ceredigion, this afternoon, a bit of shelter under the cliffs and a lie down as the sun came properly out and small children put us to shame by running into the sea in t-shirts and shorts - you can tell it's a local's beach by the lack of English accents, wetsuits and pop up sun shield tents and factor 400, and by the number of rugby balls being chucked about. 

 

We were on Poppit Sands this morning, back (just) in Pembrokeshire, a beautiful wide estuary beach with a huge tidal range, a new lifeboat station, an old station up the coast, and an island that only reveals itself as an island when you have walked almost as far west as is possible to walk.  The edges of the shore where the river outs and ins are shifting footings, some moments soft and comforting, then hard baked sand rivulets that bruise the foot, then soft, too soft, calling limbs down into waterlogged depth where at some point, who knows where, it won't be funny any more.

 

There were sticks, more than that, branches and in some cases whole tree trunks, across the sand, some new, recently eased from their decades and surprised to end up there, others, older, wondering where and how they would come to rest and at the last subsiding to the storms and flow of the upstream, giving way and easing themselves into the flow to go where it goes, always west and then beaching near the lifeboat station where rescue starts.  Some of the branches, on a vivid bright early Spring day, were bleach white blasted smooth by sand and that way the sun has of burnishing wood and leaving it devoid of colour but full of depth and soft to the touch, fingers running along, down, into the past.

 

Tomorrow we paint the back door, just a door, was in a bad state, some people want to give this place up, sell up, share the money around, it's not worth much between so many, not worth much money anyway, but the more we put in the more, not money, we will get out.

 

And that was the point I was trying to make, coming back, hello again to Tams, Tom and Snowlady, really glad to see you again.

 

AS 

Edited April 13, 2014 by abruzzi spur

[Lauren]

Out of interest, what site do people feel is good for long range forecasts (say 2-3 weeks ahead) for the US?

[john pike]

hi lauren

 

not sure anything is reliable at that range

 

cannot think of anyone anyway

 

---------------------------------------------------

 

thursday

 

a weak north west flow

 

rainfall looks possible late pm but only patchy

 

temps

 

 

around 16-17 degrees

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------

 

friday

 

a weak easterly flow

 

looks dry

 

temps

 

 

12-14 degrees

 

tampered due to cloudcover

 

ukmo at 144

 

bottom right

 

 

a weak east-south east flow

 

temps to early to say

 

should be dry

Edited April 13, 2014 by john pike

[Bluebreezer54]

Good evening all. It's great to see some regulars back posting.

 

The standard of photo's posted in this thread is amazing, and thank you all for sharing them. Have a good week folks.

[Eskimo]

If it wasn't for university work, I'd be posting more regularly.

[john pike]

http://www.weathercast.co.uk/services/ensemble-forecast.html?eps=london

 

no great heat and at times chilly

 

looks fairly dry with only light to breezy winds

 

follow the mean at present as a temp difference on the 18th (the yellow line)

 

i am off now

 

goodnight all

[lassie23]

Total Lunar Eclipse 2014

 

Sky gazers are in for a rare celestial treat - the first total lunar eclipse of 2014, which will occur overnight on 14-15 April.
The phenomenon occurs when the Earth, Sun and moon are in perfect alignment, covering the moon from view in the Earth's shadow.

Who Gets to See it?
The total lunar eclipse will be easily visible throughout the North and South American continents and much of the Pacific Basin, including Hawaii. However, Europe, Africa, and central Asia will miss the entire eclipse because it will be daytime in those regions at the time of the event.
 

Edited April 14, 2014 by lassie23

[Charltonkerry]

Morning all, hope everyone is well, it was nice to see some more posters yesterday, great seeing all the photos. Had a busy old day weekend, mostly family stuff, managed to see all the kids and grand kids all in one weekend, next weekend seeing them all in one day as we have a family get together on Sunday, with and Easter egg hunt. Been in the wars a bit this weekend, hurt my shoulder playing with one of the grandkids on Saturday, forgot momentarily about not lifting funny how heavy a two year old is! Think the way to describe the pain was ouch x 100, nanny wasn't to impressed either, called me a silly old grandad. Then Sunday morning woke up with a throbbing left knee, got no idea how that occurred, but my little 3 year old granddaughter manage to hit ever time she went near it. I don't mind getting old, well to be honest you can't do anything about it, but gradual deterioration of my body is getting me down, and the comments from my kids don't help either, I'm now known as delicate granddad, that hurts.

Beautiful morning again, 100% blue sky! although its seems very breezy out. Off to Peterborough office today, so a breakfast meeting in the little chef was hastily arranged over the weekend, short week this week with Easter, so for most a nice long weekend, but I do feel sorry for those who work in retail, why we can't shut the shops for a day a two over Easter and Christmas, I got no idea, surely it not that vital that shops have to be opened up all 4 days of Easters, can't it be arranged that at least one day could be put aside for religion and rest!

Have a great day everyone.

[Harps]

Bright cloudless morning again, I had little to no sleep last night so feeling even worse than I normally would getting up at 5am on a Monday morning, at least the weather's doing it's best to keep my spirits up

[Steve C]

Morning all.

 

Blue skies here. When driving earlier today, I noticed one of the local woods has a haze of bluebells appearing. Another week and they'll look pretty stunning. 

 

Hopefully a nice week of weather coming up. From Sunday onwards, it looks like shallow low pressure might be in the vicinity, so maybe a showery breakdown. :unsure: A long way off though.

[Captain Shortwave]

Morning all, sunny skies here this morning. Here's to a good week 

[legrandefromage]

the world turns, the sky brightens, the sun rises.

 

again...

[Jax]

Morning all

 

Bright and sunny day here, feeling a tad nippy but warming up in the sunshine, and it is dry again.

 

Sorting out the rest of the washing after doing the ironing part of it all last night.

 

If you can, make the most of this great day (I plan to nip in and out for the next few hours and sort the ever growing bush and ivy in the back garden)

 

Have a good day all

[Daniel*]

Afternoon - great to see the regulars back Fabulous day although don't let the spring warmth catch you out, tonight there may be a patchy frost in rural locations, so gardeners be vigilant. Chilly night incoming.

[Neilsouth]

What's with this unforecasted naff north sea wind?

 

Brrr

[Jax]

Afternoon - great to see the regulars back Fabulous day although don't let the spring warmth catch you out, tonight there may be a patchy frost in rural locations, so gardeners be vigilant. Chilly night incoming.

image.jpg

Where I am is deemed rural so may be some ice action in the morning here.

 

Fantastic day now though, been out and sorted the car and given it a basic service, swept the yard (first broom the handle broke mind) and took a wander into town for a few items of purchase I wanted (rather than needed, but hey it is a nice day and the park was kinda along the way).

[Tom Quintavalle]

Quote: "Tatsfield, at 240 metres is one of the highest parts of the North Downs and Wednesday was a good sunny day to have a look around on route to other destinations. Here is the village green and little pond."

 

 

Here is another lovely photo of Tatsfield village green (white) and pond, in the snows of 2005. Great up there for a snow chase, lying on the southern extent of Thames snow streamer land, as it does, that is of course if the roads are not blocked and you can reach there!

 

 

Tams mentions that Tatsfield (Extreme NE corner of Surrey) stands at around 240 metres but the highest point in Surrey, of course , is Leith Hill at 295 metres. Always thought that Leith Hill was the highest point in SE England but that title goes to Walbury Hill, in Berkshire, at a mere 2 metres more.

Thought the link below, of the highest point in each county of England and Wales, may be of some interest.  

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_counties_of_England_and_Wales_in_1964_by_highest_point

 

Think the Snow Cup should be awarded to the entrant with the greatest altitude, as a way of finally putting it to bed! If all entrants could give Chris and myself, their postcodes please, we can finally resolve this years farce of a competition. I'll start then, mine's SE1 9SG. Beat that!   

 

Tom.

Edited April 14, 2014 by Kentish CZ

[Tom Quintavalle]

Quote: "Hi Tom, the only thing I could beat are a few moles or earthworms at my sad 5m ASL

 

Been another lovely sunny day although temp. struggling slightly at just under 15C with the north west wind.

 

Don't have to walk too far to find high ground, these pictures were taken today at a spot just west of Shorne Village at around 60m asl and only 2.5 miles from my house down on the marsh"

 

Ah Ian but what you lose with height, you surely gain with your easterly location, Thames streamer wise. I know they dont occur too often but when they do, you must see shower after shower, with not many breaks between?

 

Btw Ian, lovely photos again. 

 

Tom.

Edited April 14, 2014 by Kentish CZ

[Tom Quintavalle]

Just for you Ian, only about 6 or 7 miles from Bromley town centre but on marginal snow days, may as well be 600/700 miles away, Biggin Hill of course. Went on a snow chase there, in the mid 90s, when all we had in Bromley was a bit of sleet and cold rain but up at Biggin Hill they had over 4 inches of snow.

Nothing marginal about the snow in this video though, from the 2nd Dec.2010. Look out for the drifts against the perimeter fence of Biggin Hill airport at about 3 mins 20 secs, I know there's been some ploughing but you can see the drifts behind the ploughed snow, amazing.

 

 

Tom.

[Captain Shortwave]

Afternoon, really nice day here, pleasant with lots of sunshine.

With the Easter weekend coming up, we have slight variances in the models. The UKMO looks pretty good though eastern coasts could be prone to cloud. GFS on the other hand sends low pressure on a magical mystery tour which brings rain for every single day of the Easter weekend. Lets hope it's got it wrong.

 

GFS

[john pike]

hi all

 

hope your well

 

heres my prediction for the 21st

 

 

 

sticking to the fax charts now re easter

 

too much variation at present

[john pike]

hi again

 

tonight

 

dry and chilly with a chance of some localised frost

 

also watch for mist and possible fog patches too

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow

 

a very weak flow

 

east-north east

 

more cloud likely today and especially east of our region

 

rain = none

 

temps

 

 

a shade down today

 

10-11 east coastal

 

11-13 elsewhere  locally maybe a 14 if you see a lot of the sun

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow night

 

a weak south east flow

 

rain = none

 

temps

 

 

cold and frost risk increases

 

also mist a fog higher towards the east which will reduce the frost risk

 

------------------------------------------------------------------

 

wednesday

 

 

a weak south east flow

 

rain = none

 

temps

 

 

12-13 degrees coastal regions

 

14-15 elsewhere

 

again locally may be a shade higher if you see prolonged sunny spells

 

---------------------------------------------------------------

 

wednesday night

 

 

a weak south-south east flow

 

rain = none

 

temps

 

 

more cloud likely tonight so frost unlikely

 

-----------------------------------------------------------

 

thursday

 

 

a north west cooler flow and will be a shade breezy

 

better though as cloud less likely

 

rainfall

 

should stay dry most of the day but showers will be enroute for later in the day

 

temps

 

around 11-14 degrees and will feel a shade chilly in the wind

 

but pleasant in the sun

 

overall still not too bad

 

back later with the rest

 

john

[Jason T]

Hi all long time no posting. We'll feels like it lol. Hope everyone ok, weather has been quite remarkable lately, can't grumble although the good old bank holiday rain looks on the cards . Still going good JP . Work and doing house up taking my time up at the moment. Lots to do still. Will try harder to get on more before next winter arrives. Speak soon .

Jason

[Summer of 76]

Well the latest updated temperature for here courtesy of the BBC web site show a maximum temperature of 12c for Good Friday so no heatwave at present