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Roger J Smith

March 2014 CET forecasts

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As February is a shorter month, I am starting this thread a couple of days earlier than usual ...

 

March CET averages and trivia

14.7 ... Warmest March daily mean (27th, 1777)

9.2 ... Warmest March (1957)
9.1 ... 2nd warmest March (1938)
8.4 ... 3rd warmest March (1997)
8.3 ... 4th warmest March (1948,1990, 2012)
8.2 ... 7th warmest March and warmest before 20th century (1750, tied with 1961)

6.6 ... mean of 1981-2010

6.4 ... mean of 21st century (2001-2013)
6.3 ... mean of 1971-2000

5.8 ... mean of 20th century (1901-2000)
5.7 ... mean of 1961-1990
5.3 ... mean of all 355 years (1659-2013)
5.2 ... mean of 19th century (1801-1900)
5.0 ... mean of 18th century (1701-1800)

4.6 ... mean of (CET portion of) 17th century (1659-1700)

2.8 ... Coldest March of 20th century (1962)

2.7 ... Coldest March since 1892 (last year, 2013) ... tied with 1892 and 1784 joint 12th coldest March

1.8 ... 3rd coldest March (1748)
1.2 ... 2nd coldest March (1785)
1.0 ... Coldest March (1674)

 

1.0 ... Mean of last ten days of March 2013 (22nd-31st)

 

0.6 ... Mean of the five days 22nd-26th March 2013

-3.9 ... Coldest March daily mean in last 50 yrs (3rd, 1965)
-6.5 ... Coldest March daily mean (13th, 1845)

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I expect a cold one again this year, will place my guess next week.

Edited by Polar Maritime

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5.5 please.

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I will go with 7.1C, westerly themed but becoming drier and brighter as the month progresses, of course the exact set up could change the CET dramatically.

One thing I will say is that I think March will be snowless regardless, just a hunch.

Edited by Captain shortwave

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Coldest month of winter for the second year running, yet 2+ degrees warmer than last year.

 

5.0

Is March not a spring month?

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5.7 C ... cold zonal with minor blocking episodes, one or two mild spells ... more like NOV than the winter but not a total change of regime either.

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Will go for 6.7*C please.

Probably a cold start, but reckon it could warm up a fair amount later (but maybe perhaps going colder again right at the end of the month).

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Keeping the mild theme going I'm going for 7.5C

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At this stage.. 7.6C, 1C above average.

 

A much more NW/SE split this month and as such drier but still largely a westerly month. 

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I'm fed up with calling too low. This is going to end up being one of mildest Marchs on record as I can only see a continuation of the mild wet winter for the first half of March followed by a warm southerly for the second half (here's hoping!). I see nothing cold.

8.0 C

Edited by BlueSkies_do_I_see

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I think the mild run of weather will continue, at least until the Summer, when no doubt we will get below average months.

 

7.8C please

Edited by SteveB

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