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Ok, Good night all. Got to be up well early 4.30am. Speak tomorrow.

 

 

Take Care.Posted Image

cheese and rice!

 

 

I thought my early starts were bad (good luck with that)

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cheese and rice!

 

 

I thought my early starts were bad (good luck with that)

 

Its a 1 off jax. Normally get up at 5.30.......speak later.Posted Image

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Interesting programme on TV about sink holes in Florida tonight, where whole houses have disappeared into the ground, and seeing that car swallowed by a sink hole in High Wycombe, Bucks in the news. With all this rain it makes you wonder how many more holes will appear in areas with chalk or limestone in this country too, though the High Wycombe property was built over old chalk mines, which doesn't help. Landslips much more of a problem with the continuous rain, railways seem particularly prone recently in the southeast.

Yes I watched it ( and posted elsewhere about it too ) good program.

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Just catching up with it now - glad I'm on sticky north bucks clay and not limestone or chalk !

may give way at any time thought...

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heres tuesday night

 

Posted Image

 

winds veering south-south westerly

 

40-50 mph

 

not a great direction for any areas southern coastal regions and east coastal regions re swells

 

rainfall

 

Posted Image

 

heavy rain moving just after midnight

 

it looks to clear within 3-4 hours

 

then another heavier burst following effecting more southern areas but clearing around rush hour

 

so a watch needed and not just the rain

 

temps cold first then warmer when rain arrives

 

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

wednesday

 

Posted Image

winds switch to more south westerly

 

strong gusts around 50mph maybe a 60 mph on coastal regions

 

rainfall

 

Posted Image

 

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after morning rain clears

 

more rain enroute for late in the day

 

we should see a mainly dry (daylight hours) afternoon

 

temps

 

Posted Image

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around 8 degrees

 

but will feel chilly when the rain clears

 

back soon with the rest

 

got my dinner Posted Image

I like this I have such an important day on weds I really need it dry between 1-5pm fingers crossed

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updated fax charts

 

friday

 

Posted Image

 

first lets do thursday night-friday morning

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

 

so

 

the low incoming keeps the colder air behind it

 

at present that has very heavy rain in that

 

i can see thunderstorms and hail poss as well

 

also some potential strong winds as the low heads away north eastwards

 

friday night looks dry but chilly and still breezy

 

saturday

 

Posted Image

 

saturday morning sees some heavy rain but easing-not as heavy by lunchtime

 

however look whats coming

 

that has problems written all over it with some very tight isobars there

 

Posted Image

 

 

remember these amend every night

 

the thurs nights low could still amend tomorrow

Edited by john pike
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I like this I have such an important day on weds I really need it dry between 1-5pm fingers crossed

hi croydon

 

hope your well

 

i reckon you may have to check tomorrow afternoon for more confidence

 

the low has shifted tonight so even now i am not 100% on the charts yet

 

fingers crossed tonights ones are correct though for you

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updated fax charts

 

friday

 

Posted Image

 

first lets do thursday night-friday morning

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

 

so

 

the low incoming keeps the colder air behind it

 

at present that has very heavy rain in that

 

i can see thunderstorms and hail poss as well

 

also some potential strong winds as the low heads away north eastwards

 

friday night looks dry but chilly and still breezy

 

saturday

 

Posted Image

 

saturday morning sees some heavy rain but easing-not as heavy by lunchtime

 

however look whats coming

 

that has problems written all over it with some very tight isobars there

 

Posted Image

 

 

remember these amend every night

 

the thurs nights low could still amend tomorrow

 

Hopefully that low will become a nice still night with no rain either. At least at Heathrow whilst my plane is taking off at 9pm!

I hate taking off , it's the worse part of flying.

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hi tadpole

 

this is one weather set up i hate

 

because if the charts amend the low either south or north it will completely change

 

what is predicted

 

i think model chaos is the best wording at present

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Hopefully that low will become a nice still night with no rain either. At least at Heathrow whilst my plane is taking off at 9pm!I hate taking off , it's the worse part of flying.

Watching this closely! I fly out from gatwick at 6.30am Friday morning, and I hate flying full stop!!
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I'm beginning to wonder if the front will even hit this corner, it looks like the tail end will either just skirt the eastern tip, or even miss to the north slightly. However the blob behind it might do something.

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Hopefully that low will become a nice still night with no rain either. At least at Heathrow whilst my plane is taking off at 9pm!

I hate taking off , it's the worse part of flying.

 

Technically landing is the most dangerous part of the flight.....during take off the plane flies at almost full power whereas during the final approach it flies with a very small amount of power thus the plane is more vulnerable to external forces such as storms or winds etc. 

 

Statistically most crashes occur during the first 3 and last 8 minutes of the flight, most of them during landing which is basically a controlled crash so actually it's the landing you should be worried about....hope this helps Posted Image

 

 

night my friends, hope to chat tomorrow Posted Image

 

Well hopefully we won't have all got sucked down a sink hole during the night, sweet dreams y'all  Posted Image x

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Important warning for the South West this week Pulled from twitter. You would think wind and rain would be enough.

 

Be #floodaware near the coast and be careful #Cornwall facing biggest waves in the world this week

 

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Posted Image

 

 

Have to say I am concerned exactly how badly this will impact on SE coastal areas given that "the largest waves ever to hit Cornwall" are forecast for wednesday. The Watering Hole in Perranporth are now stripping out the bar before the sea does it for them

 

https://twitter.com/W_hole_Cornwall/status/430408131286278145/photo/1/large?utm_source=fb&utm_medium=fb&utm_campaign=W_hole_Cornwall&utm_content=430408131286278145

 

I assume the Environment Agency will issue coastal warnings some time tomorrow.

 

 

 

Ladies and gentleman - I think some very positive vibes are required for our south Western friends and neighbours....in particular Cornwall and the Watering Hole at Perranporth

xxxx

 

 

 

Edit: Here is their facebook page for the full story - some dramatic piccies!

https://www.facebook.com/thewateringholeperranporth?ref=br_tf

 

xxx

Edited by PiggiePalace
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Interesting programme on TV about sink holes in Florida tonight, where whole houses have disappeared into the ground, and seeing that car swallowed by a sink hole in High Wycombe, Bucks in the news. With all this rain it makes you wonder how many more holes will appear in areas with chalk or limestone in this country too, though the High Wycombe property was built over old chalk mines, which doesn't help. Landslips much more of a problem with the continuous rain, railways seem particularly prone recently in the southeast.

 

I read the news today oh, boyFour thousand holes in Blackburn, LancashireAnd though the holes were rather smallThey had to count them allNow they know how many holes it takes to fill the albert hallI'd love to turn you on....

 

I used to live near High Wycombe and it was where the 18/19th Century aristos the Dashwoods had their Hell Fire Club - you go down to this grotto and into a maze of caves and caverns which is where it used to meet. Perhaps that house was built on one of them.

 

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0aOJGJD-SQc

 

 

There every thing's better now isn't it? Good old Beatles.

Edited by Iceni
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Todays low is down to 948 by the looks of things slight increase in strength from last night..

 

Very nasty storm..

 

Posted Image

 

Thursdays low... well.. Still there

 

Posted Image

 

Saturdays low... phew.. potent.. nasty.. errrr Posted Image

 

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Rain..

 

Around 10-midnight inbound (Today/tomorrow)

 

Posted Image

 

Then a second round..

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Wind:

 

2 rounds of winds.. by the looks of things gusting pretty high at night perhaps going by these.. 50-60mph inland higher on the coast maybe 65-70mph perhaps even a 80mph can't be ruled out in exposed spots

 

Posted Image

 

 

Then mid day tomorrow same thing as above perhaps a little more potent..

 

Posted Image

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Oh and just to add we are not out the woods yet oh no... How about next Monday?

 

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Or the day after that?

 

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Or very FI check out a "Day after tomorrow" size low..

 

 

Posted Image

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Morning all, I don't we restart yesterday discussion, but I would like to be off topic for 1 last time, and just try to explain why I have decided to withdraw my off subject posts.I have a problem in continuing to post, as I agree with the moderators, this is a weather forum, which was specifically set up for weather enthusiasts. My problem is that I love the weather but have no technical ability, therefore if I want to get involve in the community I can only do so by going off topic. Yes, I know, I could go to the learning section and read up, but I am to old, to tired and frankly to engross in my work and running is as dome will know a 24 hour process, hence the reason why I post early in the morning, before the dreaded email and phone calls start. So therefore in my opinion its better for me not to post other than weather related items.People will say why not use the chat room, and to be fair I should, but I have been on here for a good number of years, and I am properly set in my ways, and any way the few times I have been in there I been lonely as its only me :-). With the SE thread I feel rightly or wrongly that I am known and was understood by the majority. However if as the moderators feel they want the SE thread to remain on topic, then I agree with them, unfortunately you cannot have me sprouting my dribble, whilst other people are getting into trouble for their off topic comments, that ain't fair, therefore as I said, I will no longer go off topic.I hope this explain my comments last night and I didn't want people to think that I had thrown my toys out of the pram, because if I had people would still be ducking now.Have a nice dayOh and its sunny and cloud free in dirty Dartford.RegardsKerry

 

Fair play son, it does not take much though to learn the very basic charts, you should actually invest some time into reading up on them. Even if you spent 30 mins a day when travelling into work to read weather books ETC to gain more knowledge. that's still 1 1/2 hours a week of learning... Pretty much majority on here are self taught some lucky peeps got to go to uni ETC and study it.. Wish I had the chance too...

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