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Atlantic Storms February 2014


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Posted
  • Location: Cuxton,Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms,Hot `n` sunny!
  • Location: Cuxton,Kent.

    Just popped this on the S.E thread ,but i guess better suited for here,found it on Reddit...taken in Limerick!

    post-17057-0-37084300-1391295323_thumb.j

    Edited by anything-but
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    Posted
  • Location: Orleton, 6 miles south of Ludlow
  • Location: Orleton, 6 miles south of Ludlow

    Just popped this on the S.E thread ,but i guess better suited for here,found it on Reddit...taken in Limerick!

    OMG that's terrible. At least the door is holding back most of the water.
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    Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch

    one  big beast

    post-4629-0-51432500-1391326184_thumb.pn

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    Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria

    Still a significant storm on the 00z with heavy rain & severe gale to storm force south to south easterly winds sweeping in from the SW Tuesday night into Wednesday affecting mnay western and southern areas,  gusts towards 80mph potentially.

     

    post-9615-0-11026000-1391326765_thumb.gipost-9615-0-99973000-1391326865_thumb.pn

    Edited by Liam J
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    Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria

    At this stage the strongest winds are predicted the further west you are, 70-80mph for SW England, Wales and up the western side of the UK. 40-50mph inland and 50mph + gusts possible on the coast in the SE, very windy but nothing destructive. 

     

    post-9615-0-01774900-1391330681_thumb.pn

    Edited by Liam J
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    Posted
  • Location: Torrington, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: storms - of the severe kind
  • Location: Torrington, Devon

    I went out this morning, to capture the high tide at Westwood Ho!

    I had to wait until it got daylight for the best footage

    I'm putting a playlist together, the rest of the videos to follow during the day

    The potential storm for next week is a worry, since it seems it will cross the Uk, rather than meander up to the north-west

    This video shows damage along the sea-front, and me having an eventful walk at high tide

     

     

    playlist

    http://www.youtube.com/playlist?feature=edit_ok&list=PLrq8Q990qmY4w8tJLUu6Wkrt6fvyQEQ6N

    Edited by stevofunnelcl
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    Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

     

    I tried not to laugh... All due respect for the work they do.

    Edited by Polar Maritime
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    Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)

    Copied over from MOD:

     

    At least the deep secondary low that the models threatened southern Britain with later in the week has now been shunted south across France, for now, though needs to be closely watched. UKMO had it much further south than GFS and EC yesterday, incidentally.

     

    Wednesday's deep low shown to be past its deepest phase too as it continues to fill while tracking NE across Ireland and Scotland, but GFS still shows a swathe of 60-70mph(+) gusts across many areas Tuesday night with frontal system moving through ahead of the low, strong winds across the southern flank of low as it arrives after - but winds not as bad as shown on earlier runs. The rain and frequent showers this system brings more of an issue inland, though big Atlantic swell this storm generates could bring more coastal flooding in the west.

     

    Another potential deep low threatening NW Britain for next weekend on the big three models. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)

    I went out this morning, to capture the high tide at Westwood Ho!

    I had to wait until it got daylight for the best footage

    I'm putting a playlist together, the rest of the videos to follow during the day

    The potential storm for next week is a worry, since it seems it will cross the Uk, rather than meander up to the north-west

    This video shows damage along the sea-front, and me having an eventful walk at high tide

     

     

    playlist

    http://www.youtube.com/playlist?feature=edit_ok&list=PLrq8Q990qmY4w8tJLUu6Wkrt6fvyQEQ6N

     

    Going to be an expensive bill for the local authorities or whoever's in charge of cleaning up and mending our seafronts over the coming months before summer arrives. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Pretty good forecast yesterday morning for our region although the winds were about 3 hours late. Max gust predicted 52 mph and we got 50mph.

    Wednesdays low won't effect us wrong direction for the wind so looking a fairly quiet week until next Saturday possibly. GFS 06 oz not out yet to include that.

    Edited by The PIT
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    Often the case that figures of authority are as often as dumb as the rest of the public in these situations , in reality the guys in the car should of stopped and asked if he was ok in what was a potentially life threatening situation , although it was quite funny !!!....

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    Posted
  • Location: Swindon/Reading
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Swindon/Reading

    GFS showing a barrage of storms coming in over the next week, but a little more progressive in regards to Wednesdays potential storm than the others.

     

    Posted Image

     

    ECM in good agreement with the GFS on the position of the low, and has it slightly more intense, and possibly a little further south.

     

    Posted Image

     

    UKMO almso on board.

     

    Posted Image

     

    Don't see charts like this very often!

     

    Posted Image

    Edited by Sainsbo
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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    Although there's plenty of rain to come, not least in areas already affected by flooding, the GFS 06Z has halved rainfall totals in the south (from now until next weekend) compared to previous runs. I realise it's not to be taken at face value but it doesn't look as bad as it could have been.

    post-15177-0-51777000-1391341850_thumb.g

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    Posted
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire

     

    I tried not to laugh... All due respect for the work they do.

    They could have at least stopped to see if he was okay...away from the immediate shoreline of course. 

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    Although there's plenty of rain to come, not least in areas already affected by flooding, the GFS 06Z has halved rainfall totals in the south (from now until next weekend) compared to previous runs. I realise it's not to be taken at face value but it doesn't look as bad as it could have been.

    Posted ImageRmgfs15014.gif

     

    That low around Thursday could still be a problem, a lot of the GEFS ensembles deepen it and the GEM still looks nasty, going to be a tricky one to nail down. Also a lot more rain on high ground those low res charts show.

    GEM Posted Image   Posted Image

     

    Yikes for the flooded SW if that happened.

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    That low around Thursday could still be a problem, a lot of the GEFS ensembles deepen it and the GEM still looks nasty, going to be a tricky one to nail down. Also a lot more rain on high ground those low res charts show.

    GEM Posted ImagePosted Image

    Yikes for the flooded SW if that happened.

    I'm inclined to ditch the GEM on that run, although there's still discrepancies, the GFS looks more favorable at this stage, perhaps the south east to receive the worst of it? The GFS has the low less defined and more flabby, so we'll have to see how it develops on the GEM on the next run.

    post-15177-0-47177400-1391347532_thumb.ppost-15177-0-96760900-1391347540_thumb.ppost-15177-0-63588100-1391347548_thumb.p

    The NMM is similar..

    post-15177-0-24094200-1391347557_thumb.ppost-15177-0-46006800-1391347565_thumb.ppost-15177-0-21090000-1391347574_thumb.p

    Lots of room for change though, the low to the north of the UK on the GFS is a quite player on the outcome, it's further West on the GEM.

    Edited by Mapantz
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    Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

    Although there's plenty of rain to come, not least in areas already affected by flooding, the GFS 06Z has halved rainfall totals in the south (from now until next weekend) compared to previous runs. I realise it's not to be taken at face value but it doesn't look as bad as it could have been.

    Posted ImageRmgfs15014.gif

     

    best to ignore those precipitation charts as their useless .The met office dont even use them Fergie mentioned at all so your post is very misleading.

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    I'm inclined to ditch the GEM on that run, although there's still discrepancies, the GFS looks more favorable at this stage, perhaps the south east to receive the worst of it?

    The NMM is similar..

    Lots of room for change though!

     

    GEFS precip mean is further North than the op

     

    Posted Image

     

    Plenty of peturbations like

     

      Posted ImagePosted Image

     

    So wouldn't be surprised to see more changes. Worst case scenario is stalling very heavy persistent rain across the south/SW, fairly low risk at the moment but high impact so worth keeping an eye on.

    Edited by Bobby
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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    best to ignore those precipitation charts as their useless .The met office dont even use them Fergie mentioned at all so your post is very misleading.

    It's not misleading at all! I haven't said to take them at gospel, in fact, if you read further up the thread, I mentioned not to take a ppn chart at face value.I was merely pointing out a few difference between the models.
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    Posted
  • Location: Brongest,Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Stormy autumn, hot and sunny summer and thunderstorms all year round.
  • Location: Brongest,Wales

    It could change back again but its looking like the storm we had around christmas will remain the worst out of the rest we have had this Winter.

     

    I know this may sound selfish but I was hoping that the one for Wednesday wouldn't allready be shown to weaken, fill at the wrong time or be shunted away from us on future runs last night but it looks like thats whats happening.

     

    For this area, Octobers big storm and the rest of December was far more stormy, frequent days of gusts reaching 40-45mph on our house wheras recently at most its only reached 30-35mph.

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    Posted
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire

    It could change back again but its looking like the storm we had around christmas will remain the worst out of the rest we have had this Winter.

     

    I know this may sound selfish but I was hoping that the one for Wednesday wouldn't allready be shown to weaken, fill at the wrong time or be shunted away from us on future runs last night but it looks like thats whats happening.

     

    For this area, Octobers big storm and the rest of December was far more stormy, frequent days of gusts reaching 40-45mph on our house wheras recently at most its only reached 30-35mph.

    This is exceptional for February though, it's rare to see storms this powerful in a month that's statistically the most quiet. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Brongest,Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Stormy autumn, hot and sunny summer and thunderstorms all year round.
  • Location: Brongest,Wales

    This is exceptional for February though, it's rare to see storms this powerful in a month that's statistically the most quiet. 

    I know that but in terms of the strength of these winds so far its been no different then the highest we get every other year.

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    Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria

    GME 12z nearly finished and showing quite a potent depression Tuesday into Wednesday. The isobars even closer together, a trend for the other 12z runs perhaps?

     

    This would bring storm force winds right up the western side of Britain. VERY windy!

    post-9615-0-36387900-1391354240_thumb.pnpost-9615-0-42254700-1391354259_thumb.pnpost-9615-0-06782500-1391354284_thumb.pn

    Edited by Liam J
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    Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

    They could have at least stopped to see if he was okay...away from the immediate shoreline of course. 

     

    After some swift research I found it was a Female Police Officer and she is fine, and as she continued signalling once afoot the lads deemed it as no need, and probably best to move on from that area of danger.

     

    But i agree i would of stopped out of concern.

    Edited by Polar Maritime
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