Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

Model output discussion 25th Jan onwards


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire

    This looks like ending up in some sort of 'grand finale'.

     

    Yes, I was just thinking that very same thing myself. That storm modelled on Valentines day looks potentially dangerous.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    • Replies 2.4k
    • Created
    • Last Reply

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Posted
  • Location: Charlton Adam, near Somerton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow, freezing rain, hail, thunderstorms!
  • Location: Charlton Adam, near Somerton, Somerset

    In response to Shaky's question:

    It's the Met Office's UKV (1.5km) local area high resolution model.

    Edited by Charlton Adam snow
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Bridlington East yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Love snow
  • Location: Bridlington East yorkshire

    Is that me or is there a northerly following behind that low???

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme cold & snow
  • Location: West Sussex

    Holy mackerel - goodbye Southern England!

     

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire

    The pub run has fallen off the wagon

     

    Posted Image

    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Carmarthenshire
  • Location: Carmarthenshire

    The colour denotes ppn rates while the hatched colours denote snow. They are not very good predictors of actual conditions though, you are better off with using hi res models designed specifically for the task such as Euro4 when the event comes within 48 hours.

     

    I often find this useful:

     

    http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=nae&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=6&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Ellon 70m
  • Weather Preferences: SNAW
  • Location: Ellon 70m

    The BBC weather has even given up by the looks of tonights forecast.....no graphics but defo a mention of the word wintery a couple of times.

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: leicester
  • Location: leicester

    Holy mackerel - goodbye Southern England!

     

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

    that low only needs to be 200 or 300 miles south and we looking at at pretty wintry conditions!!the slacker the low pressure the further south it will be I think!!
    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester

    The pub run has fallen off the wagon

     

    Posted Image

     

    Yes the Atlantic ridge is still a possibility, we can but hope.

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester
    Posted
  • Location: West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme cold & snow
  • Location: West Sussex

    The pub run has fallen off the wagon

     

    Posted Image

    Maybe you're 6 weeks late with your Arctic predictions CC?

     

    Posted Image

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire

    Yes the Atlantic ridge is still a possibility, we can but hope.

     

    Welcome to winter 2013/14??? Please?!

     

    Posted Image

    • Like 7
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme cold & snow
  • Location: West Sussex

    Yep, it was too good to be true - here comes the next round of the gales & p*ssfest

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

    Edited by Purga
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Mile Oak, 3 miles West of Brighton UK, 130 Meters above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Anything Extreme
  • Location: Mile Oak, 3 miles West of Brighton UK, 130 Meters above sea level

    Then the JMA throws this in at + 66 HOURS !!!!! 

     

     

    Posted Image

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Heavy Snow, Windstorms, Thunderstorms & Hailstorms, Summer Heatwaves
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk

    Holy mackerel - goodbye Southern England!

     

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

     

    Oh my lord lol. Good job its the GFS hahaha

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Currently Southminster, Essex (but original home town Northampton)
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow/Blizzards in Winter, Cool Summers. (I'm allergic to heat)!
  • Location: Currently Southminster, Essex (but original home town Northampton)

    Erm, i'll have a pint of whatever the control run has been drinking tonight.

     

     

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?code=0&ech=192&mode=0&carte=1

     

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?code=0&ech=384&mode=1&carte=1

     

    A slight outlier  Posted Image

    post-18296-0-02418200-1391903894_thumb.p

    post-18296-0-91180800-1391903906_thumb.p

    post-18296-0-99033300-1391905043_thumb.p

    Edited by SE Blizzards
    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester

     

    Yeah, shame it is crazy cold outlier but ya never know!

    That JMA 18z run would bring some very interesting conditions across Western central and Northern England - Tuesday still looks like a very interesting day weather-wise one way or another but tiny adjustments between now and then mean big changes in the weather we experience locally so it's just a case of keep watching for now.

     

    Posted ImagePosted ImagePosted Image

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: cheltenham.
  • Weather Preferences: if its warm i want sun..if its cold i want snow.
  • Location: cheltenham.

    oh great..

     

    so its 90% likely that the weather we have had since before Christmas will be blasting us with unwelcome atlantic lows via ultra fast jetstreams for at least the next 2 weeks ?..

     

    ...as the man said on The Fast Shows 'Jazz Club'.......N I C E. Posted Image Posted Image 

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam

    Look at this FAX chart

    http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax24s.gif?08-18

    And ask yourself, where is there any high pressure?

    The highest isobar showing I can work out is 1028mb way down towards the Azores and that is it in that whole area which covers many hundreds of square miles.

    Edited by Weather-history
    • Like 7
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
    • Settled, dry spell continues as daytime temperatures edge up a degree or so

      The risk of frost continues and it is chilly out of the sunshine but the fine, dry spell continues this week as the temperatures creep up, closer to average rather than below as they have been. Read the full update here

      Netweather forecasts
      Netweather forecasts
      Latest weather updates from Netweather

      2021 Arctic Sea Ice Melt Season Outlook

      Samual Hayes explores the trends and the main influencing factors as the Arctic Sea Ice Melt season for 2021 gets underway. Read the full article

      BornFromTheVoid
      BornFromTheVoid
      Latest weather updates from Netweather

      Cold waves hitting Europe continue to threaten growers, is there a link to climate change?

      Much of Europe, not just the UK, has experienced unseasonably cold weather since the Easter Weekend. A plunge of cold arctic air brought by northerly winds early last week brought several nights of frost and even snow across large swathes of Europe, followed by another wave of cold arctic air spreads across much of Europe this week. The frosts causing damage to new growth in vineyards and orchardsa0spurred on by a late March heatwave, the vineyards of France werea0particularly badly affected.

      Nick F
      Nick F
      Latest weather updates from Netweather 4
    • Recently Browsing   0 members

      No registered users viewing this page.

    ×
    ×
    • Create New...