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Scotland Regional Weather Discussion 07/01/14


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Posted
  • Location: NH7256
  • Weather Preferences: where's my vote?
  • Location: NH7256

    Fair enough, it is marginally better in the reliable for some parts but I guess I look for deeper cold because I live in a beach hut... And work not far from the north coast of Sutherland at an altitude of about 40m these days, unlike a few years back. <sighs>

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    Posted
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: dry sunny average summers and really cold snowy winters
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level

    NASA HIGH RES 0z has us here at 120hr which is as far as it goes out to

     

    post-18233-0-55439600-1390488391_thumb.ppost-18233-0-23790000-1390488392_thumb.ppost-18233-0-09308300-1390488392_thumb.ppost-18233-0-91672200-1390488390_thumb.p

    Edited by Buriedundersnow
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    Posted
  • Location: Coatbridge, North Lanarkshire (this lockdown) Freuchie, Fife (normally)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Coatbridge, North Lanarkshire (this lockdown) Freuchie, Fife (normally)

    Fair enough, it is marginally better in the reliable for some parts but I guess I look for deeper cold because I live in a beach hut... And work not far from the north coast of Sutherland at an altitude of about 40m these days, unlike a few years back. <sighs>

    It's pretty rough I guess, folks like yourself and Hawesy in Crail need some proper deep cold (or one of the few wind direction which avoids any coastal modification) to get decent snow. If we can get that slight southward correction -8C could easily turn into -12C, and those charts look quite similar to that February 2001 easterly which was particularly snowy for some parts of the northeast (not sure on the specifics other than I think we were too far south/close to the coast in that instance), but it's liable to end up correcting, ideally a bit further southwest, in the next 5 days.
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    Posted
  • Location: Isle of Skye, 14m/49ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, wild! wild! wild! Frost, a wee bit o' sun....
  • Location: Isle of Skye, 14m/49ft above sea level

    Well, we've had everything here today, hail, rain, sleet, sun....all we need is some snow to complete the four types of weather in one day. Maybe next week then?

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    Posted
  • Location: Bearsden, East Dunbartonshire
  • Location: Bearsden, East Dunbartonshire

    Some wet snow over an hour ago - other than that it has been a fine and chilly day with wintry sunshine and blue skies.

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    Posted
  • Location: Peebles, Scottish Borders, 168m asl
  • Location: Peebles, Scottish Borders, 168m asl

    We had a microscopic 2 second flurry around lunchtime. The wind is freezing though and the temp is already down to 1c here. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Home: Pittenweem, Fife Work: St Andrews, Fife
  • Location: Home: Pittenweem, Fife Work: St Andrews, Fife

    Evening all,

     

    It's turned colder, +0.8c here in Crail at the moment under clear skies. I'm aware that some locales (Prestwick for one) are still to record an air frost this meteorological winter!

     

    Looking at the models, if I lived on higher ground (i.e. above 150m-200m) I'd be reasonably confident of seeing at least one decent snowfall in the next 5-7 days. For those of us in the lowlands temporary slight and/or slushy deposits may be as good as it gets (personally I'd rather do without if that proves to be the case - i prefer 'proper snow' or none at all - not that it will be an issue here anyway!)

     

    It's all pretty finely balanced as LS, BUS and others point out (thanks as always for the summaries guys)...as is often the case in a Scottish winter I expect 'marginal' will be mentioned a lot in the coming week!

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    Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.

    Snowed here a few times today but the latest Shower about half an hour ago was the heaviest and gave a slight covering on the cars. Melted though

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    Posted
  • Location: LEVEN, Fife
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms and extremes
  • Location: LEVEN, Fife

    It's pretty rough I guess, folks like yourself and Hawesy in Crail need some proper deep cold (or one of the few wind direction which avoids any coastal modification) to get decent snow. If we can get that slight southward correction -8C could easily turn into -12C, and those charts look quite similar to that February 2001 easterly which was particularly snowy for some parts of the northeast (not sure on the specifics other than I think we were too far south/close to the coast in that instance), but it's liable to end up correcting, ideally a bit further southwest, in the next 5 days.

    Ls, where were you living in Feb 2001?

    I was working in London at the time and missed that event. It started as rain on Saturday and turned to settling snow Saturday evening and it continued to snow for the next day or so then turned back to sleet. However, my folks tell me the snow was fairly deep in Baintown. Levenmouth and the coastal strip was snowless, as usual. When I returned home for a few days about 1 week later, there was still snowdrifts lying around the edges of the fiields. On the higher ground at 200masl, just to the north, there was still a full, deep cover with huge snowdrifts.

    Edited by snow1975
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    Posted
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: dry sunny average summers and really cold snowy winters
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level

    sometimes you just have to laugh

     

    Nick Parnell â€@headcornweather 58m

    Current UK radar. More heavy showers with hail moving SE over the next few hours. Image WeatherPro. pic.twitter.com/5j7aNlYUch

     

    sent a reply to him asking if Scotland and northern Ireland aren't part of the UK anymore

     
     

     

    post-18233-0-90451900-1390507500_thumb.p

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    Posted
  • Location: NH7256
  • Weather Preferences: where's my vote?
  • Location: NH7256

     

    sometimes you just have to laugh

     

    Nick Parnell â€@headcornweather 58m

    Current UK radar. More heavy showers with hail moving SE over the next few hours. Image WeatherPro. pic.twitter.com/5j7aNlYUch

     

    sent a reply to him asking if Scotland and northern Ireland aren't part of the UK anymore

     
     

     

    Nor Cornwall, which ironically is where Ms HC Posted Image  is just now. She wouldn't mind... especially if it could be towed up here! Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Calgary, Canada (1230m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Wind driven falling snow
  • Location: Calgary, Canada (1230m asl)

    I saw snow today, at Harthill and Kilmacolm. It was only passing showers and certainly wasn't going to settle, but it was proper floating & twisting in the air snow.

     

    The 12z UKMO looks tasty at +144hrs, more so for the east than the west but it's a lot better than mild SWlies for everyone who likes cold and snow:

     

    post-2844-0-83584700-1390509537_thumb.gipost-2844-0-07279100-1390509554_thumb.gi

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    Posted
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: dry sunny average summers and really cold snowy winters
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level

    a little encouragement even though the models are going a bit mad the ECM means

     

    sea level pressure

     

    post-18233-0-17226000-1390510572_thumb.gpost-18233-0-67582700-1390510572_thumb.gpost-18233-0-17356900-1390510570_thumb.gpost-18233-0-01559500-1390510583_thumb.gpost-18233-0-14327200-1390510571_thumb.g

     

    850's

     

    post-18233-0-27593800-1390510743_thumb.gpost-18233-0-74597200-1390510569_thumb.gpost-18233-0-21819500-1390510570_thumb.gpost-18233-0-69463100-1390510570_thumb.gpost-18233-0-65061100-1390510571_thumb.g

     

    edited got them all in now

    Edited by Buriedundersnow
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    Posted
  • Location: NH7256
  • Weather Preferences: where's my vote?
  • Location: NH7256

    Just on 0C now, been there or thereabouts since about 8 this evening. The car's covered in wonderful frosty ferns, the grass is crunchy and the sky is black. I see nebulae...

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    Posted
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: dry sunny average summers and really cold snowy winters
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level

    little something I have noticed maybe LS can help me with below is some models from todays 12z at 120hr

     

    post-18233-0-39467100-1390520900_thumb.gpost-18233-0-19124900-1390520921_thumb.ppost-18233-0-44579500-1390520909_thumb.ppost-18233-0-36060700-1390520940_thumb.ppost-18233-0-54690100-1390520928_thumb.gpost-18233-0-48133900-1390520949_thumb.g

     

    now the 120hr fax chart and the red arrow it looks like a second high pressure being there like the JMA was showing a few days ago with an arctic high

     

    post-18233-0-48818500-1390520913_thumb.g

     

    is this just the way they have drawn it or have they picked up on something not in the models

     

    EDIT: just ignore that just realised that meteociel have put an N next to the times but not updated the charts so that's yesterdays 12z

    Edited by Buriedundersnow
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    Posted
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: dry sunny average summers and really cold snowy winters
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level

    heres where the NASA HIGH RES 12z has us at 120hr

     

    post-18233-0-33996100-1390521331_thumb.ppost-18233-0-63360300-1390521319_thumb.ppost-18233-0-79184200-1390521332_thumb.ppost-18233-0-41913800-1390521333_thumb.p

    Edited by Buriedundersnow
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    Posted
  • Location: Currie, SW Edinburgh, 140m (459ft) asl
  • Location: Currie, SW Edinburgh, 140m (459ft) asl

    Morning from Berlin where it's currently -6c with a bit of light snow floating about. Max temp since I arrived has been about - 3c/-4c. Last night was absolutely baltic with a strong wind whipping up lying snow. This week has saved my sanity LOL 

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    Posted
  • Location: Maddiston , Falkirk, Scotland 390ft above sea level
  • Location: Maddiston , Falkirk, Scotland 390ft above sea level

    He haw here.The rainband faded and evaporated overnight it appears.Another damp squib in NAE Shaw land.

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    Posted
  • Location: Campsie
  • Location: Campsie

    It's been a long time coming but it looks as though winter may finally be on the way. There has been a good trend towards colder and snowy conditions over the last couple of days and if this firms up over the weekend we're in business.

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    Posted
  • Location: Perth (Huntingtowerfield, 3 miles West) asl 0m
  • Weather Preferences: A foggy and frosty morning with newly fallen pristine snow - Paradise!
  • Location: Perth (Huntingtowerfield, 3 miles West) asl 0m

    Minimum -1.7 but now 100% cloud cover at -0.5C/-1.2C(+0.3C/hr). Rain due in after dark according to 07.58 Radio 4 weather.

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    Posted
  • Location: Currie, SW Edinburgh, 140m (459ft) asl
  • Location: Currie, SW Edinburgh, 140m (459ft) asl

    Shame the forecasts change every five minutes but certainly looks promising later on :-)

     

    http://www.wunderground.com/weather-forecast/UK/Edinburgh_Airport.html

     

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