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Possible severe Atlantic storms over the Christmas period


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Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    Well I wasn't planning on going out to do any sea-fishing ! A 50-60 mph inland occasional gust is not something i will hyperventilate on - It could interfere with my golf though

    That's up to you but it's usually the ones who are blase about such situations who end up getting in to trouble. Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire

    Glad to see that @metoffice has made right decision & will soon be updating the wind warnings to make them clearer for S'ern areas Mon/Tue.

     

    Phantom beat me to it...

    Edited by PerfectStorm
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    Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria

    Much of N England/Wales could be affected if this trend in minor southward correction continues. Timing has been put back by a few hours as well.

    Edited by Liam J
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    Posted
  • Location: Dunoon, Argyll, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Sun and Snow
  • Location: Dunoon, Argyll, Scotland

    Interesting 12z, the low for Xmas Eve now has a double centre which could bring the strongest winds a bit further south.

     

    Posted Imagegfsx45.png

     

    Didn't expect this at all its pushed the low further West making the very worst of the winds at about 12am Tuesday but out in the Atlantic. The low then moves to the UK mainly Ireland and Northern England still bringing strong winds with it 65 to 75mph at least maybe higher in some exposed parts.

     

    But this is a large change to see from the GFS around 18 hours is where it gives the low a big push West compared to the 06z run this morning.

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    Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, very hot weather, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.

    Posted Image

     

     

    Posted Image

     

    We may see blizzard conditions on Christmas eve morning. Very interesting. Posted Image It may effect the getaway in Scotland, parts of both Southern and Northern Ireland  and the Transpennine routes. This is on 12z GFS.

    Edited by pip22
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    Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside

    Reading the warnings from Metoffice, I would presume that the worst of any rain and wind would not affect us in the NW England, a little concerning really....

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    Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria

    Severe gale to storm force winds over S Ireland and much of Western Britain.

     

    post-9615-0-57256900-1387727587_thumb.gi Means speeds in km/h - these charts don't show below 950mb.

     

    post-9615-0-32988000-1387727721_thumb.gi 100km/h means through the irish Sea. 

    Edited by Liam J
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    Posted
  • Location: Dunoon, Argyll, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Sun and Snow
  • Location: Dunoon, Argyll, Scotland

    wow, shallower or not this is severe stuff.

     

    Posted Image

     

    Yes although its not as deep as the previous runs the GFS gust charts show 60 to 75mph gusts for SE England during Monday evening into the early hours of Tuesday. Then 9am Tuesday 70 to 80mph gusts along the Western coasts of Ireland. As the strong winds move in land over 12pm to 6pm on Tuesday 65 to 75mph is shown for Ireland, Northern England and Southern Scotland. Later on Tuesday evening the secondary low gives Western Scotland about the same gusts.

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    Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria

    12z NAE also backing this new evolution.

     

    post-9615-0-55667700-1387727977_thumb.gi post-9615-0-94143600-1387728040_thumb.gi Serious stuff.

    Edited by Liam J
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    Posted
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire

    Secondary low for the 27th is 10mb deeper at 102h. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire

    Monster storm being born at 108h! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Currently Southminster, Essex (but original home town Northampton)
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow/Blizzards in Winter, Cool Summers. (I'm allergic to heat)!
  • Location: Currently Southminster, Essex (but original home town Northampton)

    Storm 2 incoming Posted Image Posted Image

    post-18296-0-67858000-1387728222_thumb.p

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    Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria

    Yikes!! Posted Image

     

    post-9615-0-73360200-1387728263_thumb.pn Depression already matured at this stage and starts to fill as it crosses the UK. 

    Edited by Liam J
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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    12z NAE also backing this new evolution.

     

    Posted Imagenae11.gif Posted Imagenae22.gif Serious stuff.

    I think this may have been part of the reason why the MO warnings have been under such scrutiny today, they were awaiting further 12Z data. :)
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    Posted
  • Location: Upminster, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe gales/storms, snow, thunder!
  • Location: Upminster, Essex

    Now it looks like a potential 2nd centre could develop this increases the likelihood of disruptive winds for Southern areas including SE.

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    Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, very hot weather, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.

    Storm 2 incoming Posted Image Posted Image

    Is that a greenland high over there? just wondering. 1020 High over greenland is quite a strong one I think.

    Edited by pip22
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    Posted
  • Location: West Barnes, London, 18m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and sunny; chilly and sunny; thunderstorms; extreme
  • Location: West Barnes, London, 18m ASL

    Structural damage commences around windspeed of 50 mph, you may expect buildings ancillaries to start flying.

    A specific warning is justified when forecast windspeed is well in excess of this figure in a built up area is it not ?

    But then some people on here mind if we have a gentle dig at the Met O when they remove a specific warning. Hmmm.

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    Posted
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire

    Severe winds for southern England, especially the SW for the 27th!

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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)

    Severe winds for southern England, especially the SW for the 27th!

    Got to get tomorrow and Tuesday morning out the way first, latest runs not looking good for us softies in the south :p
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    Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch

    Got to get tomorrow and Tuesday morning out the way first, latest runs not looking good for us softies in the south Posted Image

    there she is  surrey right  little  beast !!

    post-4629-0-31663300-1387728787_thumb.pn

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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)

    Yellow warning for wind now out in the south.. Not much detail though??

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    Posted
  • Location: Rhoose, South Wales
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Rhoose, South Wales

    Tell you what Pit, send me 3 grand in cash today by Western Union transfer and just for you I'll let my business go under....cheers! Posted Image

     

    I've read some daft posts in my time (hell I've written some of them myself!) but your's is right up there with the best of the worst! Posted Image

    Can we take this somewhere else please !

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