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South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 15/12/13 18z ------>

A.J

By A.J
in Regional

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fromey Experienced

fromey

Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
Posted

afternoon all.

feeling cool out in the breeze  temp 6.8c but dew point is rising up to 3c now, 

to tell u the truth im not holding out much hope for the rest of the winter at the moment, i think we all have been spoilt in the last few years esp with 2010.

and before you all start shouting at me its only december i know not to right off the next 2 months before it happens etc etc,as i said above i think are expectations are a little to high.

i hope things do change because i love cold and snow but as things stand im not hopeful,please dont shout at me, and i dont have any charts or data to back this up its just a feeling.

 

fromey 

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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted (edited)

Just started here. cold rain with a touch of sleet mixed in Posted Image Posted Image

 

2.7c

Edited by mullender83
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MP-R Maestro

MP-R

Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
Posted

Can already see the clearance coming from the west. Bit of a non-event unfortunately.

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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted

Slight slushy deposits on grass and roof etc now but still sleet and rain.2.5c

 

I think if it was sustained and or a couple hours later I would have been in luck.

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fromey Experienced

fromey

Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
Posted

Slight slushy deposits on grass and roof etc now but still sleet and rain.2.5c

 

I think if it was sustained and or a couple hours later I would have been in luck.

Hi mullender, still a barmy 5.5c here, its dropped a bit after a heavy shower just passed through.

fromey

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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted

Hi mullender, still a barmy 5.5c here, its dropped a bit after a heavy shower just passed through.

fromey

 

Yes we are not going to see anything now. Back of the band is probably only half hour away and temperature wont fall lower than 2.5c at moment.

 

Salisbury plains might have more chance as it will be a bit colder by that time etc

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted (edited)

9.3C here and spitting. I'm missing all the heavy rain again, only managed 12mm yesterday. 

 

Please mind the gap! :mellow:

 

post-15177-0-81621100-1387470041_thumb.p

 

 

Edited by Mapantz
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Ali1977 Maestro

Ali1977

Posted
  • Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL
  • Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL
Posted (edited)

5.9c In Swindon, rain about to arrive...Won't fall as snow at this temp that's for sure!!!

 

Mainly rain, however a few lumps of ice are sliding down the window

Edited by Ali1977
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jtay Veteran

jtay

Posted
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
Posted (edited)

Intense hail here at the moment.

 

Edit - Didn't last long, but here you go...

 

post-7340-0-47550900-1387470958_thumb.jppost-7340-0-15746900-1387470970_thumb.jp

Edited by jtay
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Beast of Plympton Enthusiast

Beast of Plympton

Posted
  • Location: Plympton St Maurice, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold and Storms
  • Location: Plympton St Maurice, Devon
Posted (edited)

Heavy rain now. But the end of the front is in sight on the horizon 20 minutes more and it will be all done and sun will be back. temps up bit to 4.3

Had heavy rain on the way in actually.... Wonder if there will be snow when I get back in a couple of hours! Edited by Beast of Dartmoor
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dec10snow Aficionado

dec10snow

Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
Posted

Evening all, nothing of note here, some heavy rain from that narrow band a couple of hours ago, but that's all!

Local stream had flooded when I walked past it earlier, along with some fence panels down in various places!

Some very orangey looking clouds earlier may post a picture later, in a bit of a rush at the moment!

Good to see Beast and Mullender actually got something wintry!

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festivalking Experienced

festivalking

Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
Posted

Had heavy rain on the way in actually.... Wonder if there will be snow when I get back in a couple of hours!

 

Looks like some beefy showers are coming in so with lower temps you never know your luck. Hoping the walk to the pub might be of interest later.

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Beast of Plympton Enthusiast

Beast of Plympton

Posted
  • Location: Plympton St Maurice, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold and Storms
  • Location: Plympton St Maurice, Devon
Posted

Looks like some beefy showers are coming in so with lower temps you never know your luck. Hoping the walk to the pub might be of interest later.

I wont be home until around 6 so hopefully it will stay away until then!
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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted

Definitely snowed on the Mendips near Emborough. Before turning to slush, it caused at least one car crash. We've received numerous reports of settled snow in that area.

 

Yes was brief and very wet but nothing to write home about really.

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fergieweather Maestro

fergieweather

Posted
  • Location: North Somerset, UK
  • Location: North Somerset, UK
Posted

 

Yes was brief and very wet but nothing to write home about really.

Indeed - covering didn't last long thanks to high depth temperatures, thankfully so (for roads). Main problem is ice now overnight - but more especially Cotswolds.
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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted

 

Indeed - covering didn't last long thanks to high depth temperatures, thankfully so (for roads). Main problem is ice now overnight - but more especially Cotswolds.

 

 

Maybe something better for Christmas... Posted Image  Posted Image

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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted

Maybe something better for Christmas... Posted Image  Posted Image

 

No pressure for the Pros on that forecast eh! Posted Image  Posted Image or Posted Image or Posted Image

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fergieweather Maestro

fergieweather

Posted
  • Location: North Somerset, UK
  • Location: North Somerset, UK
Posted

The good folk at Open Road tell us current lowest RST over the Mendips is 2.3C but forecast falling to 0 to -1C tonight. Outside current yellow warning area, but we will flag it as a risk area tonight nonethless...!

 

No pressure for the Pros on that forecast eh! Posted Image  Posted Image or Posted Image or Posted Image

Funnily enough we were just discussing here at what point we will need to go into more deterministic mode for that period. What a shambles. But some common themes emerging nonethless.
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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted (edited)

The good folk at Open Road tell us current lowest RST over the Mendips is 2.3C but forecast falling to 0 to -1C tonight. Outside current yellow warning area, but we will flag it as a risk area tonight nonethless...!

 

Funnily enough we were just discussing here at what point we will need to go into more deterministic mode for that period. What a shambles. But some common themes emerging nonethless.

 

 

It doesn't need to be cold to warn people of the dangers of gurney slade and emborough  Posted Image Posted Image

 

I always think one of the worst stretches of main road are a37 between Emborough, Gurney Slade and Oakhill. so many accidents every year because of ice and snow along that bit and after a lot of rain you get run off from Mendip golf course.

Edited by mullender83
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ARTDEMOLE Seasoned

ARTDEMOLE

Posted
  • Location: Peasedown St John.N.E.Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Fair to Foul...
  • Location: Peasedown St John.N.E.Somerset
Posted

All  HAIL broke loose and fell earlier.. Now 3.5c. with a light breeze.

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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted

 

Funnily enough we were just discussing here at what point we will need to go into more deterministic mode for that period. What a shambles. But some common themes emerging nonethless.

 

What exactly is deterministic mode, Ian? Is this the timeframe by which you have to put your neck on the line, rather you than me. Posted Image

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fergieweather Maestro

fergieweather

Posted
  • Location: North Somerset, UK
  • Location: North Somerset, UK
Posted

 

What exactly is deterministic mode, Ian? Is this the timeframe by which you have to put your neck on the line, rather you than me. Posted Image

Currently we've broad-brushed post-Monday but given the seasonal importance it'll soon require a punt at proper detail on a regional sense. But it's an ensemble soup of possible nasties. We focus obviously on the wind/rain elements...
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festivalking Experienced

festivalking

Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
Posted

temps 0.8c dew point -1.1 wheres the ppn when you need it!!!!

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