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Winter 2013-2014 Discussion- Part 2


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Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.

    Would love Russian-like winter to evolve.. Anyone else agree???Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Back in Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
  • Location: Back in Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)

    Would love Russian-like winter to evolve.. Anyone else agree???Posted Image

    no i live in Canada and get Russian like winters most years...not much fun TBH

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    Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.

    no i live in Canada and get Russian like winters most years...not much fun TBH

    Whys that??? U not a coldie??

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds

    Russia is too cold, I'd prefer an Estonian winter which is cold but not very cold - highs of -1C, lows of -7C.

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    Posted
  • Location: Newcastle under lyme 160m asl
  • Location: Newcastle under lyme 160m asl

    -1 to -7 is enough. Much prefer a high precipitation climate with more snow like the Canadian maritimes than an ice cold climate

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    Posted
  • Location: Droylsden, Manchester, 94 metres/308 feet ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Dry/mild/warm/sunny/high pressure/no snow/no rain
  • Location: Droylsden, Manchester, 94 metres/308 feet ASL

    -1 to -7 is enough. Much prefer a high precipitation climate with more snow like the Canadian maritimes than an ice cold climate

     

    Northern Japan is extremely snowy and not too extreme in terms of cold.

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    Posted
  • Location: Newcastle under lyme 160m asl
  • Location: Newcastle under lyme 160m asl

    Northern Japan is extremely snowy and not too extreme in terms of cold.

    Yes wouldn't want that much snow as cities like Sapporo get . Toronto has the perfect climate
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    Posted
  • Location: Droylsden, Manchester, 94 metres/308 feet ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Dry/mild/warm/sunny/high pressure/no snow/no rain
  • Location: Droylsden, Manchester, 94 metres/308 feet ASL

    Yes wouldn't want that much snow as cities like Sapporo get . Toronto has the perfect climate

     

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asahikawa,_Hokkaido#Climate - 25 feet of snow per year in Asahikawa Japan Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asahikawa,_Hokkaido#Climate - 25 feet of snow per year in Asahikawa Japan Posted Image

    WOW that would be perfect!!!

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    Posted
  • Location: west yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: extreme weather
  • Location: west yorkshire

    Hi very new to all this. But must admit its very addictive lol. Just a few points just been on the model threat and gibby seems to think it may turn milder as next week progresses. Love frostys updates but apart of me feels he may be ramping it up slightly. Apologise if im wrong. I would certainly settle for a few frosts and colder weather for a few days over all this mild muck we have had to endure. But think it might be too early just yet for any snow round these parts. Anyway look forward to the winter ahead. And hopefully we wont go back to the horrible mild stuff in the near future.

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds

    Hokkaido is too much of a good thing. As I said, Estonia, southern Finland or central Sweden would be best, around -1 to -7 with snowfall probably around 80-100cm annually, but that snow building up over the winter, leading to a very good depth by March.

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    Posted
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl

    Big Joe bastardi calling for cold to be king later this month and december,ive just seen his twitter updates lol.

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    Posted
  • Location: Lincolnshire - 15m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Frost and snow. A quiet autumn day is also good.
  • Location: Lincolnshire - 15m asl

    It's getting interesting. So where are we today?

     

    Some thoughts. As posted in the model thread the ECM ENS output is really signalling that height rises to our NW are coming, and the profile is a little too broad in terms of the ENS for it to be of the classic toppler:

     

    Posted Image

     

    The NA SST prediction today from CFS is pretty clear. The tripole pattern that might help to sustain a mid lat block to our west is looking more and more the form horse, and with very warm water just off the coast of the Eastern seaboard that suggests to me low pressure systems firing up and perhaps undercutting that block to reinforce it further.

     

    Posted Image

    It's a pretty interesting situation tbh. The strat profile is unremarkable to my eyes at the moment other than looking stable and cold, but enough is happening in the models to hold out continued hope that the winter may develop well. I'm still seeing NW and occasional N blasts around a waxing and waning mid atlantic high, so no change to my overall thoughts for the immediate future - but I am becoming increasingly optimistic as to where this winter may lead us in the end.

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    Posted
  • Location: Ripon , North Yorkshire 34m/112ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: heat and cold, storms and blizzards...zonal a no no
  • Location: Ripon , North Yorkshire 34m/112ft ASL

    not sure what this tweet means ,  does it have any implications downstream anybody?

     

    Big drop of N. Hemisphere ZAPE (contraction of N Pac jet) this past week-often coincides with cold weather o/ the US pic.twitter.com/khKssFGDqS

     



    Hi very new to all this. But must admit its very addictive lol. Just a few points just been on the model threat and gibby seems to think it may turn milder as next week progresses. Love frostys updates but apart of me feels he may be ramping it up slightly. Apologise if im wrong. I would certainly settle for a few frosts and colder weather for a few days over all this mild muck we have had to endure. But think it might be too early just yet for any snow round these parts. Anyway look forward to the winter ahead. And hopefully we wont go back to the horrible mild stuff in the near future.

    Hi Terrier, welcome aboard....as part of your initiation on here you are going to need the following ....

     

    1. a pram

    2. some toys

    3 prozac

    4 . A large straw

     

    im sure the longer you stay on here ,particularly the Model Thread... you will understand why youll need some of if not all of the above Posted Image

     

    Not sure where you read gibbys summary of it turning milder next week ,quite the opposite i expect...frosts will certainly be more prevelant too with the possibility of snow in places too... but thats FI ( Fantasy Island )

     

    heres some chatrs showing potential snow for the uk in the near future, these are more than likely to change as they are from the gfs 12z

     

    post-18134-0-62086200-1384292748_thumb.ppost-18134-0-58401000-1384292783_thumb.ppost-18134-0-67796600-1384292802_thumb.p

     

    Frostys posts are really good, he works hard on them .likes most weather types and doesnt demonstrate ramping as such , he is just very enthusiastic and sometimes quite funny too ... hes a good lad to have around ...

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Falkirk, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: snow,cold,frost,fog,wind,rain
  • Location: Falkirk, Scotland

    "a potentially paralysing winter" - haha - that just about covers it - potentially covers just about everything!

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    Posted
  • Location: Ribble Valley
  • Location: Ribble Valley

    As a nice a thought as it is the effects of the Typhoon would be short term if any for this part of the world, another crazy weather related fable from the tabloids.

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontardawe, Neath-Port Talbot 78m asl
  • Location: Pontardawe, Neath-Port Talbot 78m asl

    If Carlsberg did diabolical weather stories........

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    Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(south east england)
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(south east england)

    Think, as before the ECM could grab the leading hand on coming prognosis.seems to nearly always take lead in regards heights building to Greenland,.....could be some very intresting viewing coming up...and who knows even verification!!!.

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    Posted
  • Location: Chorley, Lancashire
  • Location: Chorley, Lancashire

    Think, as before the ECM could grab the leading hand on coming prognosis.seems to nearly always take lead in regards heights building to Greenland,.....could be some very intresting viewing coming up...and who knows even verification!!!.

    Gfs showing some promising signs now all of a sudden.

     

    http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2013111306/gfs-0-384.png?6

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