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Winter 2013-2014 Discussion- Part 2


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Posted
  • Location: Chorley, Lancashire
  • Location: Chorley, Lancashire

    How is Eastern Europe into Russia cooling down compared to recent years? Has anyone taken a look? 

    Quite similar to 2010 with Moscow having a mild October and even in November 2010 they only got properly cold in the last 3rd of November. So a similar pattern to this year. It will be interesting to see if Moscow get some extreme cold next 3 weeks. Charts are very similar to 2010 at present.

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    Posted
  • Location: Dunfermline, Fife
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold
  • Location: Dunfermline, Fife

    How highly does everyone rate Brian Gaze from TWO? He is so biased towards mild and always like to put a dampener on all things cold. The man frustrates me!

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    Posted
  • Location: Inbhir Nis / Inverness - 636 ft asl
  • Weather Preferences: Freezing fog, frost, snow, sunshine.
  • Location: Inbhir Nis / Inverness - 636 ft asl

    Down for 2c max on Tuesday!!!

     

    We're down for zero so could be our first ice-day, though if the sun peaks through at all before the snow arrives on the day then it might be a bit touch and go! 

    Edited by NorthernRab
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    Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(south east england)
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(south east england)

    Brain gaze, is renowned for fliping winter expectations/ forecasts, and does seem?! To have a slight bias regards mild outcomes. He must be respected,.However again he has been quite far off the mark regards winter predicts!! Previous.

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    Posted
  • Location: Outside Limavady.
  • Location: Outside Limavady.

    We're down for zero so could be our first ice-day, though if the sun peaks through at all before the snow arrives on the day then it might be a bit touch and go!

    Gonna feel very cold. We may get an ice day if the showers are heavy and persistent. In the past thats how we got many of our ice days.
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    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl

    How highly does everyone rate Brian Gaze from TWO? He is so biased towards mild and always like to put a dampener on all things cold. The man frustrates me!

     

    He would annoy me then, maybe a bit like Gaz1985? one for the ignore list

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    Posted
  • Location: Outside Limavady.
  • Location: Outside Limavady.

    We're down for zero so could be our first ice-day, though if the sun peaks through at all before the snow arrives on the day then it might be a bit touch and go!

    Gonna feel very cold. We may get an ice day if the showers are heavy and persistent. In the past thats how we got many of our ice days. Edited by smithyweather
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    Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire SACRA MEMBER 16/122
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire SACRA MEMBER 16/122

    He would annoy me then, maybe a bit like Gaz1985? one for the ignore list

     

     Not a nice post IMO

     

     just because Gaz1985 is not a fan of cold weather there is no need for this

     

    C.S

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    Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.

    Does anyone know what would happen if the PV splits and a part of it sits right over the UK? Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Inbhir Nis / Inverness - 636 ft asl
  • Weather Preferences: Freezing fog, frost, snow, sunshine.
  • Location: Inbhir Nis / Inverness - 636 ft asl

    Gonna feel very cold. We may get an ice day if the showers are heavy and persistent. In the past thats how we got many of our ice days.

     

    We get almost all of our ice days from freezing fog here, we're between two large bodies of water (Loch Ness and the Beauly Firth) and lie within the Great Glen.

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    Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.

    you will need to turn the heating on max!!!!

    How cold you talking??Posted Image 

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    Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire SACRA MEMBER 16/122
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire SACRA MEMBER 16/122

    How highly does everyone rate Brian Gaze from TWO? He is so biased towards mild and always like to put a dampener on all things cold. The man frustrates me!

     

     If you read his thoughts on TWO in the Buzz section it is anything but mild he is calling it exactly what the models are showing

     

     Just imagine if he was screaming heavy snow and severe cold,he would be slated just like Madden

     

     C.S

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire

    How highly does everyone rate Brian Gaze from TWO? He is so biased towards mild and always like to put a dampener on all things cold. The man frustrates me!

    As far as forecasters go I think he's alright. Like all forecasters he's not always correct but he's certainly had success with some of his seasonal forecasts over the years. I don't think he has a bias towards mild either. He just calls it as he sees be it mild or cold. Edited by Don
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    Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.

    Only looked at about 7 or 8 so far and only out to 180 so bare with me but it looks like some cracking GEFS members, a few develop a really potent wave very similar to 8th Dec 1990.

    What was the weather like that day??? Before my time...Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire

    Does anyone know what would happen if the PV splits and a part of it sits right over the UK? Posted Image

     

    Would certainly be chilly! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.

    Would certainly be chilly!

    How bad would it be??

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    Posted
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire

    How bad would it be??

     

    If we saw a chunk of the vortex, we would most likely see colder conditions and where deep cold uppers persist greater threat of convection- Wintry precipitation, I,E - Snow. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.

    it can vary but i would expect minus double figures!!!!

    Sounds good... I think Posted Image

    If we saw a chunk of the vortex, we would most likely see colder conditions and where deep cold uppers persist greater threat of convection- Wintry precipitation, I,E - Snow. 

    A lot of it I suspect!

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    Posted
  • Location: Ribble Valley
  • Location: Ribble Valley

    If we saw a chunk of the vortex, we would most likely see colder conditions and where deep cold uppers persist greater threat of convection- Wintry precipitation, I,E - Snow. 

    We actually had a piece of the PV over the top of us in the winter of 2009/10 and December 2010.

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    Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.

    We actually had a piece of the PV over the top of us in the winter of 2009/10 and December 2010.

    Wouldn't mind another winter like that of 09/10

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    Posted
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales

    We actually had a piece of the PV over the top of us in the winter of 2009/10 and December 2010.

     

    Which eventually lead to the coldest temperature I ever recorded here in SW Wales of -17c @10.30 in the morning on Xmas day.

     

    post-2071-0-45465500-1384286146_thumb.gi

    Edited by KTtom
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    Posted
  • Location: newcastle,north east
  • Weather Preferences: severe cold
  • Location: newcastle,north east

    if the charts are correct, and that's a big if, going towards the end of the month the coldPosted Image  seems to be winning more and more, and yes I know its a long way out, but we can always hopePosted Image

    Edited by irishlad69
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