Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 26/10/13


Snowangel-MK

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Weardale 300m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Weardale 300m asl

expect red on Sunday this beast could be or worse then the great storm 23 years ago [/quote

I doubt it will be worse but Jay said on the weather forecast at 15:00 that those powerful gusts on the south coast could definitely get inland also and he seemed confident that this was going to be a very bad storm ...

 

The Great Storm was 26 years ago. Imagine how much trees grow in that time.

 

Wherever you are either stay put if it's safe, or travel home Sunday or even tonight but don't leave it too late in case you get stuck in a traffic jam. Don't go out in it. Nearly everyone who was killed last time was usually on the road. Sadly a tree fell right into the cab of a fire engine killing both crewmen.

 

If you're about to give birth ask the hospital for advice - a good idea is find accommodation nearby just for Sunday night. Don't try to get to a hospital in labour, you're better off at home, but ring 999.

 

I'm amazed at the number of people who still don't know what might be coming. Just went round to my sister's and a farmer friend had no idea about it. He left pretty sharpish when I mentioned it.

Edited by Iceni
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: West Barnes, London, 18m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and sunny; chilly and sunny; thunderstorms; extreme
  • Location: West Barnes, London, 18m ASL

There were lots of great storm it seems. 1987 was 26 years ago.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Weardale 300m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Weardale 300m asl

There were lots of great storm it seems. 1987 was 26 years ago.

 

Had a blonde moment Posted Image

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Great Yarmouth
  • Location: Great Yarmouth

I'm amazed at the number of people who still don't know what might be coming.

most ridiculous story - counter girl in newsagents said she hadn't heard - her till was opposite the newspaper display and it was on all the front pages

  • Like 7
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal
  • Weather Preferences: The most likely outcome. The MJO is only half the story!
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal

 

If it were me Reef I would be planning to leave Bournemouth on Sunday rather than Monday in all honesty, based on current predictions. At least that way you are hopefully travelling ahead of the worst of the weather, not behind, or worse still, in amongst it. Just my opinion. Posted Image

Yes I would agree with that tooPosted Image  Best wishes RS for the safety of the caravan sitePosted Image

 

I think that some perspective needs to be kept about the storm on Sunday night/Monday. It looks grim for a period for sure early on Monday but it is not going to be as bad as 1987, so best to not keep mentioning this (even in comparison) because that simply panics people more than necessary. Its a case of being realistic and keeping oneself safe, but not going OTT with panic buying and emergency strategies. 

 

The NAE suggests that the strong winds will be exiting as early as 9am on Monday morning but I am not sure that the model is in line yet with the METO consensus of this morning.

 

Posted Image

Edited by Tamara תָּמָר
  • Like 7
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Lower Brynamman, nr Ammanford, 160-170m a.s.l.
  • Location: Lower Brynamman, nr Ammanford, 160-170m a.s.l.

The Great Storm was 26 years ago. Imagine how much trees grow in that time.

 

Wherever you are either stay put if it's safe, or travel home Sunday or even tonight but don't leave it too late in case you get stuck in a traffic jam. Don't go out in it. Nearly everyone who was killed last time was usually on the road. Sadly a tree fell right into the cab of a fire engine killing both crewmen.

 

If you're about to give birth ask the hospital for advice - a good idea is find accommodation nearby just for Sunday night. Don't try to get to a hospital in labour, you're better off at home, but ring 999.

 

I'm amazed at the number of people who still don't know what might be coming. Just went round to my sister's and a farmer friend had no idea about it. He left pretty sharpish when I mentioned it.

Presumably he's referring to the Burns Day storm of 1990.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK

The storm is only just developing and right now is a depression in the Atlantic but as it interacts with the power of the jet stream it will rapidly deepen under explosive cyclogenesis.

post-10773-0-74519900-1382801958_thumb.j

Due to the deepening and strengthening of this storm there is the potential of damaging gales anywhere south of the north midlands so this region should definitely brace itself during Monday.

post-10773-0-66299200-1382802039_thumb.j

There is a increasing risk of severe disruption associated with this system and there is still the possibility of a sting jet developing across southern England.

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch

The storm is only just developing and right now is a depression in the Atlantic but as it interacts with the power of the jet stream it will rapidly deepen under explosive cyclogenesis.

Posted Imageimage.jpg

Due to the deepening and strengthening of this storm there is the potential of damaging gales anywhere south of the north midlands so this region should definitely brace itself during Monday.

Posted Imageimage.jpg

There is a increasing risk of severe disruption associated with this system and there is still the possibility of a sting jet developing across southern England.

thanks m k all i say its  not looking  good  for  us  on  monday

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: West Barnes, London, 18m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and sunny; chilly and sunny; thunderstorms; extreme
  • Location: West Barnes, London, 18m ASL

Had a blonde moment Posted Image

Just Joshing ! Couldnt resist, sorry

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

gfs 12z

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

no change

 

jet at 13.00 monday

 

Posted Image

looks a tad ominous again

 

 

waiting for ukmo and fax charts

 

around 6pm update

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Bromley, Kent
  • Location: Bromley, Kent

Thank you so much to Tamara and John and MKSA,

 

You three have really helped me to learn a lot regarding this upcoming storm Posted Image

 

I don't think any of us can really fully see what will happen till it arrives. Having lived through '87, I give full respect to Mother Nature, she can definitely throw unexpected surprises!

  • Like 8
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.

thanks m k all i say its  not looking  good  for  us  on  Monday

 err yep. ... Was thinking this was just a load of hype up until this morning but not sooo sure now. This may end up being a winter storm to remember here in the south.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal
  • Weather Preferences: The most likely outcome. The MJO is only half the story!
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal

Thank you so much to Tamara and John and MKSA,

 

You three have really helped me to learn a lot regarding this upcoming storm Posted Image

 

I don't think any of us can really fully see what will happen till it arrives. Having lived through '87, I give full respect to Mother Nature, she can definitely throw unexpected surprises!

Hiya Jan - hope you okPosted Image

 

Well barely 36 hrs away and there is quite a difference still in the positioning of the low!! This is for 9am Monday morning

 

NAE

 

Posted Image

GFS

 

Posted Image

Edited by Tamara תָּמָר
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Bromley, Kent
  • Location: Bromley, Kent

Posted Image

 

 

Posted Image
Liked · 6 minutes ago

Here is a recent image of the developing storm in the Atlantic. The line of cloud is following the jet stream but the part that is of most interest to us is inside the yellow circle. The line of cloud is now starting to develop due to fast tracking Jet Stream. To the south of that circle will start to pull towards right, whilst to the north of that circle will pull towards the left, eventually causing an anti-clockwise spiral like the system inside the red circle. It's how this system develops in the next 24-36 hours which will determine how bad things will get on Monday.

 

Recent image of the developing Storm

Courtesy of London and the South East Weather Facebook

Edited by Jan_Bromley
  • Like 8
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

heres what ukmo show

 

Posted Image

Posted Image

 

and the jet

 

Posted Image

Posted Image

 

now rainfall

 

Posted Image

Posted Image

 

looking at that

 

the stronger winds are later than shown last night

 

rush hour onwards a tad earlier for the far south west of the region

 

looks like the low is slightly further north

 

these winds still look very strong and the warnings are still justified

 

will link these up with the fax charts soon

 

how will the jet react to the storm here is the difficult call

 

advise is still be prepared

 

 

seperate note

 

the far north east of the region could have bigger gusts as the storm clears

 

sorry not great news

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Barnehurst nr Bexleyheath, Kent
  • Location: Barnehurst nr Bexleyheath, Kent

Afternoon all,

 

Just catching up with the posts - I see the storm is still on and there isn't a down grade in sight (which I must admit, I was expecting to see during the course of today)

 

All I can say is stay safe and don't travel unless you have to!  I have to go to work on Monday morning, and I must say, I am not relishing the prospect, even though I am strangely excited at the same time!  Just wish I could be in the comfort of my front room watching it unfold!

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
×
×
  • Create New...