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Scotland Regional Discussion - Autumn 2013


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Posted
  • Location: Tullynessle/Inverurie
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy or warm and dry
  • Location: Tullynessle/Inverurie

     So, we still appear to be on track for the cold next week then? Will just pop over to the MOD for a look, (with a handful of Prozac and Kwells!)

     

     

    Don't do it without wearing a crash helmet to protect you from the flying toys! One less than impressive GFS run and the Samaritans will be having to double up the staff on call tonight. Can't even wait until the run is complete before some are proclaiming doom and gloom. You get the distinct impression that those quickest to moan about a possible downgrade in snow potential (remembering it's still NOVEMBER) would be the first to moan that it's too cold & snowy if one of the 'eyecandy' charts of recent FI runs did verify. Highly amusing really.

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    Posted
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold. Enjoy all extremes though.
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.

    Don't do it without wearing a crash helmet to protect you from the flying toys! One less than impressive GFS run and the Samaritans will be having to double up the staff on call tonight. Can't even wait until the run is complete before some are proclaiming doom and gloom. You get the distinct impression that those quickest to moan about a possible downgrade in snow potential (remembering it's still NOVEMBER) would be the first to moan that it's too cold & snowy if one of the 'eyecandy' charts of recent FI runs did verify. Highly amusing really.

    How right you were Ravelin! My God they are suicidal in there. Far too quick to make assumptions that the run is a  downgrade and it's all over! Actually, it is probably just a wobble as so far it isn't tying in with the latest on screen BBC forecasts. I could understand the frustrations if it was the 15th December and not the 15th November!Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Near Lauder, SE Scotland, 175 m asl
  • Location: Near Lauder, SE Scotland, 175 m asl

    Didnae miss it this time.

     

    Was up at Dalnahatnich and the sun started to set. Wild place (especially today with it blawin a hoolie) which I love and incidentally, where a famous clan member used to live (http://heraldry.celticradio.net/search.php?id=119).

     

    Best was just as we pulled back into the drive at the house. Stunning.

     

     

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Motherwell, Lanarkshire
  • Location: Motherwell, Lanarkshire

    MWIS medium-term outlook is currently going with:

     

    "Very cold from Monday, extremely so (for November) mid-week. Snow widespread, especially northern mountains, and to low level mid-week.

    There is a strong signal in forecast models from all the main centres of cold conditions through to the end of the month.

    There will be further snowfall on many mountain areas."

     

    I think that constitutes a ramp by the cautious, sober standards of the MWIS.Posted Image

     

    Not quite in the same league as Scotster's trip to Torridon, but I had a wander in the Ben Lawers neck of the woods last Saturday and it was looking pretty wintry.

     

    (For those who are interested, the main sunlit peak is An Stuc, rather than Ben Lawers itself).

     

     

    Posted Image

    Edited by spindrift1980
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    Posted
  • Location: Leith
  • Weather Preferences: Anything outwith the mean.
  • Location: Leith

    Aye-aye everyone... familiar faces everywhere...good to see y'all Posted Image

     

    Just strapping myself in for the next few months of "when will it", "why won't it", "why hasn't it" ! 

     

    Looks like the speculation game is already well under way for the coming weeks, brilliant Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Glasgow Southside 30m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: Warm/Dry enough for a t-shirt. Winter: Cold enough for a scarf.
  • Location: Glasgow Southside 30m ASL.

    Thanks for your analysis LS. Quite difficult to follow that model thread at times, particularly as they all pretty much refer to England and nowhere else. 

     

    Loads of them were talking about how consistently mild it has been and how at the weekend they had got their first frosts. Up here it's been relatively chilly for the time of year but none of them would have noticed. If it snows in Scotland next week but not anywhere south of Manchester/Sheffield it doubt it will get acknowledged in the model thread.

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    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

    Time for a sharp exit...Any more owl-attacks in Inversnecky City centre?

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    Posted
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers Snowy Winters Stormy Autumns
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)

    LS and BUS many thanks for convection explanations last evening after I crashed out..... Good to hear bleaky about your man upgrade.....have net weather teamed up with match.com to bring weather lovers together??;)

    My 3 year old is going snow crazy......she keeps saying dad when is it going to snow and she is actually getting angry every morning when still no sign.....I've created a monster :) I ain't promising her anything just yet for next week

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    Posted
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold. Enjoy all extremes though.
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.

    Here is another one who is not too fussed if it snows or not. I would much prefer cold and frosty until the end of the month so that things can cool down considerably and the cold becomes embedded...(and that includes Europe!)   Just 2 more weeks, PLEASE!  That 19th date really bugs me.(sorry Edo)   I can't remember the year, it was in the 90's, It started snowing around 3pm and It was so heavy, that I had a hell of a job getting home from work. Took me 3 hours to travel 9 miles. Couldn't get to work for the following 2 days either. Thought to myself that we were in for a long, hard winter but I couldn't have been more wrong. That was it, not a sodding flake until the following winter! So best not to wish winter away for the sake of a few snowflakes now.   We need it much colder for longer first.

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    Posted
  • Location: @scotlandwx
  • Weather Preferences: Crystal Clear High Pressure & Blue Skies
  • Location: @scotlandwx

    Just visited model thread...hard work for the mods in there tonight...!

     

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    Right pub run...bring the madness..

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: dry sunny average summers and really cold snowy winters
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level

    saw this on twitter just goes to show how far the ECM is from its ensembles 

     

    Ryan Maue â€@RyanMaue 10m

    ECMWF 10-day HRES model dumped foot of snow all over OKC. Not many ensembles at all agree

     

    Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: dry sunny average summers and really cold snowy winters
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level

    Just visited model thread...hard work for the mods in there tonight...!

     

    Posted Imagelent-messy-toy-room11.jpg

    Posted Imagearticle-mcenroe-420x0.jpg

    Posted Imageimages (1).jpg

     

    Right pub run...bring the madness..

     

    its certainly a right giggle watching them blow there tops at the output Posted Image

     

    looking like that horrible git SHANNON is rearing her ugly head already this winter with the ops.

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    Posted
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers Snowy Winters Stormy Autumns
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)

    Blitzy its ok I accept your worries....its funny how such memories can stick around....u actually have me worried about snow now lol.......maybe these are new times for weather with new rules and nothing is how it used to be....maybe this year it could snow on 19th and just not stop....but just for you #prayfordry19th

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    Posted
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: dry sunny average summers and really cold snowy winters
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level

    does anyone know how I make charts do a slide show when I post it in here

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    Posted
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold. Enjoy all extremes though.
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.

    Morning.  Had a quick scoot through the models this morning..(early enough so safe enough!)  and it looks to me as if it is a case of - you pays your money?

    GFS displays nothing more than a 36hr wonder ie: cold uppers from Monday 9amish until Tuesday midnightish: Although I am not very good at reading charts so there is probably a lot more hiding in there than the obvious!

     

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    The ECM on the other hand has cold uppers over us until the end of the run:

     

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    The ECM option would certainly keep us colder for longer, which can only be a good thing and if it's any consolation, SM on the MOD appears to agree with its solution.

    Edited by Blitzen
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    Posted
  • Location: Calgary, Canada (1230m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Wind driven falling snow
  • Location: Calgary, Canada (1230m asl)

    It's going to be a long day, enjoy :lol:

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    Posted
  • Location: @scotlandwx
  • Weather Preferences: Crystal Clear High Pressure & Blue Skies
  • Location: @scotlandwx

    does anyone know how I make charts do a slide show when I post it in here

     

    If you add the images side by side rather than heading vertically down the page, they open and when open the arrow key appears to allow you to move onto the next image.

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    Posted
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold. Enjoy all extremes though.
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.

    If you add the images side by side rather than heading vertically down the page, they open and when open the arrow key appears to allow you to move onto the next image.

    Now he tells me!Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Dennyloanhead. (49m ASL)
  • Location: Dennyloanhead. (49m ASL)

    I see the MT last night was an overflowing padded cell! Good summary LS, and for this reason and our other experts, will remain here for the foreseeable.

     

    Very windy night, but starting a calm a little now, trees are now almost bare, so safe to say, Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow.

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    Posted
  • Location: Milltimber, Aberdeen (73m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Snoooowwww with some thunderstorms on the side
  • Location: Milltimber, Aberdeen (73m asl)

    Thought I would upload a quick pic of the crazy sky we had up here last night as I got home from work. Don't see that often! :)

    post-12868-0-41992000-1384593909_thumb.j

    Edited by GoldenJackel
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