Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Somerset Squall

west pacific
Typhoon Wutip

Tropical Depression 20W has formed in the South China Sea (SCS), just west of the Philippines. The depression has winds of 30kts. There is some weak banding south of the LLCC, but convection is lacking directly over the centre at present. Shear is low, and waters are warm along track, so strengthening is expected. Ridging to the north is expected to guide 20W generally west over the next few days, and 20W is expected to make landfall in Vietnam near the city of Hue. Exact landfall location is subject to change, but Vietnam need to be wary of this one, as it may have time to strengthen into a typhoon prior to landfall.

 

Posted Image

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tropical Depression TWENTY: Probability of tropical storm winds to 120 hours lead

Posted Image


 

Tropical depression Twenty is forecast to strike Vietnam as a typhoon at about 00:00 GMT on 1 October.

 

Tropical depression Twenty is forecast to strike Vietnam as a typhoon at about 00:00 GMT on 1 October. Data supplied by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Center suggest that the point of landfall will be near 16.8 N, 108.6 E. Twenty is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around 129 km/h (80 mph). Wind gusts in the area may be considerably higher.
 
According to the Saffir-Simpson damage scale the potential property damage and flooding from a storm of Twenty's strength (category 1) at landfall includes: Storm surge generally 1.2-1.5 metres (4-5 feet) above normal. No real damage to building structures. Damage primarily to unanchored mobile homes, shrubbery, and trees. Some damage to poorly constructed signs. Some coastal road flooding and minor pier damage. There is also the potential for flooding further inland due to heavy rain.
 
The information above is provided for guidance only and should not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to property. Anyone in the region who is concerned for their personal safety or property should contact their official national weather agency or warning centre for advice.

 

 

 

http://www.trust.org/item/20130927023807-0zbov/

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tropical Depression 20W has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Wutip, with winds now at 35kts. The cyclone has jogged north whilst it's been organising over the last 12 hours. The LLC is now tucked beneath an expanding area of convection, which is flanked by increasingly impressive banding features. Further strengthening should occur in the low shear and warm sea temperature conditions, and Wutip is still likely to be a typhoon at landfall.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Wutip has rapidly strengthened overnight, and the latest JTWC advisory (3am) has Wutip as a 55kt tropical storm. However, in latest satellite imagery, an eye is readily visible, indicating that Wutip may well be upgraded to a typhoon next advisory (around 9am). The rapid strengthening is not good news for Vietnam, as it is likely Wutip will be stronger than a cat 1 on the SS scale at landfall now, as the storm still has another couple days over warm water and low shear.

 

post-1820-0-74196500-1380349317_thumb.jp

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Wutip is now a typhoon, with winds of 65kts. The eye has become cloud filled but the central dense overcast has deepened considerably and become more symmetrical. Wutip is forecast to become a cat 2 prior to landfall, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a cat 3 out of this. Wutip has become quasi-stationary as the ridge to the north has been broken down by a trough, but the ridge should reassert itself tomorrow, and Wutip will pick up a quicker westward track towards Vietnam. Shear is set to remain low, waters warm, and outflow excellent, which should fuel further intensification.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Wutip has rapidly strengthened overnight and is now a 90kt cat 2 on the SS scale. Wutip is now forecast to achieve cat 3 status over the next 12 hours as it continues it's journey towards Vietnam. Needless to say, this recent intensification is not good news at all for the country.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Wutip has weakened to 80kts. Some moderate shear has affected the system this evening, and outflow is not so strong. Wutip will make landfall on Vietnam in about 12 hours time, still at typhoon strength.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
 

Typhoon Wutip: Over 70 Missing As Boats Sink

 
Fishermen are caught up in a typhoon threatening Vietnam where tens of thousands of people are being evacuated.

 

Posted Image

 

More than 70 people are missing after three Chinese fishing boats sank in a powerful typhoon off the coast of Vietnam. The vessels were hit by strong winds near the Paracel Islands in the South China Sea, according to reports. The number of missing fishermen has been put at up to 75. At least five boats carrying 171 people were caught up in rough seas whipped up by Typhoon Wutip, which is expected to make landfall in Vietnam's central region later with winds of up to 93mph, gusts of 125mph and heavy rain.
 
Vietnamese deputy prime minister Hoang Trung Hai ordered a mass evacuation as he travelled around the central provinces. More than 8,000 villagers in Quang Tri province's coastal areas were moved to safer places on Sunday night. Another 35,000 in areas facing serious flooding, landslides and flash floods were also being evacuated. And there were also plans to move over 140,000 people in four other central provinces.
 
Wutip is the strongest typhoon to hit Vietnam this season. The most powerful tropical storm in Asia this year was Typhoon Usagi, which caused at least 33 deaths in the Philippines and China earlier this month.
 
Posted Image

 

 

http://news.sky.com/story/1148114/typhoon-wutip-over-70-missing-as-boats-sink

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Posted Image

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Wutip has weakened to 75kts, but has restrengthened unfortunately right before landfall. Intensity is back up to 90kts as the eye has cleared out again and become better defined. The typhoon is now making landfall, evidenced by this recent satellite image of the eye nearing the coast. Heavy rains will continue for several days I would imagine as Wutip slowly decays as it moves inland, but the damaging winds should ease through the day and tomorrow.

 

post-1820-0-60221800-1380531840_thumb.jp

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

Tens of thousands of people were being evacuated from high-risk areas in Hanoi in central Vietnam on Monday as a typhoon that sank at least two Chinese fishing ships neared the coast. A total of 75 fishermen are missing after three vessels encountered strong winds near the Paracel Islands, according to a statement on the website of the Hainan government in south China. Two of the vessels sank on Sunday and contact with the third has been lost, it said. Typhoon Wutip was expected to hit the central coast later on Monday with sustained winds of up to 93 miles per hour and gusts up to 125 mph, Vietnam's weather forecaster said. Heavy rains were expected.

 
Posted Image

 

Posted Image

Typhoon Wutip hit Vietnam and proved to be the strongest tropical storm they saw all season

 

Disaster official Le Tri Cong said more than 8,000 villagers in Quang Tri province's coastal areas were evacuated to safe places as of Sunday night and 35,000 others from areas facing with serious flooding, landslides and flash floods are being evacuated. More than 140,000 people in four other central provinces are planned for evacuation on Monday, the central floods and storms control committee said on its website. Schools in five central provinces were closed and coast guards told 61,000 fishing boats with 303,000 crew members to take shelter, the committee said.

 

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2438451/Vietnam-plans-emergency-evacuation-STRONGEST-Typhoon-hit-season-leaves-75-fishermen-missing.html#ixzz2gNGXJNCc 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thailand in the firing line too?

 

 

19 provinces on flood alert as Typhoon Wutip heads to Thailand

 

State agencies ordered to prepare for Typhoon Wutip, expected to bring heavy rain to 19 provinces in the North and Northeast from Tuesday, with many provinces already struggling under floods brought by monsoon rains. Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra on Monday instructed the Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Department and other offices in risk areas to prepare for the storm, which is set to bring torrential rain and floods to many areas already inundated with water. 

 
According to a report from the department, 32 provinces are already struggling to cope with floods, which have killed at least 22 people this year. The premier said the government will closely monitor Wutip, while the Flood Relief Operation Centre warned that 19 provinces are in the path of the typhoon. They are Mukdahan, Bung Kan, Nakhon Phanom, Sakon Nakhon, Udon Thani, Nong Khai, Loei, Kalasin and Nong Bua Lamphu in the Northeast and Nan, Uttaradit, Phrae, Phayao, Lampang, Lamphun, Chiang Rai, Chiang Mai, Mae Hong Son and Tak in the North.
 
Central and eastern provinces may not be directly affected by the typhoon, but existing floods could be exacerbated, especially in Prachin Buri. Deputy Prime Minister Plodprasop Suraswadi said the government is particularly concerned about the situation in Prachin Buri's Muang district, because the business town is being inundated with water from the northern districts of Kabin Buri, Si Maha Phot and Prachantakham.
 
Roads along the banks of the Prachin Buri River in Muang district are now submerged by up to 60 centimetres of water - double the level recorded on Saturday. Provinces downstream of the Chao Phraya dam in Chai Nat have also been hit by floods, as the dam continues to release water at 2,195 cubic metres per second, up from its normal discharge of around 1,800 cubic metres per second. Department director-general Chatchai Promlert warned communities living alongside the Chao Phraya River and other tributaries to prepare for more of the same, since water flowing out of the dam continues to increase flood levels. The situation prompted the prime minister to visit flood-hit areas in Ubon Ratchathani and Si Sa Ket on Monday.
 
The Water and Flood Management Commission and officials of the two provinces have been assigned to try and drain water into the Moon River as a matter of urgency, especially in Si Sa Ket, where 22 districts are flooded and nine people have died. Meanwhile, at least 70 people were missing after three fishing boats caught up in Typhoon Wutip sank in the South China Sea, Chinese state media said on Monday. "Three fishing boats have sunk since Sunday afternoon," Xinhua news agency said, quoting maritime authorities. Altogether five boats carrying 171 people were caught in rough seas whipped up by Typhoon Wutip, which is expected to make landfall in Vietnam's central region later Monday, before reaching Thailand on Tuesday.
 
Vietnam has evacuated 70,000 people from high-risk areas as it prepares for the typhoon, according to the country's national flood and storm control department.

 

 

 

http://www.bangkokpost.com/news/local/372255/typhoon-wutip-flood-alert-for-19-provinces

 

http://youtu.be/lRg0DkrdPew

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

  • Similar Content

    • By Somerset Squall
      The fifth tropical depression of the season has formed well to the east of the basin, at around 144E, and only about 2 degrees north of the equator. Intensity is 30kts. Convection is already building nicely over the LLCC, with banding features also evident. Shear is low, and waters warm, which should allow at least steady intensification over the next few days. A west-northwest track is expected, with 05W approaching the Philippines by day 5. It could be a typhoon by this stage, so it needs closely monitoring.
    • By Somerset Squall
      The fourth tropical depression of this reletively busy and early start to the 2014 West Pacific season has formed just east of the Philippines. Winds are 25kts according to JTWC. There are limited banding features in the northern semicircle of the depression, but the LLCC is ill defined. Some slight strengthening is forecast before 04W drags across the islands of the southern Philippines, causing the depression to lose intensity. Conditions in the South China Sea are pretty hostile, so even if 04W makes it this far it will likely dissipate.
    • By Somerset Squall
      The third tropical depression of the West Pacific season has formed about 300 nautical miles south-southeast of Guam. Winds are at 30kts according to both JMA and JTWC. 03W has increasingly persistant convection over the LLCC, something the system has struggled with over the last day or so. Shear is moderate, but poleward outflow is excellent, which is helping sustain the convection. Shear should ease over the next day or so, promoting strengthening. JTWC expect a peak of 55kts before 03W moves over cooler waters and higher shear again, and begins extratropical transition, expected to begin in 5 days time. 03W is currently in a weakly defined steering envrionment, but ridging to the northeast should excert more dominance over 03W over the next few days, driving the depression to the north.

    • By Somerset Squall
      Tropical Depression 02W has formed just east of the southern Philippines, in the area that TS Lingling formed earlier in the month. Winds are at 25kts according to JTWC. Convection is displaced to the northwest of the poorly defined LLCC due to moderate shear. This moderately sheared environment is expected to prevent 02W from strengthening significantly as it tracks westwards towards the islands of the southern Philippines. Land interaction will serve to weaken the system in a day or so, and recovery is not expected once the system reaches the South China Sea.
       

    • By Somerset Squall
      The first tropical storm of the 2014 West Pacific season has formed close to and just east of the Southern Philippines. The precursor to this storm's formation has dumped some very heavy rains over the southern Philippines, causing flooding here. Winds are currently at 35kts. Lingling is trapped in a weak steering environment and is currently heading on an unusual track southeast. The storm is expected to turn southwest and make landfall within the next 24 hours. The LLCC has already become exposed from the convection due to shear, so Lingling shouldn't become any stronger prior to landfall.
      This is not necessarily an early start to the season. Weak January tropical storms and depressions are fairly common in this basin, particularly at low latitude.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.