South West/Central Southern England Regional Discussion 15/01/13 12z---->

[Wilxy]

To close looking unlucky for far SW Midlands looks sweet spot at the moment.

[jessandjon]

Now where are all those disappointed faces in here then????

:-( here is one on behalf if Devon and Cornwall, where is our pink bit gone???? :-) :-) :-)

[katemart]

Now where are all those disappointed faces in here then????

Ah, that's better. Thank you, Coast!

Mods, I have run out of likes - less bandwith than replying like this, y'know....

[A.J]

Ah, that's better. Thank you, Coast!

Mods, I have run out of likes - less bandwith than replying like this, y'know....

I liked it for ya!

[TwisterGirl81]

20 hour snowfall up to t84 on latest gfs in SW...(so far)

Can you send a link because for southwest especially Devon and Cornwall I saw six hours worth which is better than nothing

[gottolovethisweather]

I can't take much more of this.

See you on Friday.

[lfcdude]

That is looking good for Wiltshire.. Somerset and Bristol... Spare a thought for Cornwall and Devon

[gottolovethisweather]

Hey all, just logged on and going to catch up on the previous pages. Any changes on Fridays potential snowfall? Thanks!

Currently 1.8C, but temperatures rose to 5.1C earlier!

Go back two pages at max and continue reading.

[EGHH]

Rather late due to work commitments, but nethertheless attached is my very simplistic look at the last set of models (0z and 6z) and the coming [potentially] snow.

Models for Friday.pdf

[DanDorsetUK]

Its at times like this i want to pick my house up and move north east!

I'm stumped

[A.J]

That is looking good for Wiltshire.. Somerset and Bristol... Spare a thought for Cornwall and Devon

hmm.......Nah!

just kidding folks!

[Nights King]

Hmm I do wonder though however... couple of days ago this atlantic system was projected to not even make it past cornwall but as we near the reliable it seems to be creeping ever further east...

[Ali1977]

I wonder if the METO will take into account snow potential off this 12z...looks big

[DanDorsetUK]

Cant wait to see points west forecast tonight!!

[TwisterGirl81]

:-( here is one on behalf if Devon and Cornwall, where is our pink bit gone???? :-) :-) :-)

Arghhh I going to committ myself!! Lol You couldn't write it could you! Sorry I have to laugh as we're hardly the tropics! Someone said oh well at least you get lovely summers and I nearly fainted!

[TropicThunder]

So, a yellow warning for snow for most of the SW, and the MetO site saying light snow for Southampton all day Friday. That will do me for now.

[Wilxy]

Hmm I do wonder though however... couple of days ago this atlantic system was projected to not even make it past cornwall but as we near the reliable it seems to be creeping ever further east...

Still looking good for you with elevation to your advantage.

[quantock girl]

:-( here is one on behalf if Devon and Cornwall, where is our pink bit gone???? :-) :-) :-)

You're lucky, at least you might be dry, I on the other hand have rain/sleet!!! lol, this is going to be tight.

[gottolovethisweather]

Its at times like this i want to pick my house up and move north east!

I'm stumped

Are you clairvoyant by any chance.

BTW it is not only you, I hasten to add.

This run doesn't yet tell you the prospects at T+72 over your house you know.

Edited January 15, 2013 by gottolovethisweather

[Andy Bown]

How cold tonight then?

It's dropped from 2.9c to 1.4c in under an hour and with flat calm conditions plus completely clear sky I wonder if it might

get down to -4c or -5c here and that's without snow cover.

[gottolovethisweather]

I wonder if the METO will take into account snow potential off this 12z...looks big

YES would be my guess.

[swsnowlover]

Sometimes I hate living on the Devon/Cornwall border :-(

[Iceberg]

Meto continues the theme with -7 850's over me in N.Dorset at T72 with the precip moved in.

FULL agreement from the models so far that the low will slide under the high, that cold air will stay or never be far away from the sw and, GFS upto 24-36 hrs of snow for some, There been no back track in the models. NAE at 48 needs to be taken very carefully as between T48 and when the front comes in the cold air should dig back in again.

Cornwall looks unlucky if i am honest.

Devon boarderline.

Somerset/Dorset, wilts, glos, could see the 24-36 hrs of snow and i personally dont think it will melt until sunday at the earliest.

[Beast of Plympton]

Hmmm, in case you haven't noticed we have had weeks of devastating floods, so no, we don't like rain.

Anyway, to keep it friendly I am 369m ASL so im not counting IMBY out yet!!

Edited January 15, 2013 by gottolovethisweather
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[Frosty_wsm]

Hmm I do wonder though however... couple of days ago this atlantic system was projected to not even make it past cornwall but as we near the reliable it seems to be creeping ever further east...

That can be a concern, yep, usually if fronts make it far enough into the uk to effect most of the country then we down here end up in the mild air and rain but I really don't know what's going to happen this time.