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Southwest & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 3rd January 2013>

gottolovethisweather

By gottolovethisweather
in Regional

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

What the!

?

No way, Not possible! Cant happen. Thats silly

ECM0-192.GIF?09-0

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Frosty_wsm Rising Star

Frosty_wsm

Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
Posted

ECM is not to be trusted at this range and this uncertainty, however totals of 50cm would be achieved over the course of the run for us in the SW if not more.

Damn I just spat my coffee out after reading that lol

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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

What the!

?

No way, Not possible! Cant happen. Thats silly

ECM0-192.GIF?09-0

It's coming! We are getting all the snow we should of had in the 90's & 00's all at once next week!

Exciting times, although in all seriousness, the ECM is extremely unlikely to verify to that extreme!

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fromey Experienced

fromey

Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
Posted

ECM is not to be trusted at this range and this uncertainty, however totals of 50cm would be achieved over the course of the run for us in the SW if not more.

50cm r u SH***ING ME!!

i am looking forward to it in one way but working on the front line in the ambulance service i am kinda dreading it in a way!!

busy times ahead, i was kinda hoping it would hold off until next weekend as im on annual leave but knowing my luck they may cancel my annual leave at the last moment !!

fromey

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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

The man himself mentions "possible troublesome snowfall" next week in his forecast.

Slowly but surely its all coming together. Just a couple more hurdles to go!

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

Madness.

I really hope for all of our sanity that something happens.

If any of these silly models even come off by 20% we are still in with a lot of snow. If they upgrade or even verify then i fear the UK would be screwed.

Possibly some very nasty weather.

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TwisterGirl81 Experienced

TwisterGirl81

Posted
  • Location: Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Wind, Sunny, Warm, Thunderstorms, Snow
  • Location: Devon
Posted

What the!

?

No way, Not possible! Cant happen. Thats silly

ECM0-192.GIF?09-0

What would this kind of outlook mean for southwest? Snow if so how much?

Thankyou

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

What would this kind of outlook mean for southwest? Snow if so how much?

Thankyou

It would mean very cold upper air. As for snowfall and how much....Wouldnt know till closer to the time.

Its possible that there will be a low pressure system to the south / over south.. This could pull in a lot of moisture and along with it a lot of snow.. ( A lot! )

But thats all up for grabs at the moment. Simply getting the cooler air in place first has been a struggle and currently it seems like it may happen.

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Frosty_wsm Rising Star

Frosty_wsm

Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
Posted

I fear for the sanity of the mod thread if the gfs 18z doesn't show something similar to the ecm, if it's another mild (outlier) get ready for the usual wrist slashing and game over posts just like it was in there after the overnight gfs.

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quantock girl Newbie

quantock girl

Posted
  • Location: West Somerset
  • Location: West Somerset
Posted

If any of these silly models even come off by 20% we are still in with a lot of snow. If they upgrade or even verify then i fear the UK would be screwed.

Possibly some very nasty weather.

Some of those charts on the model forum are truly epic.

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

I fear for the sanity of the mod thread if the gfs 18z doesn't show something similar to the ecm, if it's another mild (outlier) get ready for the usual wrist slashing and game over posts just like it was in there after the overnight gfs.

I never understand that myself. Everyone ( I hope ) knows that the GFS isn't the be-all and end all. It will eventually fall in line. But its been proven time and time again that it doesn't handle these events well.

I do say not to bin it however, but at least take that into mind before worrying too much.

Its pretty much nailed on that it will get cold. thats for certain..

For how long? Thats the question.. Possibly for a while..

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Bristawl Si Maestro

Bristawl Si

Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
Posted

yep just to confirm its not being shown atm, but is a risk in my experience. Embedded cold and snow on the ground will help enourmously.

It is as good as gets for us Steve, would like to see it at T72 though...:)

72 minutes more like!

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Polar Bear Community Regular

Polar Bear

Posted
  • Location: Newbury
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and snow but not together
  • Location: Newbury
Posted

It's coming! We are getting all the snow we should of had in the 90's & 00's all at once next week!

Exciting times, although in all seriousness, the ECM is extremely unlikely to verify to that extreme!

.

AWD hold fire soldier... We need calm in the ranks... ;) ......

( Really and Quietly am deeply excited but soo worried it is still a way to go and suddenly we get a huge rain event or only two flakes) ... Been bitten before see.. ;) x

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minus 9 Contributor

minus 9

Posted
  • Location: newent glos. 50 metres asl
  • Location: newent glos. 50 metres asl
Posted

I posted earlier in the week. Im going snowboarding on the 12th jan to italy. Why does it always snow here when i go away. Its happens every time i go. I think i would rather stay here if the charts turn out right. Gutted i could miss a snow fest.

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divadee Enthusiast

divadee

Posted
  • Location: Poole
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Hot Sun (but not at the same time!) 57m asl
  • Location: Poole
Posted

It's too exciting for me all this model watching. The ups and downs are going to give me heart trouble!

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