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Roger J Smith

January 2013 CET (2012/13 Competition)

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Hello, this has not appeared yet which makes it possible to start off with the averages and extremes table ...

Table of January CET averages and extremes

(this will appear again with all your entries added on New Years Day)

11.6 .. warmest daily CET mean (3rd, 1932 and 23rd, 1834)

8.0 ..

7.9

7.8

7.7

7.6

7.5 ... warmest January (1916)

7.4

7.3 ... second warmest (1796 & 1921)

7.2

7.1 ... fourth warmest (1934)

7.0 ... fifth warmest, and warmest since 1934 (2007)

6.9

6.8

6.7

6.6

6.5

6.4

6.3 ..

6.2 ..

6.1

6.0 ..

5.9 ..

5.8 ..

5.7 ..

5.6 ..

5.5 ..

5.4 .. 2012

5.3 ..

5.2 ..

5.1 ..

5.0 ..

4.9 ..

4.8 ..

4.7 .. --- average 2001-12 ---- (4.65)

4.6 ..

4.5 ..

4.4 .. --- average 1981-2010 -----

4.3 ..

4.2 .. --- average 1971-2000 -----

4.1 ..

4.0 ..

3.9 .. --- average 1901-2000 ----

3.8 .. --- average 1961-1990 -----

3.7 ..

3.6 ...

3.5 ..

3.4 ..

3.3

3.2 .. --- average 1659-2012 ----- (3.24)

3.1 ..

3.0 ... --- average 1801-1900 ----

2.9 .. --- average 1701-1800 ----

2.8 ..

2.7

2.6 ... --- average 1659-1700 ----

2.5 ..

2.4 ..

2.3 ...

2.2 ...

2.1 ...

2.0 ...

1.9 ..

1.8 ..

1.7 ...

1.6 ...

1.5 ...

1.4 ... coldest past 25 yrs (2010)

1.3 ...

1.2 ...

1.1 ..

1.0 ...

0.9 ...

0.8 ... coldest past 30 yrs (1985, 1987)

0.7 ...

0.6 ...

0.5 ...

0.4 ...

0.3 ...

0.2 ...

0.1 ...

0.0 ...

-0.1

-0.2

-0.3

-0.4 ... last subzero (1979)

-0.5

-0.6

-0.7

-0.8

-0.9

-1.0 ... twelfth coldest (1695)

-1.1

-1.2

-1.3

-1.4 ... eleventh coldest (1940)

-1.5 ... tied for eighth coldest (1709, 1838, 1881)

-1.6 ... seventh coldest (1776)

-1.7

-1.8

-1.9

-2.0 ... sixth coldest (1716)

-2.1 ... fifth coldest, and coldest 20th century (1963)

-2.2

-2.3

-2.4

-2.5

-2.6

-2.7

-2.8 ... fourth coldest (1740)

-2.9 ... third coldest (1814)

-3.0 ... second coldest (1684)

-3.1 ... coldest January or month (1795)

-7.7 ... coldest daily CET mean past 30 yrs (12th, 1987)

-8.4 ... coldest daily CET mean in past 50 yrs (23rd, 1963)

-11.9 ... coldest daily CET mean, 20th 1838

_______________________________________________

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I'll take -1.3 please. Gut tells me its going to be a cold one overall.

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Mild to very mild. 6.2C is my guess. PV over Greenland not moving, going to ignore strat signals as I don't see any major correlation, mild SW'erlies dominating the month with little cold or snow on offer.

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6.1C, typical modern January, looks drier thankfully for the flooded areas, could well be looking at an exceptionally mild first week, then I reckon cooling off to average

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Well i think we are going to get cold so -0.2 c bring on the stratosphere

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5.8 be my guess, some 9-11 days here and there, a few ice days possible too. Wild ride, real cold delayed to Feb.

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Mild to very mild. 6.2C is my guess. PV over Greenland not moving, going to ignore strat signals as I don't see any major correlation, mild SW'erlies dominating the month with little cold or snow on offer.

?

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3.8. Cold slowly building through the first half of the month leading to a memorable last week/first week of Feb.

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2.5C please.

Mild first half, followed by a very cold second half due to stratospheric conditions. A Greenie High setting up shop with some very cold temperatures, not giving up into February.

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Probably a bit of everything, leaving an average month (keeping fingers crossed it's not too wet). Let's say 4.3.

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well i think jan gona be a mild one. So for me 6.5. Hope i'm way off mark with my prodiction. Happy christmas and new year every1.

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Well the present pattern looks set to last a while. So 5.3C

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Not done this before... Mild start and then getting cooler so I'll have a punt at 4.0°C

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thinking higher pressure with more TM than PM, so fairly mild overall, but chance of a colder end to the month. So going for 4.6

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