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Roger J Smith

Severe wind gusts likely Sunday morning (23rd) n Wales n England s Scotland

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Heads up, the trough that has just crossed Ireland has produced severe wind gusts from about Galway to Dublin and across much of inland counties in a zone about 100 miles wide, and from the models I expect the same results in north Wales shortly and across northern England and southern Scotland about 0600-0900h. Gusts to 71 kts were reported at Mace Head on Galway Bay at 0100h and weather spotters have been posting numerous reports of trees down, tiles off roofs and houses shaking in very strong winds all across Ireland through the early morning hours.

The system looks capable of producing wind gusts to 80 and perhaps 90 kts in wind-prone locations in north Wales and northern England and it is oriented for lee wave development in northeast England which I would expect to peak around 0900h (all winds from a westerly direction basically the trough starts out with WSW 40-60 mph then peaks at W 50-80, subsides a bit to WNW 40-70 later).

So if you're in the zone between about B'ham and Glasgow, and especially if you're exposed to a west wind, either you were woken up by this windstorm or you're about to get it. Should last 3-6 hours then ease off gradually. Some squally hail showers may accompany especially over hills.

The effects on south Wales likely to be more in the 30-50 mph range and similar across south Midlands to east Anglia, and some parts of southern England may not feel much if any increase in the general 25-45 mph wind speeds, although I imagine exposed locations near the Channel may see gusts towards 60 mph but the main impact of this will be in north Wales, northern England.

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Blowing like hell here, got woken up just before 5am by some fierce gusts which rattled the roof tiles and screaming over the chimney. I'm setting off for Edinburgh at 8.30am, should be interesting!

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Already been and gone throuh Wales I think, was seriously windy a few hours ago, woke me up and came as a bit of a surprise.

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Been awake for a few hours now thanks to the noise made by tiles coming off the roof and all the usual noise you get with strong winds. Tbh, its been the first time its been like this all autumn/winter here in Ayrshire, the rest of the time it's just been pouring down or if we're lucky, frosty.

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42mph winds overnight for us in the Peak District, quite disconcerning when you have a hangover and the roof is creaking under the strain of some of these gusts. The more remarkable aspect was the temperature gradient however, 11.5'c overnight here and yet it never felt like it was cold even with added 'windchill' or what should have been.

Foehn winds downrange of Snowdonia mostly to thank for this.

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Didn't look overly bad TBH, was it worse than a usual Winter blow?

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Nothing noteworthy here this morning although it was certainly windy. Recorded a mean speed of 36 mph around 0800 with a maximum gust of 56 mph.

It was still averaging 30 mph at 0900 but has since decreased to around 18 mph.

2012 has been yet another in the recent run of years with few gales. It's also an indication of highly anomalous pressure patterns that a very wet year is also one with few gales. In the 60s, 70s and 80s wet years were generally windy and zonal years with a high gale frequency.

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