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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - December 19th 2012>

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With some imminent very wet and possibly windy weather on its way to our part of the World in the next 3 days, here's a new thread to discuss local weather and regional meteorological observations.

I hope that everyone remains dry and flood free.

Data and chat from the lead-up to this (and other local conversation) can still be viewed here:

http://forum.netweat...mber-12th-2012/

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Here's a few that give concern, but it's on its way now anyway as I listen to it lashing against the office windows:

post-6667-0-49218300-1355933207_thumb.gi post-6667-0-46540600-1355903631_thumb.jp

post-6667-0-45056300-1355902531_thumb.pn post-6667-0-40044100-1355902488_thumb.pn

post-6667-0-29769800-1355845266_thumb.pn post-6667-0-08119700-1355832324_thumb.pn

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Guess who got caught out in the heavy rain? Yep me! Boy is it coming down and this is just the start! Something keeps saying in my head "I'm glad this is not snow" because the travel chaos it would cause would be far greater than the flooding it could cause. BUT floods could be more damaging :( so can't win! Wait and see, pray that everybody stays flood free (some how I doubt that) :(

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Putting the bins out in the porring rain I come face to face with a ruddy big fox didn't care I was umming and ahhhhring about puting the bag down or running back into the house I must have looked so stupid talking to mr fox asking him to move so I can put my bag down ! Hurry up with the snow please so I can at least know if any foxes are about by their paw prints

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http://www.weathercharts.org/ukmomslp.htm#top

thursday

very wet south west

heavy rain moving through the south east through the day

friday starts dry

heavy rain moving in late overnight

and should clear early afternoon

friday night

looks dry

saturday

starts dry heavy rain starts around mid-day

clears the south east by late afternoon

i have a feeling these show less of a flooding problem at present

more sw issue at present

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Yellow Warning of Rain for London & South East England :

Bracknell Forest, Buckinghamshire, Greater London, Hampshire, Isle of Wight, Milton Keynes, Oxfordshire, Portsmouth, Reading, Slough, Southampton, Surrey, West Berkshire, West Sussex, Windsor and Maidenhead & Wokingham

Yellow Warning of Rain for East of England :

Bedford, Cambridgeshire, Central Bedfordshire, Hertfordshire & Luton

Periods of heavy rain are expected to affect parts of S and SE Wales along with SW and parts of central southern England during Wednesday evening and at times well into Thursday. This additional rainfall, following the recent wet weather, means that the public should be prepared for an increased risk of both surface water and river flooding.

valid from 0005 Thu 20 Dec to 1800 Thu 20 Dec

Issued at: 1344 on Wed 19 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?regionName=se&from=rss&sn=32039319-64F2-6615-B87C-ADC123878CBD_7_SE&tab=map&map=Warnings&zoom=7&lon=-0.50&lat=51.35&fcTime=1355832060

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http://www.weatherch...kmomslp.htm#top

thursday

very wet south west

heavy rain moving through the south east through the day

friday starts dry

heavy rain moving in late overnight

and should clear early afternoon

friday night

looks dry

saturday

starts dry heavy rain starts around mid-day

clears the south east by late afternoon

i have a feeling these show less of a flooding problem at present

more sw issue at present

Thanks for this John, I'm glad that there seems to be less of a problem for some. Do you think it still might downgrade over the next few hours?

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Thanks for this John, I'm glad that there seems to be less of a problem for some. Do you think it still might downgrade over the next few hours?

hi chilli

the flood issue is still there

however saturdays fax reduced to amount of troughs

the south west dont look too clever

will de a proper update later

i hope these downgrade the amount of rain in the next run

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Well it chucked it down on the way home. I was leaving a good gap between me and the car in front and idiot drivers kept jumping in it and then slamming their brakes on so that I nearly went into the back of them about 4 times on the way homediablo.gif

Only just noticed the xmassy themed logo!

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lets look at 120 on the charts

ecm

ECM1-120.GIF?19-0

ukmo

UW120-21.GIF?19-18

gfs

gfs-0-120.png?12

gem

gem-0-120.png?12

jma

J120-21.GIF?19-12

now the ensembles

MT8_London_ens.png

fi is on the 24th

the charts do not match and the spread on the ensembles is still there

although very little chance of a white xmas now what happens after is still uncertain

update the fax charts later

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Had 3mm of rain from the heavy pulse of rain that recently passed through.

Weather not looking too great in the next few days with a wet weekend likely too, particularly Saturday.

GFS 12z precip. accumilation up to Sunday:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs9614.gif

Feel very sorry for those in the south-west, sadly more flooding is likely in parts of the south-west over the next few days.

Further out to this Christmas period, at the moment it is looking likely LP will dominate the weather, temperatures around average with the risk of rain and windy conditions at times.

GFS for Christmas Day: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1441.png

... and ECM: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1441.gif

Not mild but certainly not the Christmas weather we are all after!

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Been raining here non stop for a good 3-4 hours now :/

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Does anyone in stevenage know the wind speed? It's howling down my chimney all of a sudden !

About 10mph with gusts up to 20mph

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