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Scotland Regional Discussion - January Part 2

lorenzo

By lorenzo
in Spring Weather Discussion

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Big Innes Madori Community Regular

Big Innes Madori

Posted
  • Location: The Highlands of West Fife. 650ft ASL. Nr Knockhill Racing Circuit
  • Weather Preferences: Hot N' Sunny / Cauld N' Snawy
  • Location: The Highlands of West Fife. 650ft ASL. Nr Knockhill Racing Circuit
Posted

Is this the model thread?

:whistling:

Aye SS, I also thought ah wiz in the wrong thread :whistling:

Come on guy's nae model mooding in here eh :D

Big Innes

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edo Accomplished

edo

Posted
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers Snowy Winters Stormy Autumns
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
Posted (edited)

I will not feed the troll

I will not feed the troll

I will not feed the troll

I will not feed the troll

I will not feed the troll

Right stay calm CSS there is every chance that it will all change again on the next run....we all expected a wobble....if the next run is good that will be 3 out of 4 and if we get 75% decent runs everyday that favours the snow and cold u would take that.......tonight i predict whilst on lampost watch the cold will run again on the models and I will see the first few flakes of the cold snap....just went out to the garage and a very noticeable change in the feel of the air...

Its only the weather so lets chillllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll in -8 uppers tomorrow

Edited by edodfc
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A Winter's Tale Experienced

A Winter's Tale

Posted
  • Location: Bearsden, East Dunbartonshire
  • Location: Bearsden, East Dunbartonshire
Posted

Yes, all those negativity is in FI although there are some good trends for northern blocking later!

Let's look at the reliable 72hrs for Alba.

Right now there are showers out in the North Sea moving west.

12012921_2912.gif

Uppers are good enough for snow - I expect that those in the east will see one or two snow showers.

12013003_2912.gif

Those in the east coast may enjoy some snow showers out of this.

12013021_2912.gif

Snow for east coasters

12013109_2912.gif

Pretty good for those in the NE

h850t850eu.png

Not Bad, eh!

If everything just moved a bit further west then things could be pretty good.

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edo Accomplished

edo

Posted
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers Snowy Winters Stormy Autumns
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
Posted

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack0a.gif

fax looking good monday night into tuesday for east coast

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LomondSnowstorm Accomplished

LomondSnowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
Posted

http://www.wetterzen...ics/brack0a.gif

fax looking good monday night into tuesday for east coast

Very good, cold pooling around, at about -8/-10C, and it looks like it may stay intact whereas before it was a dead front going back but now it looks as though it's going to pick up moisture and head back reinvigorated. Could end up giving us a big dumping, I've seen similar charts turn out to bring major snowfalls. Equally it might be a complete let down, but at least we're in the ball park now.

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edo Accomplished

edo

Posted
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers Snowy Winters Stormy Autumns
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
Posted

Equally it might be a complete let down

LOL the forecasters sign off... :)

a dead front? is that technical or do you just mean one which lacks energy?

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edo Accomplished

edo

Posted
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers Snowy Winters Stormy Autumns
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
Posted

hmmmm 120 not quite as good but not a disaster....dont know how to embed these nice little picture links you do.....good week coming up im not looking beyond 120....and im not believing anything beyond t48 just now

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LomondSnowstorm Accomplished

LomondSnowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
Posted

LOL the forecasters sign off... :)

a dead front? is that technical or do you just mean one which lacks energy?

I've forgotten the name of it, but it's an occlusion that's still technically there but doesn't really act like an occlusion, it's got dotted lines.

Anyway, the easterly has been upgraded up to +96 hours from what at one point looked like a southeasterly drift. After that we'll just have to wait and see.

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A Winter's Tale Experienced

A Winter's Tale

Posted
  • Location: Bearsden, East Dunbartonshire
  • Location: Bearsden, East Dunbartonshire
Posted

Oh no!!!!!!!!!!! Atlantic wins on the ECM aswell. That's GFS, UKMO and ECM all agreeing on this!

GP must feel like kicking something!

warfgif.gif

Now get on your bick Scandi Hi and get us a Greenie Hi!

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Isolated Frost Rising Star

Isolated Frost

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: cold
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted

Awww. TWS says game over for a sustained easterly

I'm sure these gifs may be funny- but there is no need for the same ones-- people can view this thread by phone and it can make it very hard for them. Also, you've made quite a few posts on other peoples' reactions to the model output- and models in general, without looking at the next 96 hours. I think some calm is needed- remember mesoscale is the best way to go.

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Isolated Frost Rising Star

Isolated Frost

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: cold
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted

Oh no!!!!!!!!!!! Atlantic wins on the ECM aswell. That's GFS, UKMO and ECM all agreeing on this!

GP must feel like kicking something!

Why? The technical outlook looks very positive, I'm sure GP doesn't follow every NWP output and base his opinions on them- the background signals are very good.

Also.. the gif...

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A Winter's Tale Experienced

A Winter's Tale

Posted
  • Location: Bearsden, East Dunbartonshire
  • Location: Bearsden, East Dunbartonshire
Posted

Why? The technical outlook looks very positive, I'm sure GP doesn't follow every NWP output and base his opinions on them- the background signals are very good.

Also.. the gif...

Thanks! very encouraging to hear.

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Hiya Contributor

Hiya

Posted
  • Location: New York City
  • Location: New York City
Posted

People have been getting far too ahead of themselves on this cold spell, cross model support was only ever been outliers! Then the inevitable disappointment, even the 12z is a cold outlier! 3 days of coldish weather then back to the usual rubbish.

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A Winter's Tale Experienced

A Winter's Tale

Posted
  • Location: Bearsden, East Dunbartonshire
  • Location: Bearsden, East Dunbartonshire
Posted (edited)

post-2839-0-01898400-1327862618_thumb.pngBOOM! WHAT A BOMB THAT BOM IS!

Gosh, I really need to remind myself of the potential the coming days have in store with the easterly. It'll be fun to watch :)

Edited by Isolated Frost
Ahem, have you ignored my posts?
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over_the_rainbow Enthusiast

over_the_rainbow

Posted
  • Location: Huntingtower, Perthshire
  • Weather Preferences: appropriately seasonal
  • Location: Huntingtower, Perthshire
Posted

Edodfc I appear to have missed some precipitation falling outside whilst in Delia mode, as the ground etc is damp.....was it rain or sleet?

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igloo Enthusiast

igloo

Posted
  • Location: near dalmellington E ayrshire 302m asl
  • Weather Preferences: mediterranean summer
  • Location: near dalmellington E ayrshire 302m asl
Posted

still quite a bit of snaw lying here after thursdays heavy fall.more today but was light and never lay with a day high of 1.2c.this week looks like the western parts could well see severe frosts and eastern areas could get lucky and get a few snaw showers but nothing really special on the cards

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Northernlights Maestro

Northernlights

Posted
  • Location: N.E. Scotland South Side Moray Firth 100m asl
  • Location: N.E. Scotland South Side Moray Firth 100m asl
Posted

Doors on the east side of the steading tonight rattling away in a fresh wind always a sign of a wind from a cold direction.Currently 1c

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edo Accomplished

edo

Posted
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers Snowy Winters Stormy Autumns
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
Posted (edited)

Edodfc I appear to have missed some precipitation falling outside whilst in Delia mode, as the ground etc is damp.....was it rain or sleet?

lol well i have spent all afernoon on phone to virgin and sorting my broadband...seen the message with someone asking about any reports and thought better go look out....same discovery as you lol....i suspect has been very light rain....blinds now fully open and laptop repositioned.... temp stil sitting at 3 though would like to see that drop fairly soon but to be honest looking more like midnight till will turn to snow here and there is little action on the radar just now...although on raintoday it does show at 7.50 and 9ish light falls of sleet however it has a programmed se flow and for the last hour here the wind is direct east!!

Edited by edodfc
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Hairy Celt Maestro

Hairy Celt

Posted
  • Location: NH7256
  • Weather Preferences: where's my vote?
  • Location: NH7256
Posted (edited)

Is this the model thread?

:whistling:

Model mood thread more like! Du calme, du calme.

lol well i have spent all afernoon on phone to virgin [...]

Hmm, and which virgin was that? Does she need warning about your fertility?

Lovely cold & clear day here today, no wind to speak of and the firth was almost bottle like for a while.

Edited by Hairy Celt
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edo Accomplished

edo

Posted
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers Snowy Winters Stormy Autumns
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
Posted

Model mood thread more like! Du calme, du calme.

Hmm, and which virgin was that? Does she need warning about your fertility?

Lovely cold & clear day here today, no wind to speak of and the firth was almost bottle like for a while.

GLOL HC yer a disgrace big man.... my last virgin was 1992 that has to be a whole other thread :p

I too am concerned at the mood swings in here as i was attracted to this place by the chill out attitude, passion for weather and love of off topic posts and funny people like you and many others.....

anyway I dont believe the firth looked like a bottle..if it did you would have drunk it by noo :drunk:

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