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Posted
  • Location: Reading, Berkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Hot & Thundery or Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Reading, Berkshire

    A quick response to my own question, just done a bit of quick research and the Super Tuesday Outbreak in 2008 in saw two EF4 tornadoes rip through Alabama between 9.00 - 11.00am

    Edited by Supercell 89
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    Really ? His Icon is showing him North West of Paducah about 250 miles to the North West of Huntsville. He must have a custom made Lear Jet this year

    Wedge tornado photo'd near Borden, Indiana before crossing I65

    Looks like another active few weeks coming up if some of the models are to be believed. Temperatures more akin to Middle to Late April and moisture returning. Could be some decent Virtual Chases over

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

    CLAY, Ala.—Violent weather including possible tornadoes roared across the heart of Alabama on Monday, killing two people and injuring more than 100 others. Searchers went door-to-door calling out to residents, some of whom lived along a path near the deadly twisters that devastated the area last year.

    The storms flattened homes, knocked down trees and peeled off roofs in the middle of the night in the rural community of Oak Grove, which was also touched by the storm last April. The area near Birmingham has a history of being a tornado alley going back decades. Two people are dead and more than 100 wounded in the south after a line of damaging storms struck. There have been 24 reports of tornadoes in the last 24 hours. It's very rare to see this many tornadoes in the month of January.

    Alabama's governor, Robert Bentley, declared a state of emergency for all 67 counties. He said the declaration authorizes the Alabama Emergency Management Agency and other state agencies to assist communities and make assessments of damage. Last April, tornadoes killed about 240 people state wide, though officials said none of the same neighborhoods was struck again. This storm hit several miles from where the spring twister struck.

    Posted Image

    Amber Butler and her family hid in her sister's brick home as the storm approached about 3:30 a.m. Ms. Butler's own home was destroyed. "I am just so speechless now, I don't know what to do," she said. "God Bless our friends and neighbors who have come to help. We've lost everything we had." Butler lived near 83-year-old Bobby Frank Sims, who was killed when his home was leveled by a tree.

    In Clay, northeast of Birmingham, 16-year-old Christina Nicole Heichelbech died, the Jefferson County coroner's office said. Rescue workers said her parents were injured. "Some roads are impassable, there are a number of county roads where you have either debris down, trees down, damage from homes," said Yasamie Richardson, a spokeswoman for the Alabama Emergency Management Agency.

    The storm system stretched from the Great Lakes to the Gulf of Mexico, producing hail, strong winds and rain. Possible tornadoes were reported in Arkansas on Sunday night. Jefferson County, where Oak Grove and Clay are located, suffered the most damage, followed by Chilton County, with most of the damage around Maplesville.

    Posted Image

    Oak Grove, a sprawling unincorporated area in the western part of the county, was nearly wiped out on April 8, 1998, by a powerful tornado that killed 34 people and left about 260 people injured. It spread a wide path of destruction that left much of the previously heavily wooded western section of the county looking barren. The tornado destroyed Oak Grove High School, which has been rebuilt. This general section of Jefferson County has been infamous for destructive tornadoes dating back to the 1930s.

    State Climatologist John Christy said there seems to be a general path from central Mississippi going into north Alabama that gets attention for a large number of tornadoes—and their intensity. One theory has to do with the distance from the Gulf of Mexico, just far enough to be affected by cold air coming from the north. "It's the frequency and intensity of the storms that tend to align on this corridor," said Mr. Christy, a professor at the University of Alabama in Huntsville.

    http://online.wsj.co...how_overlay_mod

    Video: http://online.wsj.co...cleTabs%3Dvideo

    post-6667-0-07251300-1327395786_thumb.jp

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    Posted
  • Location: Rugby, Warks
  • Weather Preferences: Dangerous
  • Location: Rugby, Warks

    A quick response to my own question, just done a bit of quick research and the Super Tuesday Outbreak in 2008 in saw two EF4 tornadoes rip through Alabama between 9.00 - 11.00am

    I am not sure how rare these instances of mid-late morning outbreaks are (maybe Mr. Sherman can shed some light), but there are occasions when the conditions are right.

    On a much less impressive scale, I had my first severe morning storm about 5 years ago. It was bizarre. The lightning strike rates were scary and the rainfall really intense. This was all happening at around 8 am.

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    Posted
  • Location: Bicester Oxfordshire
  • Location: Bicester Oxfordshire

    The early Initiation around Pine Bluff is along the Cold Front, the real action should be after dark from the lifting Warm Front further east over towards Memphis. But yes if you wanted some Pre Dark structure (If you can call it that in Arkansas) with Shelf's then further West would have been the play.

    Btw these should run pretty close to where Pat is living now (Missouri Bootheel) I wonder if he has his eyes peeled this evening :help::rofl:

    had a message from Pat today he was a bit too north for tornados but did manage a lot of excellent lightning photos and knowing Pat there will be some insane photos amongst them :clapping: Edited by gpspete
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    Posted
  • Location: Rushden, East Northamptonshire
  • Location: Rushden, East Northamptonshire

    I'm in Houston at the minute - looks like an interesting 24 hours ahead - more like an April setup. Warm front moved through about lunchtime introducing very humid air and high dew points from the Gulf of Mexico. Thunderstorms have developed to the north, currently affecting the Dallas area. Main action is from tomorrow morning right through the day, where a severe squall line will get set up and a tornado risk. I'll have a good view of the action, my own office is on the 19th floor of a skyscraper with unrestricted views over the suburban sprawl of western Houston! More here http://www.weather.com/newscenter/stormwatch/

    Thank god for the weather channel because there's f**k all else worth watching.

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    Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)

    Yep, some slight risks over next few days for the Gulf states, some reports of golf ball size hail north of Houston in the evening.

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    Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria

    NOAA have a tornado watch in force over Texas.

    TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND

    GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE

    AREAS.

    http://www.spc.noaa....tch/ww0013.html

    Edited by Liam J
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    Posted
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Severe Weather events
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire
    Yup, am seeing a number of warnings for Austin, Texas - tornado, flood & "dangerous thunderstorms" :mellow:
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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
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    Posted
  • Location: Rushden, East Northamptonshire
  • Location: Rushden, East Northamptonshire

    AT 1110 AM CST... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MISSOURI CITY... MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

    Thats only about 5 miles away from where am I now!

    http://www.weather.com/weather/alerts/localalerts/USTX0617?phenomena=TO&significance=W&areaid=TXC201&office=KHGX&etn=0018

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    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

    Nice Hook on radar - What direction are you from the tornadic part of the (line) of Storms

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    Posted
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Severe Weather events
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire
    Just noticed there is a warning out for Shreveport/West & South Louisiana/Southeast Texas for tornadoes, thunder, hail to 1" (ouch) & "dangerous lightning" (when isn't it dangerous??)
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    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

    Just noticed there is a warning out for Shreveport/West & South Louisiana/Southeast Texas for tornadoes, thunder, hail to 1" (ouch) & "dangerous lightning" (when isn't it dangerous??)

    Pah

    Thats baby hail - May Tornado season we have warnings for Gorilla Sized Hail (5" +) Now that hurts! :rofl:

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    Posted
  • Location: Rushden, East Northamptonshire
  • Location: Rushden, East Northamptonshire

    Tornado warning expired for here now with the threat moving eastwards, rain almost stopped. Quite a drop in temperature from 23C at 10am to 16C now. An interesting few hours!

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    Posted
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Severe Weather events
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire

    Pah

    Thats baby hail - May Tornado season we have warnings for Gorilla Sized Hail (5" +) Now that hurts! :rofl:

    Rofl! I look forward to seeing your photo's / video's of hundreds of gorillas chasing you across the usa! :rofl:

    Just seen this update on facebook:

    Reed Timmer: Meteorologist and Extreme Storm Chaser -Atmosphere is destabilizing ahead of the squall line moving into western Louisiana, with no cap now across all of central/southern LA and 300+ m2/s2 helciities. Tornado potential is increasing in this area.

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    Posted
  • Location: Rugby, Warks
  • Weather Preferences: Dangerous
  • Location: Rugby, Warks

    Pah

    Thats baby hail - May Tornado season we have warnings for Gorilla Sized Hail (5" +) Now that hurts! :rofl:

    I am still waiting for a few dents to appear in my tin hat. Got the nine iron ready too. http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/wink.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

    Surprisingly powerful storms early Wednesday caused a tornado that ravaged an industrial park and parts of a neighborhood in Northeast Austin, as well as floods, power outages, water rescues, school closures and destruction across Central Texas and much of the state. Residents throughout the Walnut Place neighborhood off Springdale Road and U.S. 290 had widespread damage, as the tornado uprooted trees that toppled cars and homes, launching roofs and insulation into the air and sending wayward branches and debris into the streets. Somehow, no injuries were reported.

    "It was like a jet engine taking off," said homeowner Louis Ramirez, 60. "It didn't even last a minute. It shattered windows — my chimney is gone — knocked down fences and mangled my satellite dish like a toothpick." The tornado touched down near Old Manor Road and Commercial Park Drive and ended its destructive path on Sansom Road and Ferguson Lane about 1¼ miles away, National Weather Service forecaster Jim Ellis said. He said forecasters are reviewing photos of the damage to determine the tornado's strength.

    Ellis said tornadoes are not uncommon in Travis County but that they usually occur in the springtime or fall and are rare in January. On Tuesday night, forecasters predicted severe weather with about 2 inches of rain or more in the Austin area. But as the storms moved across Central Texas early Wednesday, record amounts of rain drenched the area.

    At Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, 5.67 inches of rain fell between midnight and midmorning, more than on any day in 2011, forecasters said. At Camp Mabry, 3.1 inches fell. Creedmoor saw 7 inches, the highest total in Travis County, weather service forecaster Pat McDonald said. Cedar Creek in Bastrop County saw 7.2 inches, he said. On Commercial Park Drive in Northeast Austin, the tornado ripped through several businesses, turning one building inside out, ripping up roofs, knocking down walls and throwing air-conditioning units into the roadway. Aztec Marking Co. was destroyed, and the nearby National Trench Safety building was severely damaged. Four buildings belonging to LTD Materials were also heavily damaged, officials said.

    Jim Galemore, owner of the 37-year-old Aztec business, which makes real estate signs, said he had just put his 15,000-square-foot property up for sale two weeks ago. Now Galemore, 65, is awaiting word from his insurance company on what to do next. "That tornado took the roof, took down the walls," he said. "The building is a total loss." The company was moving most of its business operations to offices in Kansas and no longer had employees working at the Commercial Park location, he said. Total damage to the area was estimated at $1.5 million, including $350,000 to Aztec Marking, $500,000 to National Trench and $600,000 to LTD Materials, Fire Department officials said.

    High-water caused numerous road closures, mostly at low-water crossing areas, across the area. Trees were blown over, fences were knocked down and several businesses sustained heavy damage in Travis County. STAR Flight helicopters were dispatched about 10 times between 4 a.m. and 8 a.m. for various water rescues and searches. One person in Bastrop County and another in Caldwell County were rescued, said Travis County sheriff's office spokesman Roger Wade.

    Some roads and freeways were flooded in Houston by midday, and the Houston school district canceled all after-school activities. The weather service planned to survey damage in downtown Brenham, about 60 miles northwest of Houston, and in Pearland after reports of possible tornadoes. To the south, areas near San Antonio had more than 9 inches of rain. Several roads in Bastrop County, including parts of FM 535 and FM 812, experienced severe flooding that lasted long after the rains ended.

    Bastrop County Emergency Management Coordinator Mike Fisher spent Wednesday assessing the damage to roads, bridges, culverts and guard rails. "It's still unfolding, but I can say we've got lots and lots of damage," Fisher said. Bastrop County is still in its recovery phase from the devastating September wildfires, and Fisher said Tuesday's heavy rain will have an environmental impact. "This doesn't help. The erosion in the burned areas is significant. Soil has washed away. Culverts are clogged with silt and debris," he said.

    http://www.statesman.com/news/local/storm-produces-tornado-in-northeast-austin-damage-from-2126332.html

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    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

    Lovely Little Set-Up this today...............But could be just too late in the day for anything Picture wise as things might not kick off until 01z (7pm) and it gets dark by about 630pm this time of year down there.

    Anyhow an MD Has been Issued with a risk of Tornadoes (Very Small Window) but mainly for a Supercell / Large Hail Threat

    Chase wise, amazing chase country in the Southern Texas Panhandle and Western Oklahoma!

    MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0091

    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

    0344 PM CST THU FEB 02 2012

    AREAS AFFECTED...NRN PORTIONS OF WRN TX THROUGH TX PANHANDLE AND WRN

    OK

    CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

    VALID 022144Z - 022345Z

    THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FARTHER SWD OVER PORTIONS OF

    THE TX PANHANDLE BY 00-01Z AND EVENTUALLY INTO WRN OK THIS EVENING.

    INITIAL PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE SUPERCELLS WITH ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.

    HOWEVER...A WINDOW WILL EXIST DURING THE EARLY EVENING FOR ISOLATED

    TORNADOES FROM THE SRN TX PANHANDLE INTO NWRN TX AND SWRN OK. AREA

    WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW BY 23-00Z.

    WV AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS DATA SHOW AN UPPER JET STREAK FROM SRN AZ

    THROUGH SRN AND ERN NM WITHIN BASE OF TROUGH SITUATED OVER THE CNTRL

    AND SRN ROCKIES. MID-UPPER ASCENT WITHIN THE EXIT REGION OF THIS

    FEATURE AND WITHIN STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT IS PROMOTING

    DEVELOPMENT OF ELEVATED CONVECTION FROM NERN MN INTO THE TX AND OK

    PANHANDLES. THIS AREA REMAINS WELL NORTH OF GREATER MOISTURE AND

    INSTABILITY ACROSS W-CNTRL AND WRN TX...AND AS A RESULT IS EXPECTED

    TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS NEXT COUPLE HOURS.

    LLJ IS STRENGTHENING OVER WRN TX WITHIN UPPER JET EXIT REGION AND IS

    CONTRIBUTING TO MOISTURE ADVECTION AND NWD DESTABILIZATION. STORMS

    SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSIFY THIS EVENING FROM PORTIONS

    OF THE TX PANHANDLE...NWRN TX AND WRN OK AS THE ATMOSPHERE

    DESTABILIZES NWD WITH TIME. STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WITH

    LARGE 0-2 KM HODOGRAPHS WILL SUPPORT A FEW SUPERCELLS...BUT SOME OF

    THE ACTIVITY MAY EVOLVE INTO LINE/BOWING SEGMENTS. A WINDOW MAY

    EXIST FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AS STORMS DEVELOP ON NRN FRINGE OF

    GREATER MOISTURE RETURN AND BEFORE ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING.

    OTHERWISE...ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL BE THE MAIN

    THREATS.

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    Posted
  • Location: South West London
  • Weather Preferences: Stormy
  • Location: South West London

    MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0100

    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

    0942 AM CST FRI FEB 03 2012

    AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN THROUGH CNTRL OK

    CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 24...

    VALID 031542Z - 031645Z

    THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 24 CONTINUES.

    WW 24 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 16Z. MOST STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS

    OK INTO NWRN TX WILL PROBABLY REMAIN SUB-SEVERE DURING MUCH OF THE

    MORNING. HOWEVER...STORMS MAY INTENSIFY BY MID DAY OR THIS AFTERNOON

    WHEN ANOTHER WW MAY BE NEEDED.

    STORMS CONTINUE DEVELOPING THIS MORNING ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT

    EXTENDS FROM A SURFACE LOW IN WRN OK SWWD THROUGH WRN TX. OTHER

    STORMS ARE DEVELOPING INTO CNTRL AND NRN OK WITHIN WARM ADVECTION

    REGIME AND NORTH OF A CONVECTIVELY REINFORCED WARM FRONT. VWP DATA

    INDICATE SIZEABLE 0-1 KM HODOGRAPHS ALONG LLJ AXIS.

    HOWEVER...MORNING RAOB DATA INDICATE A STABLE LAYER NEAR THE SFC

    SUGGESTING THE EFFECTIVE INFLOW LAYER REMAINS ABOVE THE STRONGER LOW

    LEVEL SHEAR. STORMS WILL LIKELY BE SLOW TO INTENSIFY DUE TO

    WIDESPREAD STRATUS THAT WILL LIMIT BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING.

    HOWEVER...SOME OF THE LOW CLOUDS MAY BEGIN TO MIX OUT FROM THE SW

    LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON WHICH WOULD CONTRIBUTE TO

    BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION AND STORM INTENSIFICATION. IF THIS

    OCCURS...THREAT WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS WITH

    ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND...HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

    Will fire up GRL3 when I get in and track this one! Start getting some practice in!

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    • 2 weeks later...
    Posted
  • Location: Wickham, S Hampshire, UK
  • Location: Wickham, S Hampshire, UK

    I can't start a new thread so I'm posting in here.

    http://www.newson6.com/story/16678514/storm-chaser-killed-in-wrong-way-turnpike-accident

    I was very upset to learn today that chaser and photographer Andy Gabrielson was killed in a car accident in Oklahoma last week.

    Andy was very well known on the chasing circuit and a regular poster in Stormtrack. He also captured some of the best footage I have ever seen and his nowcasting skills and willingness to stretch the boundaries meant he was often in the sweet spot. Andy was just short of 25yrs old.

    I should add that the accident was not chasing related.

    He leaves a 3-yr old daughter. RIP Andy.

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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

    Got a Slight risk warning out for Day 3:

    SPC AC 160820

    DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

    0220 AM CST THU FEB 16 2012

    VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

    ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SAT AND SAT NIGHT ACROSS MUCH

    OF THE CNTRL AND ERN GULF STATES THRU THE S ATLANTIC COAST STATES...

    ...SYNOPSIS...

    MODELS CONTINUE TO DISPLAY CONSIDERABLE VARIABILITY CONCERNING SHORT

    WAVE DEVELOPMENTS WITHIN AT LEAST A COUPLE OF DISTINCT BRANCHES OF

    STRONGER FLOW THAT PERSIST ACROSS NORTH AMERICA. HOWEVER...A

    SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE IMPULSE LIFTING OUT OF THE NORTHERN MEXICAN

    PLATEAU ON FRIDAY APPEARS LIKELY TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING EAST

    NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES REGION ON SATURDAY. THIS

    IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY SUPPRESS SUBTROPICAL RIDGING CURRENTLY

    PRESENT...AND CONTRIBUTE TO SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS ALONG A STALLED

    SURFACE FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY 12Z

    SATURDAY.

    ALTHOUGH AT LEAST SUBTLE DIFFERENCES EXIST AMONG THE MODELS

    CONCERNING THE SPECIFICS OF THIS EVOLUTION...PARTICULARLY TO THE LEE

    OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...MOST GUIDANCE GENERALLY INDICATES

    THAT A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WILL MIGRATE INLAND ACROSS THE CENTRAL

    GULF COAST INTO NORTHERN/CENTRAL GEORGIA BY LATE SATURDAY EVENING.

    THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY A STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY 850

    MB JET IN EXCESS OF 50 KT...ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR OF THE

    CYCLONE...AS A STRONGLY DIFLUENT WEST/SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB JET

    STREAK...SHIFTING WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...STRENGTHENS IN EXCESS OF

    90 KTS.

    ...CNTRL/ERN GULF STATES INTO THE S ATLANTIC COAST STATES...

    DESPITE LINGERING UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING BOUNDARY LAYER

    DESTABILIZATION EVIDENT IN THE MODEL DATA...GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF

    THE DEVELOPING SYSTEM...IT APPEARS THAT A RELATIVELY MOIST BOUNDARY

    LAYER PRESENT OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD ADVECT INLAND WITHIN

    THE WARM SECTOR OF THE LOW. EVEN IF MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES DO NOT

    STEEPEN SUBSTANTIALLY...AS COLDER MID-LEVEL AIR PROBABLY WILL REMAIN

    DISPLACED TO THE WEST...SUFFICIENT CAPE IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT

    VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. IN THE PRESENCE OF WIND PROFILES

    EXHIBITING LARGE CLOCKWISE CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS AND STRONG

    DEEP LAYER SHEAR...THIS SHOULD PROVE FAVORABLE FOR AN ORGANIZED

    STORM CLUSTER...OR CLUSTERS...AS WELL AS DISCRETE SUPERCELLS.

    IT CURRENTLY SEEMS MOST PROBABLE THAT ONE LARGE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE

    SYSTEM COULD EVOLVE NEAR OR JUST EAST OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI

    VALLEY BY MID DAY SATURDAY...BEFORE ADVANCING EASTWARD ACROSS THE

    EASTERN GULF STATES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND

    EVENING. THIS PROBABLY WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE RISK FOR DAMAGING

    WINDS AND TORNADOES...WITH PERHAPS A MORE SIGNIFICANT TORNADIC

    THREAT IN DISCRETE SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT THAT APPEARS POSSIBLE JUST

    AHEAD OF THE LINE.

    SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT EASTWARD INTO THE

    CENTRAL/EASTERN CAROLINAS...BUT THE DETAILS ARE LESS CLEAR AS THE

    SURFACE CYCLONE EITHER MIGRATES NORTHWARD THROUGH THE PIEDMONT...OR

    REDEVELOPS EASTWARD ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN.

    ..KERR.. 02/16/2012

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    • 2 weeks later...
    Posted
  • Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire - 80m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Tornadoey
  • Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire - 80m ASL

    Looks like several weeks of potential activity if the GFS is to be believed. It's been consistent in showing an amplified pattern for the last few days and I would not be surprised to see a few big outbreaks next week and beyond. After todays slight risk, the next trough to traverse the plains does so pretty far north, and will not pose much of a threat. It will advect moisture north and not scour the gulf of moisture and that should result in a strong potential for severe weather as the next trough comes through on Tuesday. The GFs has been consistent in bringing in a stronger trough later in the week too (Thursday onwards with Friday being a potential biggie but 7 days out...) something I'm definitely going to keep an eye on!

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    • Staying cool and showery with heavy, thundery downpours

      The weather continues on with its cool, showery and unsettled pattern, with more heavy downpours during the next few days. Then, to finish the week, a deep low arrives bringing a spell of wet and windy conditions. Read the full update here

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      Netweather forecasts
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      UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

      UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2021-05-18 06:21:01 Valid: 18/05/2021 0600 - 19/05/2021 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - TUES 18TH MAY 2021 Click here for the full forecast

      Nick F
      Nick F
      Latest weather updates from Netweather

      Strong winds from an Atlantic low later this week adding to cool, wet May

      May 2021 has been colder than average with a lot of rain for some parts of the UK. A low pressure heading in for the end of the week could bring gales. Read more here

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