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Scotland - Regional Discussion - January


lorenzo

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Posted
  • Location: @scotlandwx
  • Weather Preferences: Crystal Clear High Pressure & Blue Skies
  • Location: @scotlandwx

If you are looking North then this thread has great information. Looks like NOAA have changed the outlook for the arrival of the CME burst, amazing vid on this link.

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Posted
  • Location: Kemnay, Aberdeenshire AB51 - 135m/440ft asl
  • Location: Kemnay, Aberdeenshire AB51 - 135m/440ft asl

OH it's white outside! - looks like we had our first proper snowfall of this winter.. not quite enough for a snowman yet, but an even cm or 2

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Posted
  • Location: N.E. Scotland South Side Moray Firth 100m asl
  • Location: N.E. Scotland South Side Moray Firth 100m asl

A covering of snow this moring too .Currently 1c who needs an easterly may see a bit of the white stuff on and off this week if local forecast turns out correct.

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Posted
  • Location: East Lothian 88m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, warm spring, hot summers - nae chance in Scottie though!
  • Location: East Lothian 88m asl

Feeling a bit warmer this morning, still very windy. So to the models.....

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Posted
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers Snowy Winters Stormy Autumns
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)

Sky news weatherlady just said changing by end of week with wintry weather just about everywhere....guess it depends on what your definition of wintry is but given these forecasts are always centred around southern Britain it bodes well for us....that's despite at first glance a backtrack from the models this morning however the ensembles still painting a cold outlook apparently...hav not had a look at them myself

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Posted
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)

Sky news weatherlady just said changing by end of week with wintry weather just about everywhere....guess it depends on what your definition of wintry is but given these forecasts are always centred around southern Britain it bodes well for us....that's despite at first glance a backtrack from the models this morning however the ensembles still painting a cold outlook apparently...hav not had a look at them myself

Well the background signals still look good for blocking regardless of whether this particular attempt fails and the idea of the russian block sinking and then failing to re-emerge to our north simply doesn't fit with the signals. The ECM ensembles looked pretty decent, and since the easterly was based on the movements of small shortwaves there are bound to be more changes to the model output.

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Posted
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)

Things look slightly different by 102 on the 6Z http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20120122/06/102/h500slp.png

Everything is slightly further west and shortwave formation looks to be further south. There's still a long way to run on this one yet.

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Posted
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers Snowy Winters Stormy Autumns
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)

Cheers LS will pop over to twitter see if Matt Hugo saying anything...ECM 32 dater updated tomorrow so be interesting to see

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Posted
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)

The 6Z follows the trend of attempting retrogression to Greenland http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20120122/06/240/h500slp.png

I suspect the models are perhaps being a bit progressive with this but it is a very encouraging signal and one I've noticed on a lot of runs in the last 2-3 days. In this instance it struggles to become established but we still end up with a fairly potent cold spell http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20120122/06/300/h500slp.png

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Posted
  • Location: @scotlandwx
  • Weather Preferences: Crystal Clear High Pressure & Blue Skies
  • Location: @scotlandwx

In this instance it struggles to become established but we still end up with a fairly potent cold spell http://cdn.nwstatic....300/h500slp.png

Knocking at the door... a pub run spectacular is on the cards in the next couple of days, think a new thread is in order will get January part 2 organised..

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Posted
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)

Knocking at the door... a pub run spectacular is on the cards in the next couple of days, think a new thread is in order will get January part 2 organised..

Hopefully the next one will have a lot more in the way of ramping and snow reports. Like Tuesday morning for example http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=nae&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=48&ARCHIV=0&ZOOM=0&PERIOD=&WMO=

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Posted
  • Location: @scotlandwx
  • Weather Preferences: Crystal Clear High Pressure & Blue Skies
  • Location: @scotlandwx

No-one is posting just now so have started off a new thread, for the final third of January..

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/72306-scotland-regional-discussion-january-part-2/

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Posted
  • Location: @scotlandwx
  • Weather Preferences: Crystal Clear High Pressure & Blue Skies
  • Location: @scotlandwx

Sorry HC, never spied you on the users list below. Are you in under the floor boards stealth mode??

New thread open http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/72306-scotland-regional-discussion-january-part-2/

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