November Cet

[Gavin P]

Certainly if the high pressure GFS keeps trying to build in FI comes off we could be looking at a pretty cold period from week two onwards.

Edited October 30, 2011 by Gavin P

[Snowstorm1]

Certainly if the high pressure GFS kees trying to build in FI comes off we could be looking at a pretty cold period from week two onwards.

Precisely that is one of my thoughts for my low guess earlier in the thread to me general pattern of what I think will happen this month is :

Mild start

High pressure mid month bringing cold frosty foggy conditions

Bitterly Cold snowy end

I maybe wrong or right just my thoughts

[Jack Wales]

Have faith ye people. 2005 and 2010 saw spectacular drops and i expect the same (though not the snowfest of last year).

Certainly if the high pressure GFS keeps trying to build in FI comes off we could be looking at a pretty cold period from week two onwards.

There is a signal for a scandi/ arctic high but I think the jet stream is more amplified this year than in 2010 to allow a similar outcome.

[shuggee]

7.0ºC

[Backtrack]

Going to revise my guess. Still an average month, but with some much warmer interludes, perhaps breaching 16-17C on some days. Any cold reserved for the VERY end of the month, if any at all!

7.4C.

Revising my guess for the last time.

7.9C.

[SP1986]

7.1C for me, above average start, average second half.

[AderynCoch]

7.5

[Tom D]

Looking at the GEFS it appears we'll start off quite mild but there are signs that high pressure could build over northern Europe mid-month which may eventually lead to chillier weather (at last!).

I'll go with a slightly above average 6.9c.

[DR Hosking]

It WILL be 8c he says confidently!

[Don]

Time for my guess. I'm going for 8.3C with little in the way of frost and a far cry from last year!

[Kentish Man]

7.2C for me please

Edited October 31, 2011 by Kentish Man

[Michael Fishermans Friend]

cooler second half after a mild start - I think that is more or less the overall feeling at the moment, so 8.0c for me.

[trickydicky]

7.9c

[Stargazer]

7.7 for me.

[coram]

8.2 please

[Bluebreezer54]

7.6c for me please. A very mild start my reasoning, that and the fact Im a complete novice at this !

[The watcher]

Well, we already know how it begins, but how does it end? I'll plump for a mild-average-cool/cold affair through the month. An increasingly cooling month with temperatures falling within the 61-90, 71-00 and 81-10 averages average by months end. So: 6.8c please.

[Roger J Smith]

Table of entries and November statistics

____________________________________________

10.5 ... Craig Evans

10.4

10.3

10.2

10.1 ... warmest (1994)

10.0

9.9

9.8

9.7

9.6

9.5 ... second warmest (1818)

9.4 ... third warmest (1938)

9.3

9.2

9.1

9.0

8.9 ... Tonyh

8.8 ... Liam J

8.7 ... Scorcher

8.6 ... The PIT

8.5 ... Harve, davehsug

8.4 ... Optimus Prime, Norrance

8.3 ... reef, Don

8.2 ... coram, AtlanticFlamethrower

8.1 ... BornFromTheVoid, godber

8.0 ... Polar Gael, Stationary Front, DR Hosking, Timmy H

7.9 ... kold weather, sundog, Jack Wales, Backtrack, trickydicky

7.8 ... Milhouse, virtualsphere, Stormmad26

7.7 ... Paranoid, styx, damianslaw, wimbletben, stargazer, feb1991blizzard

7.6 ... stewfox, Bluebreezer54

7.5 ... Mr_Data, Aderyn Coch

7.4 ... Mark Bayley,

7.3 ... sunny scunny, JACKONE

7.2 ... Gavin D, Kentish Man ----------------------- 1981-2010 average -----------------------------

7.1 ... Ben_Cambs, SP1986, Staffordshire

7.0 ... Terminal Moraine, Radiating Dendrite, shuggee

6.9 ... Alex, SteveB, fozfoster, OldGreggsTundraBoy, Tom D -------------- 1971-2000 avg -------

6.8 ... Isolated Frost, jonboy, The watcher

6.7 ... Koppite, Midlands Ice Age

6.6 ... Pete Tattum

6.5 ... frozencanals -------------------- 1961-90 average ------------------------------

6.4 ...

6.3 ... A Winter's Tale,

6.2 ... DeepSnow, Rainbow Snow

6.1 ... sunlover

6.0 ... Aaron, Gavin P

5.9 ... calum, BARRY

5.8 ... Paul T

5.7 ... ruzzi (snowboy), summer blizzard

5.6

5.5 ... Roger J Smith

5.4

5.3 ... Wales 120398

5.2 ... Snowstorm1, Robbie Garrett

5.1

5.0

4.9 ... DAVID SNOW

4.8

4.7

4.6

4.5

4.4

4.3

4.2

4.1 ... coldest since 1925 (1985)

4.0

3.9

3.8

3.7

3.6

3.5

3.4

3.3

3.2

3.1

3.0

2.9

2.8 ... second coldest 1915

2.7

2.6

2.5

2.4

2.3 ... coldest 1782

______________________________________________________________

If you enter before midnight, or change your entry, I will edit you into this post.

A final table will be posted around the 4th with the late entries included.

Edited November 1, 2011 by Roger J Smith

[Gavin P]

Going for 6.0 please.

[Norrance]

8.4c for me please.

[Evening thunder]

7.8C please

[AtlanticFlamethrower]

8.2C

[davehsug]

8.5c please

[J10]

7.3c

[Staffordshire]

I'll go for 7.1