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This is what piers corbyn said today...

Extreme cold, blizzards and snow drifts "many feet deep" to bring chaos to England and Wales for at least three weeks - into early Feb

· WeatherAction forecast issued ahead of all others

This catastrophic forecast scenario was first issued in detail in mid-December by WeatherAction long range forecasters and is now starting to come true. "Other forecasters are just starting to agree with us three weeks late but they don’t realize how severe this is going to be", said Piers Corbyn, astrophysicist of WeratherAction.com

"Our solar-lunar based forecast predicted generally increasingly cold and very cold weather from around Sat 12th Jan for Britain and Ireland. Next, waves of major Arctic blasts and blizzards with many feet of drifting snow are likely in places from around 20th with another major blizzardy blast around the begining of February.

"England and Wales including the South are likely to get the deepest snow, while Scotland and Northern parts of Ireland will probably be very cold rather than very snowy. Some of the SouthWest of Britain and Ireland will probably get rain rather than snow at times.

· Sudden stratospheric warmings forecast breakthrough

"There will be fluctuations in the severity of this weather but our confidence in this general forecast is increased by our new breakthrough in predicting major sudden warmings of the polar stratosphere, which in a contradictory way drive blasts of very cold air south.

"Although there is something of a 'stratospheric warming' developing now 10 Jan", said Piers, "we expect more intense 'sudden stratospheric warmings' and related cold blasts around quite well defined dates to come. We are 85% sure of this general picture and further details of the weather and stratosphere forecasts can be found via our websitewww.weatheraction.com ".

WeatherAction expect snow amounts to be as bad or worse than the record-breaking December 2010 - which they also predicted.

"Dr Stephen Wild, snow-expert at Weathernet advises that previous significant snow blasts in the last 10 years before Dec 2010 in England and Wales were: begining Jan 2010, 8-9 Feb 2007, Feb 1996 and Jan 1993", said Piers.

"These extreme events are entirely driven by solar activity and lunar factors and nothing to do with changes in CO2 which have no effect whatsoever on weather or climate", he added.

I think two things to say about this really

Im usually the last person to defend Piers, but I guess we have to credit him for December, where he insisted throughout that the 'Beast from the East' scenario would never come to fruition as the UK remained on the periphery of the cold.

The other thing is this is a very rare circumstance - in that he never usually hands out information freely (which he shoots himself in the foot with because theres never any publicly available absolute proof of his forecasts then) - and so IF he truly believes that we are about to be gripped by some very extreme winter weather, then I guess he deserves a little credit for breaking from his norm and warning the public of his thoughts.

We will see how this plays out I guess, and I would hope that should he be wrong he will admit to it this time, rather than simply blaming a discrepancy within his SLAT technique. Of course if he's right, we will all be lighting shrines to him....right?....

SK

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With state of the art technology and the latest info available at the flick of a switch I fail to see why the public should have to put up with out of date forecasts. In this fast moving situation its

I've only gone and done it. This went to the Press Complaints Commission this morning....         1i) The Press must take care not to publish inaccurate, misleading or distorted information, including

Some more images from London this morning  

Posted Images

Snow Warning As Met Office Issues Alert

Severe cold, ice and snow is set to strike all of England, according to a new Level 2 Alert issued by the Met Office. The Met Office has issued a weekend weather warning with snow expected to blanket most of England. The Level 2 Alert warns there is a high risk of severe cold, icy and snow conditions between Saturday morning and next Tuesday. The alert highlights all of England as being at risk. The Met Office warned: "The snow event on Monday may bring 2cm to 5cm (0.75 to 2in) quite widely across England as it spreads southeastwards, with greater than 5cm falling over hills. "This warning may be extended early next week." Sky News weather presenter Isobel Lang said temperatures will plummet on Saturday, heightening the risk of sleet or snow. "Outbreaks of rain across southern Britain will turn to sleet or snow," she said.

"At this stage around 5cm to 10cm (2in to 4in) of snow is possible over more hilly areas with nearer 2cm to 5cm over some low-lying areas later. Some snow may fall in London." The Met Office also warned of the dangers of cold ahead of the weekend, especially those who are most vulnerable. It said: "Prolonged periods of cold weather can be dangerous, especially for the very young, very old or those with chronic diseases. "If you want more information about how cold weather can affect your health please visit www.nhs.uk. "If you are concerned about your health or somebody you care for, please contact NHS Direct on 0845 4647, www.nhsdirect.nhs.uk, or your local pharmacist."

Lang advised that Sunday is likely to be even colder than Saturday, however it may be brighter although temperatures will remain just above freezing point. "Some more significant snow is possible into Monday, and this could bring disruption across central and eastern Britain - so keep an eye on the forecast," she said. A Level 2 Alert means there is a 60% risk of either heavy snow or widespread ice, or temperatures below 2C for 48 hours or longer. The highest cold weather alert the Met Office can issue is Level 4, which is classified as a national emergency.

http://news.sky.com/story/1036684/snow-warning-as-met-office-issues-alert

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WORST FREEZE FOR 20 YEARS

THE biggest freeze in 20 years is set to bring a foot of snow by the start of next week. As the first blizzards hit Cumbria and the North-west yesterday, the Met Office issued severe weather warnings across much of the UK for the next three days. Forecasters said parts of the North-east and Scotland could be knee-deep in snow by Monday. Breakdown services last night warned of “widespread chaos†in the most severe whiteout since the winter of 1993. Britain faces a two-pronged attack from swathes of snow-laden air due to pour in from the Atlantic and the North Sea. Worst hit will be the East, South-east, Central and Northern regions, though nowhere will escape the winter blast. Gritters and snowploughs are on standby to avoid a repeat of 2010 when roads and airports were severely disrupted.

The Met Office said parts of the country could see 12 inches of snow by Monday. Forecaster Sarah Holland said the first widespread wintry showers would arrive at the weekend with the entire country braced for heavy snow on Monday. “The most widespread and significant snow is going to hit on Monday with only Wales and the South-west escaping it,†she said. “We could see significant accumulations and there is the risk of travel disruption. “Temperatures will fall sharply overnight on Saturday and there is the risk of ice across the South.â€

Piers Corbyn, forecaster for Weather­Action, said it could be the heaviest and most disruptive snowfall for years. “The severity of what is expected could bring a whiteout worse than seen in 2010 and probably since 1993 when we had a severe bout of winter weather. “Across the country it is certainly going to be among the worst for the past 20 years and could last into next month.†The RAC has called in more patrols with almost 60,000 extra breakdowns expected by Monday night.

http://www.express.c...ze-for-20-years

FREEZE IS WORST IN 20YRS

A NEW “Beast from the East†threatens to dump a foot of snow on Britain in the worst winter storm in 20 years. Temperatures will plunge as low as -14C as an icy blast from Scandinavia grips the UK, with four inches of snow expected to arrive today. Some parts, including the north-east, face up to 12 inches of snow in 72 hours. RAC bosses are predicting travel chaos with more than 50,000 vehicle breakdowns over two days. And the AA has warned that 75% of drivers are not prepared. But transport bosses say they are ready for the ­onslaught, with local councils and airport authorities insisting there won’t be a repeat of the winter of 2009-10 when roads, railways and airports ground to a halt. Peter Box, of the Local Government Agency’s transport board, said: “Councils are as well-prepared as they’ve ever been to keep traffic moving as freezing temperatures and snow close in.â€

The Highways Agency said: “We have a fleet of 500 state-of-the-art winter vehicles on standby.†And a Gatwick airport spokesman added: ­“We have invested over £8million in our snow kit which has ­allowed us to more than double our snow vehicle fleet from 47 vehicles to 98.†Forecasters say the freeze will last for two weeks. Weather Channel forecaster Leon Brown said: “We will see wider parts of the UK affected than last month and last February. “Once snow is on the ground, it will not melt as temperatures will be so low, with lows down to -14C possible next week.†Sainsbury’s reported rocketing sales of knitwear, up 40% on a week, as well as a 25% increase in soup and vitamins. The Department of Health issued a cold weather alert from 6am today, ordering health staff to prepare to check up on the elderly, ill and vulnerable.

Met Office forecaster ­Sarah Holland said: “Temperatures could be down to -8C in the countryside on Sunday night. “Widespread sleet and snow is expected on Monday with more ahead.â€

http://www.dailystar...worst-in-20yrs/

Get ready for the big freeze: Sleet and up to 8cm of snow set to hit UK this weekend

Temperatures will plummet to minus 6C today and tomorrow, with parts of north Wales, north east England and Scotland among the chilliest spots. Weather warnings are in place across Britain this weekend, with freezing temperatures, sleet and snow set to hit parts of the country this weekend. Up to 8cm of snow is predicted to settle over central and eastern England tomorrow night, with light snow already falling over high ground in Scotland this morning. Temperatures will plummet to minus 6C today and tomorrow, with parts of north Wales, north east England and Scotland among the chilliest spots. The Met Office has issued a "yellow" warning of severe weather for Wales, south and west England, north England and east of Scotland as the snow and ice hits the country. It has issued a snow warning for the whole country on Monday. Met Office spokesman Alexa Jones predicted outbreaks of rain and sleet with some snow throughout today, which may linger in parts of southern England. A spokesman for the MeteoGroup said temperatures were likely to remain low, reaching a minimum of minus 4C. He said: "There will be some rain, sleet and light snow falling across parts of the UK today, but the heavier snow will come overnight on Sunday.

"The snow is likely to cause disruption with around two to five cm expected to fall, mainly in central and eastern parts of England but also inland across Scotland. "Some areas may get up to 8cm. "Other areas of the country will see sleet and snow but temperatures are likely to be very cold across the board." Temperatures have been mild so far this year and were as high as 9C (48F) in Cornwall yesterday. Forecasters said the cold snap was likely to bring widespread ice as the AA warned that 75% of drivers were not prepared for conditions on the roads. Around three-quarters of motorists are ill-prepared for potentially hazardous conditions, according to a new Populus survey of more than 20,000 adults, the organisation said. It has urged drivers to carry an essential winter kit and check their cars before getting behind the wheel. Andy Smith, of the AA, said: "It's very difficult to predict the extent of the weather but there could be some disruption even on local journeys, so keep an eye on the weather and traffic reports and plan accordingly.

"Even if there's no snow where you're travelling, it's likely to be icy in places. Keep your speed down, particularly on rural and ungritted side roads, and take extra care when approaching junctions and roundabouts." The Highways Agency said it is "well prepared" for winter conditions. A spokeswoman said: "We have a fleet of 500 state-of-the-art winter vehicles on standby, supported by tried-and-tested winter resilience plans.

http://www.mirror.co...now-set-1530864

ONE FOOT of snow this weekend: But don't worry... councils say they're as prepared as ever!

Up to a foot of snow will fall over the weekend as a blast of Arctic air creates treacherous conditions across the country. Forecasters expect up to four inches of snow to fall in parts of Britain from today until Monday as temperatures in the countryside drop to a finger-numbing minus 8C (18F). And the Met Office has issued several ‘yellow’ warnings nationwide for ice and snow over the weekend. Monday has been marked out as a ‘snow day’ by forecasters, with most of the country carpeted in at least an inch. Higher ground across the Midlands, eastern England and Scotland could by then have received its third successive coating of four inches of snow.

In London, forecasters predict minor ‘flurries’ of snow across the weekend, but ‘at least’ an inch of snow is expected to fall on the capital late on Monday night, when freezing temperatures mean it is expected to settle. This morning a blanket of thick fog settled over the City, looking like a harbinger of the unforgiving weather to come. The only area likely to escape snow is the South West, although it is expected to be icy there.


http://www.dailymail...l#ixzz2Hkrgu1YZ

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Snow For UK On Wintry Weekend

Severe cold, ice, sleet and snow are set to strike all of England, according to warnings issued by the Met Office. The Met Office has issued a weekend weather warning with snow expected to blanket most of England. The Level 2 Alert warns there is a high risk of severe cold, icy and snow conditions from now until Tuesday. The alert highlights all of England as being at risk.

Sky News weather presenter Isobel Lang said temperatures will plummet today, heightening the risk of sleet or snow. "Outbreaks of rain across southern Britain will turn to sleet or snow," she said. "At this stage around 5cm to 10cm (2in to 4in) of snow is possible over more hilly areas with nearer 2cm to 5cm over some low-lying areas later. Some snow may fall in London." She added: "Some more significant snow is possible into Monday, and this could bring disruption across central and eastern Britain - so keep an eye on the forecast." Sunday is likely to be even colder than today. However it may be brighter although temperatures will remain just above freezing point.

The Met Office warned: "The snow event on Monday may bring 2cm to 5cm (0.75 to 2in) quite widely across England as it spreads southeastwards, with greater than 5cm falling over hills.

"This warning may be extended early next week." Light snow is already falling over high ground in Scotland this morning. The Met Office also warned of the dangers of cold ahead of the weekend, especially those who are most vulnerable. It said: "Prolonged periods of cold weather can be dangerous, especially for the very young, very old or those with chronic diseases.

http://news.sky.com/story/1036684/weather-snow-for-uk-on-wintry-weekend

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Snow and ice warning for parts of UK

The Met Office has issued warnings for snow and icy conditions across many parts of UK at the weekend. In Scotland, an alert for Saturday covers Grampian; Central, Tayside and Fife; the Lothians and the Scottish Borders. A warning for snow for Sunday extends to include Strathclyde and the Highlands with ice also forecast. There are also warnings in place for large parts of England and Wales. Up to 8cm of snow is predicted to settle over central and eastern England on Sunday night, with light snow already falling over high ground in Scotland. By Monday an area of rain, sleet and hill snow is expected to move across most of the country producing "significant accumulations" even at lower levels.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-south-scotland-20986153

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They put these headlines out with such confidence and are always wrong but people still believe them. Shocking.

The Express drive me round the bend. Scaremongering when you can guarantee that 90% of the time it won't happen. And they treat everything like its 1947. They are wrong time after time, it's like when the slightest hint of cold is emerging they go and blare it out, and then it never happens. It happened in December when they said the beast from the east was coming, and that temperatures would plunge to -30C. Ridiculous to say that. That would have so many people scared, even though those temperatures are barely achievable in this country. And you know what REALLY annoys me? When they say something like, "temperatures will plunge to -4C". That's hardly a plunge, is it? Anyone reading that from somewhere like the continent would think we are the biggest pansies ever.

And it truly is shocking that they still have customers. Do people somehow not see through them? Every front page heading is overhyped, no matter which one of their three stories it is (weather, medicine, or the Royal Family). Do their readers not realise that a cure for arthritis is found every week?

No doubt they will claim that "they told you so", if what they say comes off, when in fact that did not forecast it at all, someone else did.

Anyway, rant over.

Edited by 22nov10blast
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WHITEOUT AS FOUR INCHES OF SNOW TO HIT UK TOMORROW

BRITAIN is facing a whiteout tomorrow with heavy snow expected to cause travel chaos. The Met Office has issued yellow “be prepared†warnings and ­predicted we will see a near- nationwide “snow event†Up to four inches of snow is ­predicted over central and eastern England overnight with ­temperatures plummeting to -6C. More snow will sweep across the country tomorrow with the mercury hitting -10C in Scotland and -8C in ­England. Around two ­inches of snow is expected at ­London’s Heathrow and Gatwick airports by midday, which could lead to flights ­being ­cancelled. Heathrow chiefs are set for talks ­today, where the possibility of ­cancelling tomorrow’s flights will be discussed. Heathrow’s Marianna Panizza said: “Monday has a snow risk and we’re preparing in accordance with our snow plan, which includes cancelling flights in advance to reduce ­ disruption when snow arrives.â€

Gatwick spokesman Grant Payne said: “Office staff are trained to drive snow-clearing vehicles and our fleet matches Oslo airport. “But passenger safety comes first. We can’t say we can definitely handle snow – and we’d have to close the ­runway if it wasn’t safe.†The RAC has told motorists not to travel in heavy snow, warning of ­drivers being stranded and a repeat of the 50% increase in call-outs during the week-long February cold spell last year. Spokesman Simon Williams said: “We urge motorists to avoid all non-essential journeys in heavy snow. “Even half an inch of snow can bring roads to a standstill and leave drivers stranded.†The Met Office said snow will ­continue through the week, with the east worst hit but the west also at risk, with colder conditions “favoured†for the month, until February 9. Met Office forecaster Andrew Sibley said: “Everywhere apart from the south-west is at risk of significant snowfall on Monday.â€

http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/view/292655/Whiteout-as-four-inches-of-snow-to-hit-UK-tomorrow/

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New Ice Alert: England Told To Brace For Cold

Forecasters have issued a new severe weather warning, with a high chance of disruptive ice and snow in England in coming days. The Met Office has raised its alert level to three - one step below a national emergency - and said icy conditions could last until Friday morning. Snow is expected in the North and East of the country, where downpours will build up on the ground as temperatures remain below zero. Some snow is also expected in the South East and South West, along with central areas.

Commuters have been warned to expect difficult journeys on Monday, when several centimetres of snow is expected across large swathes of the UK. Snow has already begun to fall in Scotland and will slowly spread south today and overnight delivering a light dusting, but a heavier dump is expected to land over north Wales, central England and northern England tomorrow. The mercury has been lingering just above zero across much of the UK on Sunday. On Saturday, temperatures in some areas were between 2C and 5C (36F-41F), but in Inverness and Aviemore in the Scottish Highlands they never got above -1C (28F). The AA has warned that 75% of drivers are not prepared for conditions on the roads, and urged drivers to carry an essential winter kit and check their cars before getting behind the wheel. The RAC is expecting up to 56,000 breakdowns and widespread disruption.

It has placed extra patrols on stand-by to help stranded motorists and said call-outs are expected to rise by 20% or more. The Highways Agency said it is "well prepared" for winter conditions, adding that a fleet of 500 state-of-the-art winter vehicles were on standby. A spokeswoman said: "Our roads will be treated whenever there is a risk of ice or snow. However, even when roads have been treated, drivers should still take care, especially on stretches where the local road layout or landscape means there could be a greater risk of ice forming."

http://news.sky.com/story/1037411/new-ice-alert-england-told-to-brace-for-cold

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Freezing nightmare

WORKERS could face the choice of ­languishing in traffic jams or opting for one of the biggest “duvet days†in history tomorrow. Heavy snow forecast across the country tomorrow threatens snarl-ups for commuters as they start off the working week. Weather forecasters predict up to four inches of snow and temperatures down to -6c before the rush hour ­begins in many areas.

The Met Office has issued a yellow weather warning for Wales, southern, western and northern England and eastern Scotland, prompting motoring groups to warn drivers to avoid travelling unless it is essential. Many drivers are badly prepared for hazardous conditions and up to 56,000 breakdowns are expected by the RAC, which has extra patrols on standby. Motorists are being warned to carry shovels or snow brushes and check their cars before setting off after a Populus survey revealed 75 per cent of drivers fail to equip themselves for winter weather. Transport Minister Norman Baker called on everyone to do their bit. He said: “The Department for Transport has been working with local government, salt suppliers and other key partners, ­including rail and aviation, to boost preparedness.

“If travel is disrupted I want operators doing everything they can to keep passengers informed while pulling out all the stops to resume the services the public have a right to expect.†The Highways Agency said: “We have a fleet of 500 winter vehicles on standby, supported by tried-and-tested winter resilience plans. “We have reviewed salt stock levels and have again established a reserve salt stock. Roads will be treated whenever there is a risk of ice or snow.†The RAC said it is expecting up to 56,000 breakdowns. It has placed extra patrols on standby and is expecting an increase of at least 20 per cent in the usual number of call-outs. A spokesman said: “In the event of heavy snow, the RAC is urging motorists to avoid all non-essential journeys as there is a risk Britain’s road network could grind to a halt.†RAC roadside operations manager Matt Dallaway said: “We know from bitter experience that the UK’s roads struggle to cope with a sudden burst of snowfall. We would advise motorists to check the forecast and think about whether their journey is essential.†The RAC said breakdowns rose by 92 per cent ­during last February’s cold snap, when more than 10,000 batteries a week had to be replaced.

Andy Smith, of the AA, said: “It’s very difficult to predict the extent of the weather but there could be some disruption even on local journeys. Even if there is no snow where you’re travelling it is likely to be icy in places. “Keep your speed down, particularly on rural and ungritted side roads, and take extra care when ­approaching junctions.†Foreign travel may also be ­disrupted. Heathrow Airport could cancel flights to avoid disruption in the event of heavy snow.

Heathrow spokeswoman Marianna Panizza said: “Monday has a snow risk and we are preparing in accordance with our snow plan, which includes cancelling flights in advance to reduce disruption. The amount of snow needed to ­reduce our schedule depends on the type of snow and the period it lasts. The airport, air traffic controllers and airlines will make the decision.â€

Heathrow has spent £36million since 2010 to triple its snowplough fleet to 185 and quadruple snow-clearing staff numbers. Gatwick admitted it might have to close its runway, despite spending £8million since 2010 doubling its snow-clearing fleet to 98 vehicles and also doubling its runway anti-icing fluid store to 132,000 gallons. Gatwick spokesman Grant Payne said: “Office staff are trained to drive snow-clearing vehicles and our fleet matches Oslo airport but passenger safety comes first.â€

http://beta.dailyexp...ezing-nightmare

Britain braced for four inches of snow as forecasters warn of flurries across the country for the next two days

Weather forecasters have warned that snow fall of up to 10cm in parts of Britain over the next 48 hours will cause travel disruption for many commuters tomorrow. Snow has already begun to fall in Scotland and will slowly spread south today and overnight delivering a light dusting, but a heavier load is expected to land over north Wales, central England and northern England on Monday. Most of the areas will see between 2cm and 5cm settle while some areas such as Yorkshire will see up to 10cm settle. Cold weather will take hold of all the UK, but southern England and Wales is likely to be spared snow. The Met Office has a level two weather warning in place until Tuesday covering the whole of England, alerting residents to ice, snow and bitter temperatures. It said: 'This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and disrupt the delivery of services.'

Nick Prebble, a forecaster for MeteoGroup, the weather division of the Press Association, said: 'A lot of people will be waking up to snow in Scotland this morning and there will be a light dusting in north-east England and Yorkshire. 'The snow will spread south-eastwards throughout the course of the day reaching Manchester, and overnight much of England will have snow flurries. 'But it will be throughout Monday when the heaviest snow falls, affecting central and east England and northern Wales.Those areas will see between 2cm and 5cm by the end of the day, but there is the potential for up to 10cm locally. 'It will be quite disruptive throughout the day before it clears on Monday night.'Temperatures will be noticeably cold for most of England, barely above one degree where the snow falls and around six degrees in western areas of England.'He added that the cold weather is likely to linger for the week with the possibility of more light snow flurries in central and eastern England. Online retailer Amazon said sales of sledges had surged by 600per cent, and customers were also investing in snow shovels.

http://www.dailymail...l#ixzz2HrqRjGbi

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Hello, first time poster here, so im sorry if I ask any questions. :) I love weather and have been trying to follow this thread for most of the winter. Now it seems that the BBC have forecast

snow for the UK for all of this week. But when I look at some of the discussion and charts here some show southerly winds for later in the week. Does

matter if the winds come from the south if the air is cold it will still fall as snow ? We rarely get snow here, and Ian Fergusson on the BBC mentioned disruptive snow tomorrow and tuesday

I think on a forecast I saw yesterday or maybe the day before. It seems to be coming from the north. Will it become snow because of the easterly wind coming in ahead of it ?

And is this an unusual sequence of events for us to see snow here, as its been a few years since we had a covering. Thanks for the answers.

Carla

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Your comment amuses me Nick. Have you the foggiest idea what it is like in a rapidly changing situation in the Exeter forecast room. I am sure Ian F can explain the current set up but I remember when this kind of situation occurred and trying to get hold of the duty BBC forecaster with no phone in the studio is not easy nor is there likely to be time between deciding to issue a new Fax chart and grabbing hold of him before he/she disappears either into the newsroom or the studio. Give em a chance mate.

I have to agree with Nick on this one. Most people on this forum could digest the latest data and produce a forecast from it in a couple of minutes, in fact they do!

If we can do it, the pro's should have no problem.

I'm sure they have enough loose change from the cost of their super computers to afford a mobile phone! :)

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Country File holds firm of heavy snow (possible very heavy with totals really building up) tomorrow afternoon in North east England in particular a bitter week all week in the east further snow Tuesday and Wednesday less snow Thursday bar the odd shower Friday rain moves in from the west as it hits the cold air snow is likely in parts of western Scotland and wales

Video to follow asap

Edited by Gavin.
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Countryfile forecast definately looked like it included updated charts and showed a slacker flow for midweek than the video posted earlier.

Country file always has updated data as a few times its been different to the one on around 12:20

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