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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Wet and cooler than normal for most of the month

_________________________________

Wednesday 6 November – Sunday 10 November

Unsettled with a brief dry, cold spell on Friday

The second half of the week and into this weekend will continue with the unsettled and cooler trend we have seen recently, as low pressure remains in charge. After a chilly start on Wednesday, bands of rain will spread into the UK from the west through the morning and afternoon, although northern Scotland and the southeast will see a dry day overall, with rain arriving overnight. On Thursday, a band of rain will stretch through Central Britain although there is a degree of uncertainty just how far north the rain will get to. Further north, rain will turn more showery and eventually ease across Scotland, while southern England escapes with a mostly dry day, bar a few showers towards the south-west. Rain will clear to the south-east on Friday leaving much of the UK with dry and sunny weather.

However, it will remain rather chilly. Overnight temperatures will plummet and most of the country is expected to see lows below freezing. Fog too will develop across some central and south-eastern portions of Britain. A low pressure system is then expected to cross the UK from northwest to southeast on Saturday and into Sunday. As the warm front moves in over the colder air Saturday morning, there is the potential for some early morning snow in the hills of Northwest Britain, before any snow turns back to rain by midday. A wet and cool weekend in store, but with overnight lows milder than those expected Friday night.

Monday 11 November – Sunday 17 November

Drier for some; heavy rain in the north midweek

High pressure is expected to remain across Scandinavia through the second full week of November, which will help to send Atlantic weather systems further south than normal. These systems will tend to cross the UK heading southeast, travelling into France and Spain before reaching the Mediterranean. This will tend to keep the UK cooler than normal throughout the week. Towards the middle of the week, a strong easterly wind over the North Sea and into the northern half of the UK will develop. At the same time, there is the potential for some heavy rain too.

Further south, rain will be lighter and more intermittent with some sunny spells mixed in. The heavy rain will tend to ease later in the week as we start to see a slight rise in pressure. It will still be wet in places, but not nearly as wet as the middle part of the week. Low pressure will remain near or over the UK through the weekend, so more unsettled weather is likely. However, temperatures will likely begin to trend towards the seasonal average.

Monday 18 November – Sunday 8 December

Staying wet but turning milder into December

The second half of November is where the weather become a little trickier to forecast, as the UK nestles between two weather patterns. The first, a stubborn and strong high pressure system over Scandinavia, which would bring cooler and drier weather. The second, a more active period of weather over the North Atlantic bringing some wet, windy but milder weather. It looks, at the moment, as though the Scandinavian high will tend to decline as we head into December but will likely hold on for the bulk of November. What this means for our weather is that initially, we are likely to see slow-moving rain-bearing systems with cooler air and lighter winds.

The pattern will then shift, with the UK seeing shorter-lived but heavier bursts of rain coupled with brief windy spells. These frontal systems will tend to draw in more tropical air from the southwest as they cross the Atlantic, so temperatures should gradually return nearer to average (or perhaps a touch above average heading into December). Confidence is a bit low on what the Scandinavian high pressure area is likely to do in December. We are reasonably confident that any prolonged and unusually cold weather looks unlikely, and snow in low-lying areas is expected to hold off until later in the winter.

Further ahead

We will take another look at December's weather and see what is likely as we approach the Christmas period.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Met office 10 Day Trend

Low pressure
More rain
Colder than average

Next week

Feeling cold
Further rain and hill snow
Some drier interludes

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

UK weather: Midlands and Yorkshire see half a month's rain in one day

Quote

 

Rainfall could reach 100mm by Friday morning, according to the Met Office.

Commuters have been facing travel chaos in northern England as trains have been cancelled and motorists are blocked from travelling because of flooded roads. Parts of the north Midlands and Yorkshire have seen around half of the average November rainfall just today, the Met Office has said. More rain is expected this evening. Some 80 flood warnings and 109 flood alerts have been issued by the Environment Agency.

 

https://news.sky.com/story/midlands-and-yorkshire-see-half-a-months-rain-in-one-day-11856753

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Persistent rainfall leaves city streets of Sheffield flooded

 

Quote

Heavy rainfall has left the streets of Sheffield flooded and emergency contractors working at "full capacity" to prevent further flooding. A council spokesperson said a "full emergency service was running" across the city, with one contractor saying the rain was "not far from biblical". Northbound exit and entry roads on the M1 at junction 34 for Meadowhall have been closed due to the adverse weather. The worst of the flooding is expected in the early hours of Friday.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-50333233

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Meadowhall Christmas Live 2019 CANCELLED at last-minute after flooding hits Sheffield

Quote

 

Meadowhall Christmas Live 2019 has been cancelled due to flooding. 

The event was due to start at 6.30pm with acts including Jonas Blue, Fleur East and Ella Henderson set to perform. Sheffield has been battered by torrential rain all day with flood warnings in place and numerous roads closed.

Trains have been cancelled with the yellow tram route and the the tram train services terminating at Meadowhall South/Tinsley. A spokesperson from Meadowhall, said: “Due to the adverse weather and the subsequent impact this has had on the regional public transport infrastructure, it is with regret that the decision has been made to cancel this evening’s Meadowhall Christmas Live concert.

 

https://www.thestar.co.uk/news/weather/meadowhall-christmas-live-2019-cancelled-last-minute-after-flooding-hits-sheffield-919501

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Flood warning: Stay at home, this is a major incident says council chief

Quote

 

“Stay at home – this is a full blown incident.”

That’s the stark advice from a Cabinet member who says the city is struggling to cope with serious flooding following torrential rainfall. “This is not great, I am not going to lie to you,” said Coun Mark Jones, cabinet member for environment, streetscene and climate change. “The rain is going to get worse again tonight. We have a full emergency service running and we are monitoring the situation as best we can but we are inundated.

 

https://www.thestar.co.uk/news/politics/council/flood-warning-stay-home-major-incident-says-council-chief-919391

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Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield
1 minute ago, Summer Sun said:

Flood warning: Stay at home, this is a major incident says council chief

https://www.thestar.co.uk/news/politics/council/flood-warning-stay-home-major-incident-says-council-chief-919391

And it's still lashing down here!

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
3 minutes ago, swfc said:

And it's still lashing down here!

You could do with the strong wind we have here in the north east to shift it gusting close to 50mph in the Tees Valley

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

UK weather: 'Danger to life' severe flood warnings issued as river levels rise

Quote

 

One police force in Yorkshire has told local residents to only leave their properties if it is absolutely necessary to do so. The Environment Agency has issued "danger to life" severe flood warnings as river levels rise and travel is disrupted across parts of northern England.

It has urged people to stay away from swollen rivers - with the flood warnings affecting the River Don. Sky's Sally Lockwood, who is in Doncaster, said the latest recording showed the River Don in the area had risen to 6.29m - the average is between 0.2m and 3.6m.

 

https://news.sky.com/story/uk-weather-public-urged-to-stay-away-from-swollen-rivers-amid-extensive-flooding-11857056

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Posted
  • Location: Atherstone on Stour: 160ft asl
  • Location: Atherstone on Stour: 160ft asl

Death is imminent 

1201361.jpg
WWW.EXPRESS.CO.UK

TEMPERATURES are dropping as Britain heads towards the Christmas season, but now one shock map shows the UK is forecast for heavy snow next week.

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Australia bushfires: Record number of emergencies in New South Wales

Quote

 

Australian authorities say an "unprecedented" number of emergency-level bushfires are threatening the state of New South Wales (NSW). More than 90 blazes were raging across the state on Friday.

Gusty winds and up to 35C heat have exacerbated the fires, many of which are in drought-affected areas. There are reports of people trapped in their homes in several places, with crew unable to reach them due to the strength of the fires.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-australia-50341207

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Derbyshire Police have sadly recovered the body of a woman from flood water in Darley Dale in the Derbyshire Dales

Edited by Summer Sun
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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Unsettled with more progressive fronts later.

_________________________________

Saturday 9 November – Sunday 17 November

Unsettled, cold at times, with frequent rain

A very cold start across most of the country on Saturday with a band of rain pushing in from the west to affect western and and south-western parts of the country, perhaps some central areas too. As the rain first moves in it will meet cold air and this may bring sleet and snow on hills and, perhaps briefly to lowlands. Whilst the sleet and snow will quickly transition to rain as the front brings in milder air, the Welsh mountains may cling on to some cooler air for much of the day so snow is possible in here int the early afternoon before things dry out. Most of Scotland and eastern England will stay dry and sunny on Saturday, but will feel cool through the day. Sunday looks to be a largely dry if rather chilly day, but overnight an active front will arrive, bringing rain for most by Monday morning.

Thankfully though, the front will sweep across the UK quickly, and by midday or early afternoon rain will clear to the southeast. It will, unfortunately, scupper chances of observing the transit of Mercury across the Sun in the Southeast (with proper protective solar filters on your telescope!). For the rest of the week and weekend, low pressure is expected to linger near or just north of the UK, keeping things unsettled. After a brief, early-week stint of more progressive fronts, things will gradually transition to slower-moving, inactive fronts. This will mean longer outbreaks of rain in places, but also some longer dry interludes as well. Low pressure will keep the temperatures on the cooler side of average, and later in the week there is a chance that a few nights could be quite cold with widespread frost.

Monday 18 November – Sunday 24 November

Staying cooler than normal and often wet

For the last full week of November, little change is expected in the overall weather pattern for the UK. We will likely still see low pressure overhead or nearby keeping things unsettled and a bit cooler than normal. This low will have some slow-moving and weak fronts at times, and these will bring some longer outbreaks of rain for some parts of the country while elsewhere there are some lengthy dry spells and fine, sunny days. As the low pressure centre shifts around, there is a chance that occasionally we may see a weak ridge of high pressure creep in. If this happens overnight, widespread frost is likely to occur across the country.

This will also increase the chances for some hill sleet or snow as the next band of rain moves in over the colder air. With temperatures falling one or two degrees below average through the week, things will tend to feel a bit wintry with some cold mornings and crisp afternoons. There is also a risk that some of these slow-moving fronts could bring a locally very heavy rain event to some spots. This will likely trigger some localised flooding as well. Unfortunately, pinning down exactly where this may happen is not currently possible. The fronts will also tend to be weak, so heavy rain is not as likely, but any strengthening of small-scale low pressure could set up a heavy rain event.

Monday 25 November – Sunday 8 December

Staying wet, but increasingly windy and mild

Towards the end of November and through the first week of December, we expect there to be a gradual shift in the weather pattern from this cooler, often wet October and November into a more typical winter scenario. This will see high pressure to the east in Russia and Scandinavia weaken and allow Atlantic weather systems to return into North Europe. This will bring more active fronts and some windier weather, so things will still be rather unsettled. It is, after all, still a British autumn. The main change in that warm fronts and high pressure to the southwest will tend to send more tropical air into the UK, lifted out temperatures from below average to near or a bit above average. Overnight frosts and hill snow will gradually become less likely.

There is a risk that a few of these weather systems may bring in some very strong winds as well. Again, this is nothing out of the ordinary for this time of year, but we have so far had a somewhat unusual weather pattern dominating. However, there is a chance that this strong high pressure in Russia will be a bit more tenacious, clinging to life and sticking around deep into December. If this happens, things will stay cooler with some longer outbreaks of rain and lighter winds. As the days continue to shorten, snow chances will increase in hills and even for lowlands.

Further ahead

How likely will more frosts be for the rest of November, and will the odds that we see any early lowland snowstorms increases head into winter?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Snow in north and mid Wales making roads 'hazardous'

 

Quote

Snow has brought travel disruption across north and mid Wales.  In Powys, the A458 is closed in both directions, with heavy traffic due to snow between A490 Welshpool and B4395 Llangadfan. North Wales Police warned of "hazardous" conditions on the A470 Bwlch Oerddrws in Gwynedd. Snowdonia, Wrexham, Llangollen and Mold are among the areas affected by falling snow.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-50359085

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

'Danger to life': Seven severe flood warnings remain after deluge

Quote

 

Boris Johnson says the flooding does not amount to a "national emergency", but Labour calls for an inquiry.

There remains a "danger to life" in parts of South Yorkshire after some areas had a month's rainfall in 24 hours. Seven severe flood warnings are in place - all of them on the River Don, in and around Doncaster. There are also 54 flood warnings, covering rivers including the Trent, the Dearne, the Derwent, the Ryton and the Rother.

Boris Johnson has said the flooding does not amount to a "national emergency" - as Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn called for an inquiry.  The prime minister visited the flood-hit town of Matlock in Derbyshire on Friday - close to where a woman died in a swollen river. He thanked members of the emergency services and said the government had allocated £2.6bn for a "huge programme of flood defences and flood preparation". 

Mr Corbyn called for an inquiry into how the UK's flood defences could be improved. "My thoughts are with the family of the woman who has died after being swept away by floodwater in Derbyshire," he wrote on Twitter. "There needs to be an inquiry into these floods and what more should be done to protect communities from the growing risks of flooding."

 

https://news.sky.com/story/danger-to-life-seven-severe-flood-warnings-remain-after-deluge-11857938?dcmp=snt-sf-twitter

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

I'm A Celebrity bosses are 'on red alert' as bush fires rage just 10 kilometres away from the campsite DAYS before the show returns

 

Quote

Bush fires decimating portions of rural New South Wales and Queensland could pose a serious risk to the current series of I'm A Celebrity... Get Me Out Of Here! The ITV show - hosted by Ant McPartlin and Declan Donnelly - is poised to return for a nineteenth series on November 17, but producers are said to be concerned about the natural disaster and its proximity to their purpose built camp. The nearest reported fires have been 10 kilometres away at Queensland's Lamington National Park, prompting bosses to 'closely monitor' the situation ahead of the launch. 

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-7671895/Im-Celeb-bosses-red-alert-Australias-bush-fires-threaten-burn-campsite.html

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Plane slides off runway at O'Hare Airport during snowstorm

Quote

A plane slid off a runway as it was landing at O'Hare Airport as snow fell on the Chicago area Monday morning, officials told ABC7.

According to an American Airlines spokesperson, "After landing, American Eagle flight 4125, operated by Envoy Air, slid off the runway due to icy conditions at Chicago O'Hare. No injuries were reported. All 38 passengers and three crew members were removed from the aircraft and are now safely back in the terminal."

Further details were not immediately available.

https://abc7chicago.com/plane-slides-off-runway-at-ohare-airport-officials-say/5689573/

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